The
September 10-14 World Trade Organization (WTO) meeting in Cancun
will be a crucial test of how successful the Doha Round of trade
talks will be in liberalizing global agriculture. The problem is that
there are two competing schools of thought on what should be
done.
U.S.
Trade Representative Robert Zoellick, in July 2002, presented an
ambitious WTO agricultural proposal for radical cuts in both
tariffs and subsidies that, if implemented, would reduce the
average allowed farm tariffs from 62 percent to 15 percent
globally. This proposal would also reduce trade-distorting
subsidies by capping them at 5 percent of total agricultural
production.
On
the other hand, the much-criticized joint framework from the United
States and the European Union (EU), presented on August 13, 2003,
is only a rough outline that lacks specific tariff levels and
deadlines, and threatens to fall short of the goals set at the
launch of the Doha Round in 2001. According to Ambassador Allen
Johnson, "One of the things that is not captured by this agreement
is: What [are] the next steps, exactly how do we go from a
framework to specific numbers and then from specific numbers to
specific schedules?"2
Using this framework, the final outcome
might include
significant tariff cuts, maintain protection for sensitive
products, or institute new protection for other products under the
guise of geographical indications (GIs)--or it might not. The
amorphous framework contrasts sharply with the specific proposal
advanced by Ambassador Zoellick in 2002 and still has many gaps
that can and should be filled with numerical targets that achieve
significant liberalization.
At
the Cancun meeting, Ambassador Zoellick should therefore endeavor
to ensure that the final version of the agreed framework is as
close to his original July 2002 proposal as possible. He should
stand with the Cairns Group to push WTO members, particularly the
EU, to reduce subsidies and tariffs and improve market access. In
short, he should pressure Europe to offer real agricultural
reform.
Specifically, the USTR should:
- Insert
substantive targets and deadlines into any deal brokered in
Cancun,
- Make
the U.S. proposal offered in 2002 the model for these targets,
- Pressure Europe to move beyond its
recent Common Agricultural Policy reform plan and implement more
substantive reform, and
- Continue to oppose the application of
geographical indications protection to additional products.
The EU Common Agricultural Policy
Established in 1962, the European Union's
Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) is the world's most expensive
system of farm subsidies. The EU spends three times more on farm
subsidies than does the United States. The CAP costs EU taxpayers
roughly $46 billion per year and consumes over half of the EU
budget.
According to the Organisation for Economic
Co-operation and Development (OECD), European consumers are forced
to pay 44 percent more for their food as a result of the CAP
subsidies. The CAP
also accounts for an astonishing 85 percent of the world's
agricultural subsidies. The chief beneficiaries in Europe are
French farmers, who receive over $10 billion per year--nearly 20
percent of the total CAP budget. Just 20 percent of Europe's farms
receive roughly 70 percent of CAP funds.
Europe's Proposed Reforms
After decades of half-hearted attempts at
reform, the European Commission has been pressured into changing
the CAP, both by the impending EU enlargement in 2004 and by
growing pressure from the United States and developing nations to
make the Cancun summit a success. The CAP changes will be phased in
over a two-year period beginning in 2005.
Under the new EU plan, farmers will
receive a single annual payment in return for meeting
environmental, food safety, and animal welfare standards.
Currently, farmers receive trade-distorting payments that are
directly linked to agricultural production and result in huge
surpluses and the subsequent dumping of food in Third World
markets.
The
European Commission describes the new plan as "decoupling," or the
separation of subsidies from production. In theory, this will
enable the EU to support trade liberalization at the Doha
Round.
Blocking Meaningful Reform
In
addition to the joint proposal and the U.S. proposal, the EU made a
proposal to the WTO in 2002, but it is lackluster compared to the
American proposal. While the U.S. plan would eliminate export
subsidies over five years, the EU proposal would only reduce them
by 45 percent. Europe's proposal would not require significant
changes in the CAP, while America's proposal would drastically
change the American farm industry, giving greater market access to
the developing world and achieving the WTO's objectives.
