Since the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, NATO has had
to confront the possibility of major asymmetric attacks as well as
the threat of traditional military confrontation. However, the
alliance has been found wanting in many respects, challenged by
both some members' lack of leadership and others' lack of
commitment.
NATO remains essential to transatlantic security and a vital
element of America's alliance architecture. But it will require
strong U.S. leadership and a substantial reform effort to
inject the energy necessary to revitalize the flagging
alliance.
NATO's membership and organization must not remain static. With
regard to its size and structure, NATO needs to make better
decisions, faster. It also needs to focus on confronting new
challenges, such as ballistic missile attack, cyberterrorism, and
the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.
Underpinning these reforms must be a new agreement among
alliance members to share the burdens of common defense more
fairly.
Radical problems require radical solutions. Global security
and stability can only be realistically pursued if America and
Europe remain strong and reliable allies to one another. Therefore,
the NATO Alliance must reform and revitalize itself if it is to be
as strategically relevant as it was in defeating the Soviet
Empire.
NATO's Threat Perception
For most of NATO's history the
strategic problem was easily defined: we could predict where
we might fight and under what conditions....
But today we have a much different
problem.... We do not know who the enemy might be, and we do not
know where we will fight.
--Supreme Allied Commander Europe General Joseph Ralston,
October 4, 2002[1]
America's understanding of security fundamentally changed
on 9/11, and seemingly, so did Europe's. As a collective defensive
military alliance, NATO rightly invoked Article V following
al-Qaeda's attacks on New York and Washington, D.C.[2] That summer, the
alliance went further when its Defense Ministerial Summit agreed to
undertake long-term, out-of-area operations to achieve NATO's
objectives and agreed to fundamental reform in pursuit of
global security.[3] The alliance stated:
The Alliance, which embodies the transatlantic link that
binds North America and Europe in a unique defence and security
partnership, must, and will continue to adapt itself, to be better
able to perform its fundamental security tasks and to strengthen
security right across the Euro-Atlantic area.[4]
However, this initial unity of purpose is showing some cracks.
The mission in Afghanistan has demonstrated that neither NATO
as an organization nor its individual members have succeeded in
articulating a long-term message on exactly what new threats
NATO must confront and why it continues to commit blood and
treasure to fighting wars in faraway lands. Even in the United
Kingdom, which has been unwavering in its political commitment to
Afghanistan, a public poll showed that more than two-thirds (68
percent) of those questioned said that the U.K. should withdraw its
troops within a year.[5] The question remains whether this reflects
merely a failure of messaging or a deep disconnect between the
allies about the nature of the threats confronting the
alliance.
The Terrorist Threat. Europe has faced terrorist
atrocities similar to 9/11, notably in London and Madrid, but the
European allies still tend to regard terrorism as merely a law and
order problem. In fact, the U.K.'s March 2008 National Security
Strategy states: "While terrorism represents a threat to all
our communities, and an attack on our values and our way of life,
it does not at present amount to a strategic threat."[6]
This contrasts sharply with America's rigorous pursuit of the
war on terrorism and its intention to shape NATO into a modern
security alliance. Europe's failure to appreciate the threat that
Islamist terrorism poses to Western civilization also sits
uncomfortably with the catalogue of successful and thwarted
al-Qaeda terrorist attacks on Britain and Europe since 9/11.[7] The
nature of the terrorist threat facing NATO allies is undoubtedly
strategic, and downplaying it as a tactical issue or matter of law
and order will prove counterproductive. Until the alliance can
mutually agree and articulate a common threat perception to
confront terrorism and other evolving threats, it will not be able
to make the case publicly for expeditionary operations or for
confronting new security challenges such as ballistic missile
attack and cyberterrorism.
It is therefore important for NATO to adjust to the post-9/11
world by agreeing on a common position about the types of
threats that it faces, starting with terrorism, and by outlining
robust proposals to confront them. The threat to life and liberty
has become a somewhat perfunctory phrase when talking about
global security, and NATO needs to do a better job of explaining
the threat to the West's common values.
