French President Nicolas Sarkozy's arrival this week in
Washington signals a sea change in the relationship between
Washington and Paris. What would have been unthinkable a year
ago--a two-day summit between the leaders of France and the United
States--is now a political reality that promises to change the
complex and troubled landscape of U.S.-European relations. Not only
will Sarkozy meet with President Bush at the White House and Mount
Vernon, but also he will address the U.S. Congress, a great honor
and rare privilege, especially for the president of a formerly
hostile power.
A Stunning Rapprochement
In the space of just a few months, Sarkozy has performed one of
the most stunning foreign policy reversals of recent years.
Alongside his straight-talking foreign minister, Bernard Kouchner,
the new French president has become a key U.S. ally in efforts to
halt the rise of a nuclear-armed Iran, delivering a barn-storming
speech, in September at the U.N. General Assembly, condemning the
stance of Iranian tyrant Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Most of the old
tensions over the war in Iraq have largely dissipated, replaced by
a newfound willingness to work together on an array of issues, from
the Iranian nuclear crisis to genocide in Darfur. There is even
talk in Paris of France rejoining the unified command structure of
NATO in the next couple of years, a radical reversal in French
thinking.
Nicolas Sarkozy bravely extended the hand of friendship to his
U.S. counterpart and by doing so has emerged as Europe's leading
figure on the world stage, eclipsing both of his nearest rivals,
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown and German Chancellor Angela
Merkel. In some ways, Sarkozy is filling the shoes vacated by Tony
Blair as the most vocal international supporter of American-led
international efforts. In contrast, Gordon Brown's signals toward
Washington since coming to power have been far from warm and have
given the impression that the prime minister is going out of his
way to distance himself from the White House. Merkel too has been
wary of being seen as too close to President Bush but will be
traveling to meet with him for two days in Crawford later this week
for what are likely to be difficult discussions over Iran.
France's extraordinary about-face in its approach to the United
States is a welcome development that has significantly strengthened
Washington's hand in confronting Tehran. President Bush and
President Sarkozy should jointly issue a stern warning to the
Mullahs of Iran that they must either halt enrichment of uranium
and cease development of a nuclear weapons program or face the
consequences. The two leaders must also appeal to European allies,
especially Germany, to support a hard-hitting sanctions regime
outside of the United Nations targeted at Iran's economic,
military, and political infrastructure, including an end to export
guarantees and a complete investment freeze by European Union
countries.
The Pitfalls of a U.S.-French
Alliance
The dramatic shift in French strategic thinking since Sarkozy
came to power significantly improves the prospects for a more
constructive transatlantic relationship over the next few years.
The new French president should be given great credit for bravely
challenging decades of deep-seated French anti-Americanism, which
has frequently poisoned relations between Paris and Washington,
reaching its peak during the presidency of Jacques Chirac.
Sarkozy's bold tack showed him to be a powerful world player and a
leader with whom Washington can do business.
Nonetheless, the White House, National Security Council, State
Department, and Pentagon must recognize the pitfalls of attaching
too great an importance to the concept of a long-term U.S.-French
alliance. In many ways, Sarkozy is a unique figure in modern French
history, the son of a Hungarian immigrant, an outsider who is
willing to challenge the status quo. Arrayed against him is a
powerful coalition of vested interests, from the
communist-dominated trade unions to the entrenched elites who rule
the civil service. His pragmatic pro-American approach may not
outlast his administration or even always win out while he remains
in power.
There is also scant evidence that the great French public shares
Sarkozy's enthusiasm for les Americains, and France remains
a highly regulated socialist society, whose best and brightest
typically end up fleeing the country, mainly to Britain.
Humiliatingly, France is the only Western European society that
actually produces large numbers of economic refugees rather than
attracts them from abroad.
The French foreign ministry, Quai d'Orsay, with its deeply
entrenched suspicion of Anglo-Saxon culture and global power, will
always be a powerful force ensuring that the Elysée Palace
does not stray too far from the traditional norms of French policy,
which include the centrality of the Franco-German axis and a
pro-Arabist policy in the Middle East. In the coming decades,
French foreign policy will also become increasingly influenced by
the country's demographics: The descendents of the more than 6
million Muslims that today comprise 10 percent of France's
population could make it even more difficult for France to support
future potential wars against Islamic state sponsors of terror.
France's relationship with the European Union will also be a
major complicating factor for the U.S.-French alliance. France's
ruling elites remain wedded to a vision of Europe that embraces the
evolution of a European superstate and are among the strongest
supporters of a unified European Union foreign policy and defense
policy that, if enacted, will pose a direct challenge to American
leadership on the world stage. France's military chiefs are deeply
committed to the building of the European Security and Defence
Policy (ESDP), a direct threat to the future of NATO.
In essence, French foreign policy remains a web of
contradictions: a pledge of a new era for U.S.-French relations,
but support for the rise of a European superpower; a tough line on
Iran's nuclear ambitions, but a willingness to include
Iranian-backed terrorist groups like Hezbollah in negotiations over
Lebanon; talk of a new commitment to the NATO alliance, but with a
determination to build a rival European defense structure.
Protecting the Anglo-American Special
Relationship
The strengthening and defense of the traditional Anglo-American
Special Relationship must remain central to U.S. strategic thinking
despite the temptation of Paris's wooing. Great Britain has proven
time and again that it is America's most reliable and dependable
ally, despite occasional periods of tension. At all levels, from
intelligence sharing to economic investment, the United States and
the United Kingdom are and will remain intricately entwined for the
foreseeable future.
The U.S.-British alliance is a strikingly successful partnership
of two world powers built on the solid foundations of a common
heritage, culture, and vision. The two nations have fought
alongside each other in seven major wars in the past 90 years, from
the First World War to the second Gulf War. It is an alliance
forged on the battlefield in a spirit of common sacrifice,
involving a huge expenditure of blood and treasure in defense of
the free world. Already over 250 British soldiers have laid down
their lives alongside their U.S. allies in Iraq and Afghanistan. In
short, both the United States and Great Britain are great warrior
nations, while France certainly is not.
In military terms, the French would struggle to compete with
British combat experience and force projection. While
battle-hardened British forces have been waging major campaigns
against insurgents in Iraq and against the Taliban in Helmand
Province, French troops have seen military action only in minor
colonial conflicts in Africa in recent years. In Afghanistan, the
French have barely fired a shot in anger. It is one thing to talk
tough when it comes to standing up to tyrants and terrorists, but
it is another thing altogether to commit tens of thousands of
troops to fight in a major war. Nations are ultimately judged in
history not by what their leaders say but by their deeds and
actions.
There is, however, no room for complacency in London, and
Downing Street should not encourage the strategists in Foggy Bottom
to think that France, Germany, and a common European Union foreign
policy are a viable long-term alternative to the Special
Relationship. An "entente cordiale" with Paris is pragmatic and
sensible, but any attempt by Washington to ultimately replace the
Anglo-American alliance with a new partnership with France would be
both naïve and short-sighted, as well as a highly risky
proposition.
Nile Gardiner,
Ph.D., is Director of the Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom
at The Heritage Foundation. Heritage Intern Erica Munkwitz
contributed to research for this paper.