However, in order to achieve the WTO's
objectives, the CAP must be drastically reformed. The EU insists
that the CAP reform plan announced at the end of June would do just
that, but the numbers disagree. Not for the first time, the EU is
guilty of rank hypocrisy masquerading as progress. Once again, the
French have succeeded in blocking any meaningful reform of the CAP:
As the French farm ministry has boasted, "this reform preserves the
essential principles of the Common Agricultural Policy."
Under the new plan, the CAP budget would
not be reduced; it would continue to be a huge drain on EU
resources. Instead of being reduced, the funds would merely be
reallocated. For instance, 60 percent of the direct payment made to
starch potato producers would be maintained as a crop-specific
payment. The other 40 percent would be included in the single farm
payment.
Overall, farm subsidies would not be
reduced, and the reforms would not benefit European consumers.
Instead, farm subsidies would likely increase in the coming decade,
as would European food prices. The CAP would continue as a huge
welfare system for a relatively small group of large-scale elite
European farmers, who would continue to prosper despite providing
extremely poor value for money.
As
for the developing country farmer who was supposed to benefit,
there is no guarantee that the EU will stop creating and dumping
vast food surpluses into world markets, putting impoverished
farmers out of business. Subsidies beget subsidies. They thwart
efficiency and keep inefficient producers in the market while
knocking out more efficient producers. According to the Progressive
Policy Institute, while Morocco, Tunisia, Lebanon, Syria, and
Turkey can produce olive oil more cheaply, 95 percent of the olive
oil sold in European supermarkets comes from Spain, Italy, and
France because the EU pays European olive oil growers $2.3 billion
a year.
Geographical Indications
With
the Cancun meeting approaching, Europe's real agricultural
priorities seem to be elsewhere. The EU is determined to expand the
list of products that have geographical indications (GIs) and has
insisted that these protectionist measures be included in any
agricultural agreement made in Cancun.
Geographical indications require that
products produced outside of their place of origin be labeled under
a different name. For instance, feta cheese--originally from
Greece--that is produced in Denmark may not be called "feta." EU
members have been fighting among themselves for several years over
who has the right to use the term "feta."
The
EU has signed onto a proposal calling for WTO members to amend
Article 23 of the WTO's Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of
Intellectual Property (TRIPS) "to make it clear that protection for
geographical indications currently provided for by the agreement
would apply to products such as cheeses, beers, yogurts, rice, tea,
and others." At
present, Article 23 includes only wines and spirits.
The
United States, Australia, Canada, Guatemala, New Zealand, Paraguay,
and the Philippines oppose protection for products beyond wines and
spirits. By demanding that these measures should be included in any
agreement made in Cancun, Europe is delaying liberalization.
The U.S. System
While the EU is certainly the world's
worst offender when it comes to agricultural subsidies, a great
deal of work remains to be done in the United States as well. Since
the Great Depression, U.S. farmers have received ever-larger
amounts of assistance from the federal government.The recent U.S.
farm bill increased the amount of subsidies to American farmers by
70 percent, costing American taxpayers $180 billion over 10 years.
Again, the largest portion of the subsidies goes to the wealthiest
producers.
The
subsidies maintain inefficient and expensive farming methods. For
instance, in the Mississippi Delta, where it costs $600 to produce
an acre of cotton, U.S. taxpayers subsidize some of the world's
highest-cost cotton producers at the expense of poor farmers from
developing nations.
The World Bank and the International Monetary Fund estimate that
some Central and West African countries could earn $250 million
more per year from exports if U.S. cotton subsidies were
eliminated. In
addition to subsidies, the United States is well-known for
protecting certain crops such as peanuts and sugar with high
tariffs.
While Ambassador Zoellick's 2002 proposal
to the WTO is a welcome step in the right direction and an example
for the EU to follow, the Bush Administration should cut domestic
subsidies to liberalize the U.S. agricultural sector. The USTR
should use the original proposal to the WTO to fill in the blanks
of the joint framework agreed to with the EU.