The Strasbourg Summit. NATO's 60th anniversary
summit in 2009 would be an opportune time for the alliance to agree
on a new threat perception. The Strasbourg-Kehl Summit in April
2009 will produce a Declaration on Allied Security outlining NATO's
purpose and could pave the way for a new strategic concept for the
alliance. NATO Secretary General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer has
described the declaration as "a major deliverable" of the summit.[8] A new
threat perception that meaningfully addresses security challenges,
such as cyberterrorism, ballistic missile attack, and proliferation
of weapons of mass destruction would be a very positive start in
revitalizing NATO as it enters its seventh decade.
Missile Defense. NATO has already made significant
progress in addressing some of the challenges posed by the
threat of ballistic missile attack. At the Bucharest Summit in
April 2008, NATO leaders endorsed U.S. plans for a missile
defense system to be based in Poland and the Czech Republic and
agreed to explore ways to link the U.S. system "with current NATO
missile defence efforts...to ensure that it would be an integral
part of any future NATO-wide missile defence architecture."[9] NATO
must continue to solidly explore its own options on missile
defense, which will be ready for analysis and discussion at its
defense ministerial in Krakow next February. The alliance must then
be ready to move forward with a firm recommendation by the
Strasbourg Summit, giving it a concrete mandate and a timeline
in the summit's final communiqué.
Iran's reported successful launch of a two-stage, solid-fuel
rocket capable of hitting Europe, combined with its advancing
illicit nuclear weapons program, makes missile defense all the more
pressing.[10] Ultimately, Russia is unlikely to be
placated on the issue of missile defense because its
objections to the third-site installations are clearly
objections to NATO per se, rather than related to any
genuine concerns about its strategic forces. NATO must not be
tempted to submit to Russian intimidation on missile defenses
and must pursue a clear and timely policy to advance this vitally
important defense project.
Cyber Defense. NATO also has a valuable role to play in
complementing members' capabilities in cyber defenses and
electronic warfare. The Bucharest Summit paved the way for the
establishment of the Tallinn-based NATO Cooperative Cyber Defense
Centre of Excellence (COE),[11] which concentrates on
protecting vital systems and countering cyber attacks similar to
the attacks on Estonia in spring 2007.[12] With limited staff and a
small number of sponsoring countries, progress has been slow
in this vital area.
Protecting NATO's infrastructure from cyber attacks was
initially placed on the agenda at the Prague Summit in 2002,
and NATO has since concluded that the alliance has a vital
role to play in adding capacity and increasing members' cyber
defense interoperability.[13] U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates
announced in November 2008 that the U.S. fully supports the COE
initiative, which gained full accreditation as a formal
international military organization in early November 2008.[14]
America and Britain should demonstrate their support by
contributing a small number of specialists and becoming sponsoring
nations of this valuable intergovernmental initiative.
Evolving Threats. NATO's 1999 Strategic Concept and
the numerous subsequent communiqués have identified various
evolving security threats to allied security. The Strasbourg Summit
is an opportunity to bring them all together and focus more
sharply on the threats that NATO is facing. This does not mean that
the threat of traditional military confrontation has disappeared.
Russia's immoral and illegitimate invasion of Georgia in August
2008, demonstrated that that the threat of conventional warfare
remains real. Therefore, the alliance must reaffirm the full range
of the threats that it faces and how best to approach them.
Enlargement
As a pillar of the international security system, NATO remains
indispensable, and its enlargement needs to continue. NATO
enlargement has spread security far beyond its 12 founding members
and is a concrete example of the alliance's enduring contribution
to global stability. The fourth and fifth waves of accessions from
Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) were especially significant
because they secured NATO's post-Cold War democratic gains and
fostered a sense of normalcy for those countries.[15] NATO is
undoubtedly both a defense and political organization, and
membership represents a significant tool of soft power in the
West's arsenal.
