The war in Afghanistan and the looming Iranian nuclear threat
will be priority issues for the United States as President Bush
crosses the Atlantic this week for what is likely to be his final
tour of Europe. He will meet with German Chancellor Angela Merkel,
French President Nicolas Sarkozy, Italian Prime Minister Silvio
Berlusconi, and British Prime Minister Gordon Brown.
The trip is an important opportunity for the President to press
key European allies to contribute more troops and resources to the
NATO-led effort in Afghanistan. The English-speaking members of
NATO are bearing an overwhelming proportion of the burden in
Afghanistan as most European countries refuse to play a full role.
This is an unsustainable situation that is causing deep strains in
the Alliance and weakening the fight against the Taliban.
President Bush should also use this trip to call upon European
Union member states to join the United States in a tough sanctions
regime aimed at halting Iran's drive to develop a nuclear weapons
capability. With its extensive support for international terrorist
groups such as Hizbollah and Hamas, its open threats to wipe Israel
"off the map," and its ambitions to become a nuclear power, the
Iranian regime poses this generation's greatest state threat to
international security.
Successful resolution of these two critical matters will not
only revitalize the transatlantic alliance, but also strengthen two
critical fronts in the campaign against Islamist terrorism.
An Unequal Burden in Afghanistan
The United States, Great Britain, Canada, and Australia (a
non-NATO country) currently provide 35,680 of the 52,900 troops
serving in the NATO-led International Assistance Force (ISAF): over
67 percent of the total. Europe and the rest of the world provide
just 17,200 soldiers, or less than a third.[1] This unequal state
of affairs is causing tensions in the transatlantic alliance, and
the Canadians, who have already suffered heavy casualties, have
threatened to pull their troops out of the country unless they are
reinforced by troops from Europe.[2]
Britain, which still has 4,000 troops in Iraq and is severely
overstretched militarily, has over 8,500 soldiers serving in
Afghanistan: more than the rest of the major Western European
powers combined; Germany has sent just 3,370 troops, Italy 2,350,
France 1,670, and Spain 800. The British even dispatched their
third in line to the throne, Prince Harry, to southern Afghanistan,
where he fought for several months before a media blackout
shielding his presence was broken.
There is also the critical issue of who is actually doing the
fighting. Most military operations against the Taliban are being
conducted by the British, Americans, and Canadians (with
significant frontline support from the Dutch). As of February this
year, these three countries had lost almost 650 troops since 2001
(85 percent of total fatalities). The rest of ISAF combined had
lost a total of 115 soldiers (15 percent).[3]
Many European nations, including Germany, continue to operate
under a system of "caveats" that are drawn up by some NATO members
to keep their troops out of harm's way. German forces, for example,
are based in the north of the country, far away from the main
battlefields. In fact, British media have reported that German
troops are not permitted to travel more than two hours away from a
major medical facility and that Luftwaffe helicopter pilots are
barred from flying at night, with a requirement to be back to base
by mid-afternoon.[4]
Such limitations on engagement ignore the reality that NATO is a
martial alliance, not a peacekeeping organization. The stakes are
extremely high, and there is a danger that, in light of the combat
restrictions placed on some NATO troops, the brutal Taliban, backed
by al-Qaeda, will reassert control over vast areas of the country.
Not only does ISAF need thousands more troops to be sent to the
war-torn Afghan nation, but continued success against the Taliban
specifically demands that combat-ready troops be deployed across
the southern province of Helmand, where much of the key fighting is
currently taking place.
Germany Must Strengthen Sanctions
Against Iran
In addition to revitalizing Continental NATO members'
participation in combat operations throughout Afghanistan,
President Bush will seek the support of key European allies for the
strengthening of sanctions against Iran.
Europe and Germany in particular hold the key to increasing
economic pressure on the Iranian regime. In recent years, Iran has
derived roughly 35 percent of its total imports from the European
Union, and European exports to Iran are worth over 12 billion euros
a year.[5]
Germany is Iran's biggest trading partner, with exports worth
over 4 billion euros in 2006, and therefore is capable of exerting
extraordinary economic leverage over Iran. According to a 2007
report by the Realité EU think tank,[6] which compiled
information from several sources including the German-Iranian
Chamber of Commerce in Tehran, a staggering five thousand German
companies do business with Iran, including heavyweights such as
Siemens and BASF. Two-thirds of Iranian industry relies on German
engineering products, and the German Engineering Federation (VDMA)
boasts of German machine construction exports to Iran worth 1.5
billion euros in 2005, with an increase in 2006.
Unfortunately, Berlin has yet to demonstrate a firm willingness
to pressure Iran.
In fact, Germany remains the weakest link in the West's
confrontation with Tehran. Despite the huge economic clout that
Berlin wields with Iran, the Merkel administration has not been at
the forefront of international efforts to force the Iranian regime
to relinquish its nuclear aspirations. In contrast to French
President Nicolas Sarkozy's emphatic denunciations of Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad's highly provocative statements, Angela Merkel has
appeared weak-kneed and indecisive. As a result, the European
Union's policy of "constructive engagement" toward Iran, championed
by Merkel and her predecessor Gerhard Schroeder, has been a
spectacular failure.
Tehran's strategy will seek to splinter Western opinion
regarding any potential economic pressure, thereby weakening the
likelihood of sustained international sanctions outside of the
United Nations. Iran's rulers know that they can rely on both
Russia and China to block sanctions at the Security Council and are
hoping that internal divisions within Europe will hamper the
imposition of Europe-wide measures. The success of the Iranian
nuclear programs relies upon a divided West; it is critical that in
the coming days, President Bush remind the Merkel administration of
this fact.
No Alternative to Action
Failing to deal with the Iranian threat will result in immense
consequences: a nuclear-armed rogue state ruled by fanatical
Islamist extremists that will have no qualms about using its power
to dominate the Middle East or to arm a wide array of proxy
international terrorist groups. It is a vision of the future that
cannot be allowed to come true, and the European powers,
particularly Germany, must reject appeasement in favor of an
assertive policy of zero tolerance for Iran's nuclear ambitions.
This is a time for tough resolve from the German Chancellor and
other key leaders in Europe: Weakness and indifference will only
comfort such a brutal terrorist regime.
At the same time, Europe's major powers can and must do more on
the battlefields of Afghanistan. If this does not happen, the
consequences for the future of the NATO Alliance could be dire.
France's offer of an additional 700 French troops is a step in the
right direction, but it is not enough to make a significant
difference on the battlefield.
Europe's failure in Afghanistan threatens to tear NATO apart, in
which case the most effective international organization of our
time could become irrelevant. It is time for Chancellor Merkel,
President Sarkozy, Prime Minister Berlusconi, and other European
leaders to fully commit their troops and resources to winning the
war against the Taliban. For the sake of the Alliance and the
broader war against Islamist terrorism, there is no
alternative.
Nile Gardiner, Ph.D., is
Director of the Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom, a division of
the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International
Studies, at The Heritage Foundation.