The Effect of Subsidies on Developing
Countries
EU
and U.S. trade subsidies have an especially harmful impact on
producers and consumers in developing countries. These subsidies
block the free flow of trade, in addition to which developing
countries that depend on agriculture cannot compete against
developed countries that have heavily subsidized agricultural
systems. Developed countries, such as the United States, lose
leverage at the negotiating table by perpetuating subsidies.
According to OECD data, farmers in New Zealand and Australia
receive the lowest subsidies in the developed world: only 5 percent
or less of total farm income. In the United States, farmers receive
up to 25 percent, compared to European Union producers who receive,
on average, a subsidy of 35 percent and farmers in Japan and
Switzerland who receive a subsidy of about 60 percent.
The
Doha Round was explicitly promoted as a round for the developing
world. Yet several WTO members refuse to support what is
needed--drastic cuts in subsidies--to achieve this goal.
Cutting subsidies would offer developing
countries increased access to Western markets and give greater
validity to their membership in the WTO. As The Economist has
pointed out:
Many developing countries felt they got a
raw deal from the Uruguay Round. They were dragged reluctantly into
yet another set of trade negotiations largely by the promise of
freer trade in farm goods. Lower tariff barriers and a big chop in
the $300 billion-plus of subsidies that rich countries lavish on
their farmers every year would give a boost to many poor
countries.
Regrettably, the joint proposal by the
U.S. and EU does not go far enough to achieve Doha's objectives.
The joint proposal does not make clear commitments to liberalize
agricultural trade. The proposal lacks numerical targets and
deadlines. Additionally, it does not eliminate export subsidies on
all products.
What The U.S. Should Do At The WTO
Meeting
Progress will require radical change. As
Australian Minister for Trade Mark Vaile has stated, "the Doha
round offers a historic opportunity to improve the economic
prospects of the developing world. This is an opportunity we cannot
afford to squander."
In
the past, the United States allied itself with the Cairns Group on
this issue, calling for WTO members to make significant concessions
in this round. Any deal in Cancun will be reached by consensus. The
USTR must stick with the Cairns Group to lobby the membership of
the WTO for significant liberalization in Cancun.
Specifically, the USTR should:
- Insert
significant targets and deadlines into any deal brokered in
Cancun. A deal in Cancun should include the elimination of
export subsidies and significant reductions in domestic subsidies
and tariffs.
- Make the
American agricultural proposal tabled in 2002 the center of the WTO
agenda. This proposal will reduce trade-distorting
subsidies by over $100 billion, giving a major boost to the
developing world.
- Pressure Europe
to move beyond its recent CAP reform plan and implement more
substantive reform. Ambassador Zoellick should not accept
the EU's excuses for avoiding reform. Brussels should be reminded
of the need to keep the commitments made at the Doha launch in
2001--to reduce subsidies.
- Ambassador
Zoellick should oppose the application of geographical indications
protection to additional products. The EU is seeking to
dominate the market for products such as Parma ham by using name
protection to hinder producers outside of the region from using
terms such as "Parma." Even names can be trade barriers, and they
should have no part in a liberalization agreement.
Conclusion
Developed countries should travel to
Cancun with a strategic plan to lower subsidies and tariffs in
order to finish the Doha Round on time. Without real change, much
of the developing world will remain frozen out of Western markets
and be consigned to more decades of aid, dependency, and
poverty.
Developed countries must offer the
developing world a drastic reduction in tariff and non-tariff
barriers. Increased liberalization will result in increased growth
for both the developing world and the developed world.
Sara
J. Fitzgerald is a Trade Policy Analyst and Nile Gardiner,
Ph.D., is Jay Kingham Fellow in International Regulatory Affairs in
the Center for International Trade and Economics at The Heritage
Foundation. The authors would like to thank Will Schirano, Heritage
Foundation research assistant, for his assistance in producing this
paper.