When their direct path is blocked, politicians often resort to
chicanery.
That approach is evident in the healthcare debate.
Political tricks like legislative "triggers" and putting a
"co-op" label on government-run insurance are just two of the
gimmicks to beware. Another deceptive practice is to claim a
measure is deficit-neutral (or "won't add a dime to the deficit"),
then resort to cutesy book keeping to claim the promise has been
kept, when it hasn't.
Trick plays are fun in football, but not in politics. It's real
life, not a game.
The trigger
Let's start with the trigger. The gun imagery is apt because
it's like being threatened with a gun at your head. The warning is
that unless something happens -- or fails to happen -- the trigger
will be pulled.
And it's those who wield the weapon who decide for themselves
whether to fire.
So the notion that we won't have a government-run public option
for healthcare "unless X happens" is a way to give more power to
those who hold the weapon. Is it unless total healthcare spending
matches some arbitrary number? Unless the number of uninsured
reaches a threshold? Those numbers can be juggled and adjusted to
match a political agenda. The key condition might as well be
"unless the sun comes up tomorrow." It's arbitrary nonsense.
The notion of a trigger is just a cute legislative trick for
politicians to shift and dodge blame for a program they
establish.
The co-op
There's nothing wrong with a good private sector co-op, whether
it's to buy health insurance or to run a granary. These groups have
a long and good history in America.
But slapping a misleading label on a government program is also
a long-time and dishonorable practice. As The Heritage Foundation's
Stuart Butler says, "If it walks like a duck. . . . And if it has
all the characteristics of a public plan option then it is a public
plan option.
"There would be federal legislation to design a new form of
national or regional co-op and set rules for how these would be
run. There would be yet another federal board (presumably with yet
another czar) to keep a close eye on them and to make sure they
remember who is in charge. And billions of dollars in federal money
to keep them tied to Washington. In short, a public plan with a
co-op veneer."
As concluded in a Heritage
report, "Cooperatives must be voluntary, open to
individuals who choose to freely join together without coercion or
restraint, and controlled by its members, not the government; . . .
viable on their own and must not receive anti-competitive
government support in any form including assumption of risk,
"start-up" capital, or continuous subsidies to the
organization."
Fortunately, some on the left are skeptical about co-ops also.
Former Democrat National Chairman Howard Dean is one such doubter,
as is Rep. Pete Stark, D-Calif., who says, "You might as well talk
about unicorns . . . I think this co-op is just a way of ducking
the issue of having the public plan."
Deficit neutral
The Associated Press did a quick article
to fact-check Obama's big speech to Congress, including his claim
that his plan "won't add a dime to the deficit."
Obama flunked the test. In fact, because federal bookkeeping is
such a mess, politicians can pick and choose from a variety of
budget analyses. If they don't like the version from the
Congressional Budget Office, they can get different numbers from
the Government Accountability Office, or the Office of Management
and Budget, or the White House Council of Economic Advisors. Or
they could pick a different arbitrator. Or create a special group
that would give them whatever number they want. Ultimately, they'll
find one to use to claim they've kept a promise about spending.
But here's what the AP story said: ". . . the White
House and congressional Democrats already have shown they're ready
to skirt the no-new-deficits pledge. House Democrats offered a bill
that the Congressional Budget Office said would add $220 billion to
the deficit over 10 years. But Democrats and Obama administration
officials claimed the bill actually was deficit-neutral. They said
they simply didn't have to count $245 billion of it."
The notion that government can expand health coverage to provide
a greater variety of treatments, tests, and checkups, extend it to
a larger group of people, and not raise costs, just doesn't pass
the common-sense test. Ask anybody in Tennessee, where the TennCare
state program found costs for the first 10 years were triple the
projection and wound up consuming one-third of the state
budget.
It reminds me of an e-mail I received that says:
- "The U.S. Postal Service was established in 1775 -- you have
had 234 years to get it right; it is broke.
- "Social Security was established in 1935 -- you have had 74
years to get it right; it is broke.
- "Fannie Mae was established in 1938 -- you have had 71 years to
get it right; it is broke.
- "The "war on poverty" started in 1964 -- you have had 45 years
to get it right; . . . it hasn't worked and our entire country is
broke.
- "Medicare and Medicaid were established in 1965 -- you've had
44 years to get it right; they are broke.
- "Freddie Mac was established in 1970 -- you have had 39 years
to get it right; it is broke."
Whether the latest claim is a trigger, a co-op, deficit
neutrality, or any other gimmick, the underlying truth is that our
government has a good track record of making promises but an awful
track record of keeping them.
Butler, of The Heritage Foundation, has a simple suggestion for
everyone who claims we're going to save money with a healthcare
overhaul: "Bank the savings before you spend them."
That would be refreshing, to require a government program to
prove it works before we use its projected benefits to justify
higher spending right away.
For once, that would not be a gimmick.
Ernest Istook is recovering from serving
14 years in Congress and is now a distinguished fellow at The
Heritage Foundation.