Yesterday, in a hearing before a subcommittee of the Senate
Science, Commerce, and Transportation Committee, Homeland Security
officials briefed legislators on the results of the Secure Freight
Initiative (SFI) test. Congressionally mandated, the SFI test
evaluated the feasibility of scanning 100 percent of the over 11
million oceangoing containers shipped annually to the United
States. The report concluded that such a requirement would be
impractical and unwise.
The results of the SFI test create a problem for Congress, which
just last year passed another law making 100 percent scanning of
inbound containers mandatory. Yesterday's hearing should prompt
Congress to take further action. At the very least, legislators
should appoint a nonpartisan commission to study the issue and
report back early next year. The commission should examine more
practical, effective, and reasonable alternatives to the
congressional mandate.
Bad News Bearers
For congressional advocates of 100 percent screening,
yesterday's hearing brought sobering news. While the SFI
demonstrated that 100 percent scanning of containers bound for the
United States from low-volume, "high risk" ports such as Qasim in
Pakistan was feasible, the assessment raised serious questions
about the costs and delays that would be caused by implementing the
measure at larger ports. For instance, ports like Hong Kong and
Singapore not only deal with much larger volumes, but often
transship cargo from waterside to landside, or even from ship to
ship. Hong Kong alone might have to add $80 million in
infrastructure just to accommodate screening.
The Government Accountability Office (GAO), which works for
Congress, identified the following nine major problem areas in the
mandate:
- Workforce planning;
- Host nation examination practices;
- Measuring the program's performance;
- Resource (cost) responsibilities;
- Logistics of space constraints at ports;
- Technology and infrastructure;
- Use and ownership of data when foreign seaports are
involved;
- Consistency with risk management; and
- Reciprocity and trade concerns.
The testimony by GAO, Department of Energy, and Homeland
Security officials raised serious questions about the efficacy of
100 percent screening. At a time when the price of food and
transportation is skyrocketing, it is particularly unwise to
increase the cost of delivering goods to the United States. The
security measures proposed likely won't work and would be of little
utility even if they did. Therefore, it seems unlikely that
implementing such measures would justify imposing additional costs
on already strained markets.
Waiting for Godot
What the SFI report did not address in detail was whether there
is even a threat justifying these extreme security measures. Most
security experts concluded that there is not. The "nuke-in-a-box"
scenario, which is often touted as the primary domestic terrorist
threat, is wildly unrealistic. If terrorists obtained a nuclear
weapon, it is highly unlikely that they would choose to deliver it
via shipping containers, which can be lost, misdirected, pilfered,
dropped, crushed, or accidentally dumped overboard. Any other
conceivable threat could just as easily involve a weapon that is
put in a truck and driven into a port.
Whether the danger is from a nuclear warhead or a car bomb, the
most effective techniques for thwarting terrorist attacks remain
terrorist network disruption, targeted investigation and screening,
and reasonable physical security measures-not trying to inspect
everything.
What's Next?
Congress should establish an independent, bipartisan commission
to study the results of the SFI and the mandate for 100 percent
screening of shipping containers and air cargo. The commission
should assess the likely threats and look into alternatives for
securing global supply chains.
Additionally, the commission should report its findings after
the 2008 presidential elections. Congress could then return to the
issue in early 2009 with the politics of the election behind it.
Based on the results of the commission's recommendations, Congress
should then modify the 100 percent mandate so that U.S. policy
provides an equal boost to both security and prosperity.
James Jay Carafano,
Ph.D., is Assistant Director of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom
Davis Institute for International Studies and Senior Research
Fellow for National Security and Homeland Security in the Douglas
and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies at The Heritage
Foundation.