Newsom’s Energy Experiment Goes Awry

COMMENTARY Energy

Newsom’s Energy Experiment Goes Awry

Apr 24, 2024 4 min read

Commentary By

Miles Pollard @MilesjPollard

Policy Analyst, Economic Policy, Center for Data Analysis

Hope Canlas

Spring 2024 Member of the Young Leaders Program at The Heritage Foundation

California Governor Gavin Newsom attends an event with fellow governors in the East Room of the White House on February 23, 2024 in Washington, D.C. Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images

Key Takeaways

With the highest effective poverty rate in America and some of the highest electricity costs, Newsom’s top priority should be to shift to energy affordability.

Over the past 10 years, PG&E customers have seen rates increase 127%, disproportionately affecting poor people, small businesses, and farmers.

Despite the increase in energy and transportation costs that will result if similar policies are pursued nationally, the EPA has taken Newsom’s lead.

This Earth Day, April 22, Golden State residents must be glad that California accounts for less than 1% of the greenhouse gas emissions of the top 50 countries. Yet California Gov. Gavin Newsom still wants to achieve 100% net zero carbon electricity by 2045. With the highest effective poverty rate in America and some of the nation’s highest electricity costs, Newsom’s top priority should be to shift to energy affordability.

The intermittency of renewables such as solar and wind is one reality plaguing the Golden State. Another is the fact that its transmission lines are sparking many wildfires, exacerbating problems with an increasingly strained and poorly maintained electrical grid.

In October 2017, Pacific Gas and Electric Company’s equipment caused 16 fires in California. By 2021, California experienced roughly 7,000 wildfires, some still resulting from trees and other flammable detritus hanging on transmission lines, which are PG&E’s responsibility to remove.

The Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation has estimated that “average annual losses” resulting from wildfires from 2017 through 2021 “totaled over $117.4 billion.” These incidents have led to numerous lawsuits against the utility and repeated bankruptcy restructurings.

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As part of the bankruptcy reorganization plan, PG&E was forced to adopt an Enhanced Oversight and Enforcement Process to manage vegetation. Despite missing every fire-risk reduction target of its bankruptcy reform, the utility claimed that it could not afford to keep its 5,500 tree trimmers on payroll. Instead, it wanted to distribute over $187 million in stock bonuses to the top 400 executives and employees—almost half a million dollars per recipient.

Facing financial strain and pressure to transition to renewables, the utility raised rates and saw profits increase by 25% in 2023. Over the past 10 years, PG&E customers have seen rates increase 127%, disproportionately affecting poor people, small businesses, and farmers.

Additionally, the Californian Public Utility Commission passed new guidelines on net energy metering, which drastically reduced payouts for rooftop PV solar panels. Due to these needed reforms, rooftop-solar sales have declined by about three quarters since 2022. Currently, 75% of solar installers are considered “high risk,” with over 100 companies already filing for bankruptcy.

Despite these regular curtailments of solar panels, a joint report from the California Air Resources Board and other state agencies anticipates that electricity generation capacity will need to triple to meet the net-zero carbon goal. Since solar and wind output vary with weather and time of day, California’s power grid will increasingly rely on carbon-intensive natural gas “peaker” plants rather than on low-carbon combined-cycle natural gas plants and carbon-free nuclear plants.

State law now requires zero-emission vehicle sales to be 35% of total sales by 2026 and 100% by 2035. Some have equated these energy policies to a new “Green Jim Crow,” as the policy will disproportionately impoverish the most disadvantaged Californian communities. The Public Policy Institute of California found that nearly a third of Californians are living in or near poverty, and this policy will only exacerbate this situation.

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If Gov. Newsom’s vehicle regulations are fully implemented, the Golden State would require drastically more electricity. The California Energy Commission projects that transitioning to EVs would require an additional 1.2 million charging stations by 2030 to accommodate the mandated 7.5 million EVs. With a deficit of 54,000 installations in 2021, the goal of 250,000 chargers by 2025 is already out of reach, even with the $63 million federal grant approved in January.

This policy malfeasance of requiring massive electrification without drastically increasing grid capacity has already been felt. In August 2022, shortly after Newsom’s electric vehicle rule became state law, California faced a 10-day power shutdown. Subsequently, the governor announced that citizens should refrain from charging their electric cars—a few days after Biden’s Energy Secretary, Jennifer Granholm, praised him for pursuing his green energy agenda.

Gov. Newsom’s green energy policy experiments, such as the 2022 comprehensive energy bill, could result in an additional electricity cost of $830 a year per person to California residents. Only reality stands in the way of his plan for a net-zero power grid and automobile fleet by 2045. His policies have cost state residents almost a million jobs over the past five years. Millions of Californians have left for other states, with almost two-thirds of Californians considering following them.

Despite the increase in energy and transportation costs that will result if similar policies are pursued nationally, the EPA has taken Newsom’s lead with its new tailpipe rule, which will mandate that 70% of new vehicles sold will be electric plug-in capable by 2032. As we observe Earth Day, we should hope that any emulation of the failed Californian experiment will be stopped before bad policy experiments further reduce economic growth.

This piece originally appeared in the Daily Caller