Georgia and Ukraine. NATO enlargement is a story
of success. Bruce Jackson, president of the Project on Transitional
Democracies, argues that "we have never had cause to regret an
expansion decision."[16] Equally, a substantial case can be argued
that failing to offer Membership Action Plans (MAPs) to Georgia and
Ukraine at the Bucharest Summit was a huge geostrategic mistake and
that the repercussions of that mistake are still playing out.
Moscow successfully pressured Germany to form a coalition to deny
Georgian and Ukrainian accession to MAP. Then, despite Chancellor
Angela Merkel's August trip to Tbilisi where she publicly affirmed
Germany's support for Georgia's membership in NATO, she
reversed position again, stating that Germany is prepared to veto
Georgia's MAP accession in December.[17]
NATO's prevarication on MAP accession for Georgia and Ukraine at
the Bucharest Summit was set against a dramatic sequence of events.
For the first time since the NATO-Russia Council was created
in 2002, President Vladimir Putin attended the annual NATO summit,
primarily to intimidate and threaten Georgia and Ukraine. He even
threatened to aim nuclear missiles at Ukraine if it sought NATO
membership.[18] Since then, a short but brutal war
erupted between Russia and Georgia, and the Ukrainian parliament
has been dissolved after ferocious infighting between the
pro-NATO president and the pro-Russian prime minister.
The uncertainty surrounding Georgia and Ukraine's integration
into the Euro-Atlantic family contrasts sharply with the very
stable situation enjoyed by their neighbors in Central and Eastern
Europe. The United States demonstrated leadership to the rest
of the NATO alliance by supporting CEE accessions early on, when it
was considered somewhat controversial. Throughout the Bush
Administration, the United States has continued to restate the case
for NATO's open-door policy and to send the message that the
alliance is open for business and a vital part of the
transatlantic security architecture. The United States should work
closely with its allies to make that case equally strongly in
Europe, specifically to find a way forward for Georgian and
Ukrainian membership. If the U.S. supports a Europe whole and free,
then NATO enlargement must continue.
The French Question. The possible reintegration of
France into NATO's integrated military command structure is a
big-ticket agenda item currently under consideration for the
Strasbourg Summit. President Nicolas Sarkozy has revived President
Jacques Chirac's unsuccessful effort in 1997 to fully rejoin NATO
at the Bucharest Summit, but is demanding American support for an
independent European defense identity in exchange for France
fully rejoining NATO's structures.[19] Despite a dramatic U.S.
policy reversal supporting an autonomous EU defense identity,
which the U.S. ambassador to NATO announced in a major speech
to the Press Club in Paris, the French government was unable to
conclude negotiations in time for the Bucharest Summit.[20]
However, the full development of an independent European
Security and Defense Policy (ESDP) is a long-term French foreign
policy goal, and negotiations are advancing to conclude the
deal in time to announce it in Strasbourg in April 2009.
Within NATO, France has repeatedly engaged in deliberately
obstructionist behavior, and until NATO can be sure that it will
not do so in the future, NATO should not be afraid to frustrate
Paris's demands. In 2003, France led Germany and Belgium in a
coalition to deny America's request to provide NATO defensive
systems to Turkey in the event of an attack during the liberation
of Iraq, as allowed for under Article IV of the North Atlantic
Treaty. The United States managed to sideline France by taking the
decision to the Defense Planning Committee where France does not
have a vote. The German- Belgian coalition collapsed, and Article
IV was ultimately honored. Under plans to reintegrate France
into the full military command, the United States would no longer
have this option.
Equally, France's exclusion from NATO's integrated military
command structures does not prevent it from being a full and
active member of the alliance. France is a key NATO member.
Approximately one-third of its 10,000 forward-deployed troops
are under NATO command,[21] and more than 2,600 French troops are
participating in NATO's mission in Afghanistan,[22] including an
additional 700 troops sent to eastern Afghanistan earlier this
year.[23] Detachment from NATO's military
command structures, following President Charles de Gaulle's
withdrawal in 1966, merely excludes Paris from NATO's overall
defense planning. It is a full member of all key
decision-making bodies and transformation initiatives, including
the Military Committee, Allied Command Transformations, and
the NATO Response Force.
