There is plenty of reason to believe that Congress's proposed
stimulus package will not work. A recent Heritage Foundation
analysis noted that such government spending "cannot be stimulative
because every dollar that government spending 'injects' into the
economy must first be taxed or borrowed out of the economy. Rather
than create new purchasing power, these policies merely
redistribute existing purchasing power."[1]
Even worse than being a zero-sum game, government spending
creates less economic activity than if the money had been left in
the private sector.[2]
This misallocation of resources is only worsened with the
attempt to fashion a green stimulus, as the spending projects
deemed environmentally acceptable tend to be ones that are
especially questionable from an economic standpoint. A better
approach would involve removing the impediments to private
investment rather than substituting them with misguided public
investment.
A Green Stimulus Is a Contradiction in
Terms
First and foremost, it should be noted that a green stimulus is
an inherent contradiction in terms. The environmental movement
itself is, by design, anti-growth. After all, these are the
individuals and organizations that regularly fight to stop
new factories, power plants, and construction projects. For them,
environmental concerns, real or exaggerated, almost always trump
economic ones, and it is rare for them to be lacking an excuse to
oppose a project. Several leading environmentalists even admit that
reduced economic growth is part of their strategy. For example,
scientist and activist John Holdren, President Obama's choice for
chief science advisor, once stated that "[a] massive campaign must
be launched to restore a high-quality environment in North America
and to de-develop the United States."[3]
The environmental movement's many successes in imposing this
agenda has for decades been a drag on the economy and a net
destroyer of jobs, especially high-wage blue-collar jobs in such
areas as manufacturing and energy production. And even when
environmental obstructionists do not ultimately prevail, their
routine use of protracted litigation and other delay tactics would
almost certainly negate any attempts at an immediate boost to the
economy.
Granted, the environmental community does support some
politically correct projects for things like renewable energy,
public transportation, and efficiency improvements in buildings.
These types of endeavors will comprise the green component of the
stimulus package. But in terms of economic activity and jobs, these
items are miniscule compared to the myriad activities
environmentalist continue to oppose, including virtually all heavy
industry, the production and use of the fossil fuels, and many if
not most major construction projects such as new roads and housing
developments.
Overall, an economy that tries to operate to the satisfaction of
environmental activists will be a substantially weakened one, and
an attempt at a stimulus via a greening of the economy will always
be self-defeating and a net job killer.
To the extent the new Administration and Congress pay heed to
the wishes of environmental activists, they will be embarking on an
anti-stimulus package that will swamp even the largest stimulus.
This will be even truer if the 800-pound gorilla of anti-stimulus
packages--a crackdown on fossil energy use in the name of combating
global warming--is ever imposed.
Renewable Energy Is Anti-Stimulus
Part of the green stimulus involves using taxpayer dollars to
subsidize renewable energy, especially wind and solar for electric
generation and biofuels for transportation. This would backfire and
hurt the economy. It is well established that affordable energy is
critical to economic health, and higher energy costs will hurt the
prospects for an economic recovery and post-recovery growth. But
virtually all of the alternative energy sources that are part of
the green stimulus are more expensive than their conventional
counterparts.[4]
If renewables like wind and solar energy or biofuels were
economically competitive, they would already be in growing use
without federal subsidies. The fact that they currently enjoy many
government handouts and apparently need even more from the stimulus
package is a red flag that they cost too much. Indeed, this is why
federal efforts to pick winners and losers among energy sources
invariably end up backing losers: The winners are the ones that do
not need Washington's help.
Support for renewables would likely cost more jobs than are
created. For example, subsidies for wind and solar energy would, at
least from the narrow perspective of the wind and solar industries,
create new jobs as more of these systems are manufactured and
installed. But the tax dollars needed to help pay for them cost
jobs elsewhere, as would the pricey electricity they produce.
The only reason to consider promoting these renewables is for
their environmental benefits, which are questionable in most cases.
But the economic argument for saddling the nation with this
costlier energy falls completely flat. Some suggest that an entire
"new" economy could be based on renewable energy sources, but the
only thing new about it would be how weak and globally
uncompetitive it is.
Throwing New Money After Old
Most of the ideas that comprise the green stimulus are not new.
Things like public transit and energy efficiency programs have long
been accorded politically correct status and have been the
favorites of Washington spenders for decades--with little to show
for it.
There already are a host of federal laws providing subsidies for
public transportation as well as tax code provisions encouraging
its use. And the 2005 and 2007 energy bills added to the array of
existing programs encouraging energy efficiency, from new home
appliance and automobile efficiency standards to tax breaks
encouraging the use of insulation and other energy-saving devices
in homes and commercial buildings.
As is the case with renewable energy, such past federal efforts
have a mixed track record. For example, decades of generous federal
funding has propped up a number of transit systems with inadequate
ridership (less than 2 percent of all passengers and 5 percent of
commuters use public transit), which along with other problems
negates any economic and environmental benefits.[5] And while market
forces have led to increased energy efficiency in nearly all
energy-using products and industrial processes, there are a number
of federally mandated efficiency measures that have backfired, from
energy-saving clothes washers whose performance was panned by
Consumer Reports to automobile fuel economy standards that were
found by the National Academy of Sciences to make vehicles less
safe.[6]
Removing Environmental Impediments: A
Real Stimulus Package
There are better options for creating worthwhile economic
activity. The real way toward a stimulus is through the private
sector, and much could be done by streamlining environmental
impediments to private sector growth and job creation.
For example, consider the benefits of removing the legal and
regulatory roadblocks to increased domestic oil and natural gas
production.[7] Vast energy-rich onshore and offshore areas
are currently off-limits, and energy companies are eager for the
opportunity to expand into them. In sharp contrast to the renewable
energy expenditures in the stimulus package, the jobs created by
increased domestic oil and natural gas drilling would be paid for
entirely by the private sector. And the extra production would
lower oil and natural gas prices, thereby providing further
economic benefits that accompany affordable energy--the exact
opposite of what happens when the government tries to foist
uncompetitive renewables onto the market.
The Wrong Stimulus
A stimulus package can create makework jobs, including green
makework jobs, but since these jobs require federal funding that
must come from somewhere else where jobs are being lost, the
exercise is zero-sum at best. And after the green stimulus money is
spent, the end result is primarily boondoggles with little
long-term economic value. The private sector could better use those
resources, especially if legal and regulatory impediments are
removed.
Trying to spend ourselves rich has always proven to be a bad
idea. And trying to simultaneously spend ourselves rich and green
would be even more disappointing.
Ben Lieberman is Senior
Policy Analyst in Energy and the Environment in the Thomas A. Roe
Institute for Economic Policy Studies at The Heritage
Foundation.
[3]John
Holdren, Paul Ehrlich, Anne Ehrlich, Human Ecology: Problems and
Solutions (San Francisco: W. H. Freeman and Company, 1973), p.
279.
[5]See
Ron Utt, "Washington Metro Needs Reform, Not a Federal Bailout,"
Heritage Foundation WebMemo No. 1665, October 16, 2007, at
http://www.heritage.org/Research/Budget/wm1665.cfm;
Randall O'Toole, "Does Rail Transit Save Energy or Reduce
Greenhouse Gas Emissions?" Cato Institute Policy Analysis,
April 14, 2008, at /static/reportimages/277C47D525278CC71E293066F5919486.pdf
(January 26, 2009).