Although Washington is keen to cement the recent détente
with Paris, it needs to recognize that France's relatively recent
enthusiasm for the transatlantic alliance is potentially only
skin deep. The United States should not assume that this short-term
entente represents a fundamental change on France's part. Although
President Sarkozy has ushered in an improvement in
Franco-American relations, especially when compared to
relations during Chirac's presidency, French foreign policy remains
focused on achieving goals that will ultimately prove inimical to
American interests, such as a common EU foreign policy and an
autonomous EU defense identity.
This was clearly demonstrated by President Sarkozy's call for a
temporary moratorium on America's missile defense deployments
in Poland and the Czech Republic,[24] a project that NATO had
endorsed at the Bucharest Summit.[25] Having engineered a
return to "business as usual" between the EU and Russia, Sarkozy
has sent a clear message to the United States that he intends to
push for a closer relationship between Brussels and Moscow with the
possibility of a new EU-Russia security dimension, regardless of
Washington's or NATO's interests. As long as France continues to be
an unpredictable ally with interests clearly at odds with those of
NATO, Washington should resist its reintegration into NATO
structures. Washington should similarly demand a French commitment
to the supremacy of NATO in European defense, rather than concede
to the duplication and decoupling of NATO and the EU through the
ESDP.
Decision Making
It is important that NATO continues to enlarge, and as its
geographical reach expands, it must become more flexible in its
decision making. NATO boasts that one of its greatest strengths is
its consensus-voting model, whereby no official votes are
taken and all decisions can be interpreted as the alliance
speaking with one voice. NATO's invocation, by consensus, of
Article V on September 12, 2001, was indeed an extremely powerful
political signal. However, that level of political and diplomatic
solidarity is unlikely to be replicated on a sustained basis,
nor is it necessary in less dramatic circumstances or, more
importantly, at every level of the organization.
Coalitions of members within the alliance should be able to
pursue missions under a NATO banner in which not all members
participate. It is anathema to assume that all members should have
a de facto veto over the planning and management of a NATO
operation in which they are not participating. Equally, as an
intergovernmental alliance of sovereign nation-states, the
differing national rules of each NATO member make coalitions within
the alliance essential in a security environment in which
speed and efficiency are often essential to operational
success.
At present, consensus decision making reigns throughout NATO
bodies from the North Atlantic Council (NAC) to the Military
Committee and from the Defense Planning Committee to the working
groups. NATO's undertaking to stop Serbian President Slobodan
Milošević's ethnic cleansing in Kosovo in 1999 exposed
the shortcomings and limitations of NATO's decision-making process.
Operation Allied Force employed a three-phase air campaign, with
each phase representing an escalation of the previous.
However, each phase had to be separately authorized by the NAC on a
consensus basis. Several alliance members objected to giving
Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR) General Wesley Clark
responsibility for choosing the targets of the air campaign;
therefore, NAC took operational control of the campaign, utilizing
the protracted consensus decision-making procedure in what became
labeled "war by committee."[26]
With seven more members than in 1999 and two accessions pending,
NATO cannot hope to pursue such a strategy in future. It is also
unlikely that all NATO members will see national value in
undertaking every single mission. To avoid a pitfall of the EU
system--specifically, that foreign policy tends to reflect the
lowest common dominator of action-- NATO must embrace a "coalitions
of the willing and capable" mentality while at the same time
preserving the alliance as a whole.[27]
NATO should adopt a new principle on decision making that only
those countries that substantially contribute to a mission--with
troops, assets, or civilians--will be involved in the planning and
execution of the mission. As defense analyst Leo Michel
argues, a model that allows for contributing coalitions within
the alliance ensures that the contributors have "a significant
role in decisionmaking, commensurate with their contributions."[28]
Matching decision-making responsibilities with members' level of
contribution to a mission is a model substantially endorsed in a
key 2007 report on NATO by former senior officers in the alliance,
including General John Shalikashvili, a former chairman of the U.S.
Joint Chiefs of Staff.[29] The report argues:
[O]nly those nations that contribute to a mission--that is,
military forces in a military operation--should have the right to a
say in the process of the operation. This structure would highlight
the need and the opportunity for commitment, and commitment
would be rewarded at the table.[30]
Nor would a coalition need to be static. Countries could
choose to join the contributing coalition at a later stage, subject
to the approval of existing contributors. The contributing
coalition should be responsible for military planning and determine
the level of SACEUR's operational control.
The NAC should not be sidelined in this process, nor should
the regular and thorough consultation procedures be abandoned.
The contributing coalition should apprise the NAC of its mission in
broad terms in advance, and at that stage non-contributing
members may place any formal objection on the record, if necessary.
Since the NAC is not being asked for formal approval of the mission
or for a compulsory contribution from non-participating
members, this should reduce the political pressure for
non-participating members to object to the mission.
If no formal objection is received, the contributing
coalition should be allowed access to NATO assets, including AWACS
aircraft, NATO's Situation Center, and other important resources.
Use of the NATO Response Force should also remain an option, where
appropriate, and authorization for its use could be requested
during the contributors' briefing to the NAC.
Major NATO decisions such as enlargement and Article V will
continue to remain exclusively within the NAC's orbit and subject
to consensus. NATO's founding treaty precludes enlargement
decisions by anything other than unanimous approval.[31]
However, the widespread application of consensus decision
making has been formed in practice rather than law over the years,
so adapting it to today's strategic environment should not prove
too difficult.
One of the EU's largest failings is that it has become less
flexible as it has grown in size. In answer to the national
differences that have emerged between its increased numbers, the
European Union has pursued a policy of unfettered
supranationalization. This has had the effect of creating
internal divisions and external hostilities. NATO must not follow
this flawed policy model of searching for an inevitably unpopular
one-size-fits-all approach.
An all-or-nothing approach to decision making makes little sense
in a modern security environment. The NATO brand should be
more readily available to coalitions undertaking missions in which
the alliance is not acting as a whole. As one of the most
successful multilateral alliances in modern history, NATO is robust
enough to make this necessary adaptation, while retaining the
indivisibility of the security of all members.
NATO-EU Relations
Traditionally, NATO has been the primary alliance
architecture in which to discuss Europe's security. However,
when France assumed the six-month EU presidency on July 1, 2008, it
made advancing a military identity anchored within enhanced EU
power structures, independent of NATO, a top priority. With
the European Security and Defense Policy (ESDP) in existence
for nearly a decade, average European defense spending has
decreased. The ESDP has provided NATO with little or no valuable
complementarity, and serious questions remain about the EU's
motivation in pursuing a military identity. NATO needs to reassess
the structural and organizational relationship between the EU and
NATO, including the purpose and value of pursuing further
integration.
NATO-EU relations are underpinned by the Berlin Plus Agreement
signed in December 2002 and implemented in March 2003. It is easy
to see why Washington thought it was receiving a good deal out of
Berlin Plus: While the agreement assured the EU access to NATO's
planning capabilities and assets for EU-led crisis management
operations, the United States also anticipated a bigger
commitment by the EU to upgrading its military capabilities. The
premise of Berlin Plus was essentially that the ESDP would
reinforce NATO, not undermine it, and uphold the long-held American
policy doctrine of the "three Ds": no decoupling from NATO, no
duplication of NATO resources, and no discrimination against NATO
members that are not part of the EU.
Yet the Europeans have not increased their defense commitment in
terms of spending or manpower, and significant evidence
indicates that the EU has long since abandoned the three Ds. It has
become clear that the European Union signed Berlin Plus to
elevate its own status and gain access to NATO assets (which are
largely American) with no genuine commitment to increase defense
spending.
France's insistence that the EU should have its own permanent
operational planning cell exemplifies French aspirations in
this field. Berlin Plus was negotiated specifically on the
understanding that autonomous EU operations would be directed from
national capitals or from Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe
in Belgium. Prime Minister Tony Blair was adamant on this point
when drawing up the St. Malo Declaration with French President
Chirac. For Blair, a permanent EU planning cell represented
not just a wasteful duplication of NATO assets, but a definite
decoupling of the two organizations. Of course, Chirac likely
intended these very consequences, but gave way to Blair initially,
knowing that the centralization of power within the
European Union moves in only one direction.
Chirac was correct that the St. Malo agreement was only the
beginning of the EU's wholesale centralization of defense
policy. The EU's Brussels-based operations center opened on January
1, 2007, and was tested in a fictional exercise in June of that
year. It is a separate, non-permanent EU operational headquarters,
which is intended for civilian or civilian-military
operations, but only under limited circumstances. These
limitations were put in place after British objections failed to
eliminate the idea completely, but they will certainly be removed
as the EU military identity takes shape. The French white paper
"Defense and National Security" explicitly states that one EU
priority is to:
Reinforce considerably European planning and command capability.
The EU must have an independent European standing strategic
planning capability. The growing number of EU interventions abroad
also requires more military operational planning and command
capability.[32]
The creation of EU battle groups epitomizes the EU's quest for
power at the expense of NATO. Without new defense euros and
new European soldiers, the battle groups should be seen as nothing
less than a direct duplication of the NATO Response Force and a
challenge to NATO's transformational initiative.
Given that the decade-long ESDP experiment has been unsuccessful
in advancing NATO or U.S. interests, NATO should review the terms
of the Berlin Plus Agreement to find a solution to NATO-EU
relations that adds to global security, rather than detracts from
it.
The Strasbourg Summit should clarify NATO- EU relations, not in
the vein of accelerating an EU military identity, but by explicitly
stating two non-negotiable points:
- NATO's primacy in the transatlantic security alliance is
supreme.
- The EU's relationship to NATO is as a civilian complement, and
the EU is defined as a civilian actor in the transatlantic security
alliance.
A new category must be formulated to define the EU's
relationship status with NATO. Since conflict resolution requires a
comprehensive approach, the EU offers the possibility of being
primarily a deployable, civilian complement to the NATO
alliance. The momentum for NATO and the EU to work together in the
military field is fraught with problems and driven by a desire
to secure an EU power base. The EU has an army of bureaucrats,
police trainers, aid workers, and jurists that could
complement NATO in a more cohesive approach to
reconstruction and development. As Afghanistan has
demonstrated, it is often necessary for these professionals to
work alongside the military. Civilian missions, especially
stabilization and reconstruction are tasks that the EU naturally
favors and that the EU has some capacity to perform. It should play
to its strengths and undertake the role of an additional civilian
instrument as part of NATO's comprehensive approach to war and
peacemaking.
However, if the EU wants to act in areas of the world where NATO
does not, NATO should not be expected to provide its resources for
these missions. If the EU genuinely believes that global security
is enhanced by engaging in military missions without NATO, then it
should pay for such missions exclusively from European budgets
and use European assets and manpower. Furthermore, in determining a
new NATO-EU relationship, the assets and resources for exclusively
European missions must be provided in addition
to--not instead of--the members' contributions to NATO. Any
investment in the ESDP must not obfuscate members' commitments
to NATO or allow for the creation of a two-tiered alliance.
Burden Sharing
The heart and soul of NATO continues to rest on the deterrence
value of its Article V commitment, in which an attack on one member
constitutes an attack on the entire alliance. This commitment
implies obligations. Article V of the North Atlantic Treaty clearly
states that, if one member is attacked, the other members "will
assist the Party or Parties so attacked by taking forthwith,
individually and in concert with the other Parties, such action as
it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore
and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area."
If Article V is to have value both as a deterrent and as a
shared defense commitment, military capacity and preparedness are
priorities. In fact, if the NATO Alliance is to be seen as a
credible instrument for both Article V and non-Article V
missions, its collective security relies on sharing
responsibilities and having the military resources to support
NATO's strategy.
America's position as the world's only superpower has
naturally assigned it the role of NATO's de facto leader. However,
the inequitable sharing of risks and responsibilities within the
alliance, playing out so clearly in Afghanistan, has raised
considerable unease about NATO's genuine commitment to shared
defenses. In a recent report, the International Institute for
Strategic Studies found that just 2.7 percent of Europe's 2 million
military personnel are capable of overseas deployment.[33]
This contrasts sharply with NATO's goal that 40 percent of its
land forces be deployable, which in itself was a modest and
underreaching goal in the first place.
Another NATO benchmark that has not been reached is defense
spending. Just four (Bulgaria, France, Greece, and the U.K.) of the
21 EU-NATO members spend the NATO benchmark of 2 percent of gross
domestic product (GDP) on defense, and average EU defense spending
has significantly decreased over the past 10 years.
Inequitable investment in high-end military equipment is even
more startling, as evidenced by the considerable gap between
American and allied capabilities during NATO's air campaign against
Yugoslavia in 1999. The United States provided 100 percent of
NATO's jamming capability, 90 percent of the air-to-ground
surveillance, and 80 percent of the air refueling tankers, and U.S.
fighters and bombers delivered 90 percent of the precision-guided
munitions.[34]
NATO needs to find a more equitable solution to the questions of
manpower, equipment, and resources. In today's challenging economic
environment, the United States should not be expected to carry
Europe's load. NATO should enforce its 2 percent benchmark with
corresponding consequences: If a member's defense spending
falls below 2 percent of GDP for more than three consecutive years,
its voting rights should be suspended in both the NAC and the
Defense Planning Committee until its defense budget increases
to 2 percent. Naming and shaming alone has not created credible
defense spending; therefore, tougher ramifications are needed.
Spending 2 percent of GDP on defense for the previous three
years should also be made a requirement for accession to NATO.
NATO also needs to address the question of national caveats. The
mission in Afghanistan is virtually creating a two-tiered
alliance, in which many nations commit troops only with specific
provisos, including that their troops not be sent into combat
zones. One caveat bars Southern European troops from fighting in
snow, and one member prohibits troops from other nations from
flying in its aircraft.[35]
This is significantly harming the overall health of the alliance
and is an absurd way to fight a war. U.S. Secretary of Defense
Robert Gates bluntly described this phenomenon as "some allies
willing to fight and die to protect people's security and others
who are not."[36] To the alliance's humiliation, earlier
this year, its European members proved unwilling to muster an
additional 3,200 troops to send to southern Afghanistan as
requested by Secretary Gates.[37] U.S. Under Secretary of
State Nicholas Burns has noted that nine NATO members are carrying
95 percent of the burden in Afghanistan.[38]
National caveats are also a potential danger to the success of
the Afghanistan mission. For example, German troops are restricted
to relatively peaceful northern Afghanistan, and operate under such
ludicrous restrictions that a senior Taliban commander
responsible for attacking coalition convoys and organizing a
Baghlan bomb blast that killed 79 people in November 2007
escaped from German special forces because they are forbidden
to shoot except in self-defense.[39]
The NATO Alliance was built on the enduring values of civilized
democracies and solidarity among the member states to export, not
just consume, security. To have large, wealthy nations refuse
to pull their weight at the expense of the other members is
fundamentally wrong. As NATO spokesman Lieutenant Colonel Rejean
Duchesneau notes, "If you sign on to the mission, you should sign
on to the whole package."[40] Alliance members need to commit to
eliminate all operational caveats on its missions henceforth.
Sharing burdens increases trust, cooperation, and mutual
reliance. The intelligence-sharing relationship between the
U.K. and the U.S. is built on these very principles. The U.K.-based
effort to increase NATO intelligence sharing at the Intelligence
Fusion Center at RAF Molesworth can only be sustained in the longer
term if the principle of the indivisibility of security among
allies is maintained.
What NATO Members Should Do
To reform and revitalize NATO to meet the challenges and threats
of the 21st century, NATO should:
- Agree to a Declaration on Allied Security at the Strasbourg
Summit in 2009 that includes a new threat perception restating
existing threats as well as new ones, such as cyberterrorism and
ballistic missile attack. The declaration should also make concrete
recommendations to address each threat.
- Follow the U.S. example of explicitly restating NATO's
open-door policy and endorsing this message by working closely with
Georgia and Ukraine to ensure timely accessions where
appropriate.
- Reaffirm NATO as the cornerstone of the transatlantic
alliance and the primary actor in European security.
- Readmit France into NATO's integrated military command
structures only if Paris is willing to uphold the primacy of NATO
in European defense cooperation and if the alliance can be
confident that France will be a cooperative rather than
confrontational partner.
- Agree to new decision-making rules based on a
"coalitions-of-the-willing-and-able" approach, in which
contributors to a coalition are authorized to undertake the
planning and management of the operation among themselves.
- Agree to new burden-sharing rules. Specifically, the benchmark
of spending at least 2 percent of GDP on defense by NATO members
should be made an enforced requirement for gaining membership
and for retaining full voting rights within the alliance.
In addition to these actions by NATO as a whole:
- Each alliance member should commit to eliminate the vast
majority of operational caveats on its missions.
- The European Union should announce that the European Security
and Defense Policy will be a civilian component in Europe's
security architecture and will provide additional
resources.
- The U.S. should reserve NATO resources exclusively for
NATO missions. All European military missions should be funded
exclusively by EU member states.
Conclusion
NATO remains central to transatlantic security and the crowning
glory of America's alliance architecture. Few formal
alliances, if any, can boast the successes that NATO has enjoyed
throughout its history. However, NATO is an alliance in need of
reform and revitalization to accommodate new security policies and
defense strategies. This will require both Europe and America to
put their full weight behind this process.
Europe needs to demonstrate its commitment to NATO in terms of
both spending and manpower. A small number of NATO members cannot
continue to bear a disproportionate share of the burden,
such as in Afghanistan, if the alliance is to remain unified.[41]
For its part, the United States must continue to exercise strong
leadership of both existing and new transformation initiatives, so
that the alliance is ready to confront current and emerging
threats.
In the past decade, NATO has undertaken out-of-area missions,
invoked Article V, and enlarged to 26 members. The next decade will
likely see equally large challenges for NATO--challenges that the
alliance must defeat for the sake of global security and
stability.
Sally McNamara is Senior
Policy Analyst in European Affairs in the Margaret Thatcher Center
for Freedom, a division of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis
Institute for International Studies, at The Heritage Foundation.
The author is grateful to Erica Munkwitz and Morgan L. Roach for
their assistance in preparing this paper.
[11]North Atlantic Council, "Bucharest Summit
Declaration," para. 47.
[14]"Estonia: Prime Minister Met with United
States Secretary of Defence Robert Gates," US Fed News, November
12, 2008.
[15]In the fourth wave of accession, the Czech
Republic, Hungary, and Poland acceded to NATO in 1999. In the fifth
wave of accession, Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania,
Slovakia, and Slovenia acceded in 2004.
[25]North Atlantic Council, "Bucharest Summit
Declaration."
[29]General Klaus Naumann, General John
Shalikashvili, Field Marshal The Lord Inge, Admiral Jacques
Lanxade, and General Henk van den Breemen, "Towards a Grand
Strategy for an Uncertain World: Renewing Transatlantic
Partnership," Noaber Foundation, 2007, at /static/reportimages/715FD07154AC70720BE2408570DF88FF.pdf (November
24, 2008).