The U.S. economy depends on safe, reliable, and affordable air
transportation. Beginning in 1978, airline deregulation transformed
commercial aviation from a luxury for the few to a service
available to essentially all Americans. U.S. companies depend on
the airlines to transport their employees, and a growing number of
all sizes make use of business aviation: corporate jets and
turboprops, air taxi services, and fractional-ownership
programs.
This ubiquitous and affordable air transportation depends
critically on the U.S. aviation infrastructure, which consists
of airports owned and operated by local government agencies and the
air traffic control (ATC) system owned and operated by the
Federal Aviation Administration (FAA).
The FAA and other aviation experts predict serious trouble
over the next two decades, driven by continued aviation growth.
First, a growing number of air travelers are flying in planes of
smaller average size as narrow-body planes replace wide-body
planes, regional jets replace narrow-body planes, and business jets
replace regional jets. This is increasing the number of planes that
the ATC system needs to control significantly faster than the
number of air travelers is growing, exacerbating the FAA's funding
problem. Second, this increased volume of air traffic will soon
bump up against the inherent limits of the current air traffic
control system.
The Joint Planning and Development Office (JPDO) has estimated that
not expanding the system's capacity by 2020 will cost
the U.S. economy $40 billion per year because the overburdened ATC
system will force significant rationing of airline and business
aviation flights. This will significantly increase the average
price of the restricted flights, and some valuable trips will be
eliminated entirely. The leaders of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce
have said that, unless the United States acts soon to address this
fundamental problem with aviation infrastructure capacity, the
consequences could be "devastating." To avoid this crisis, they
have called for designing and setting up an ATC system that can
safely and efficiently handle this heavier demand.
A Window of Opportunity
The current authorization of the FAA expires on September 30,
2007, which means that Congress will need to address the problems
of the air traffic control system in this session. By itself,
the fundamental mismatch between the growth in air traffic and the
growth in FAA revenue poses a serious problem, but the FAA needs an
additional $1 billion per year to implement the Next Generation Air
Transportation System (NGATS) over the next 20 years. For the past
year, the FAA has been developing a user fee-based funding reform
proposal that could provide a starting point for this aspect of the
reauthorization debate.
However, two other key factors that coincide with this scheduled
reauthorization argue for reform that goes beyond just the question
of funding. Within the next year or so, the JPDO will have
developed a plan to phase in NGATS over the next 20 years.
Implementing this major paradigm shift- from 20th-century (manual)
air traffic control to 21st-century (semi-automated) air traffic
management-will be more complex and riskier than any other
challenge the FAA has previously attempted. Simply fixing the FAA's
funding problem without dramatically reforming its management and
governance poses the real risk of larger and more
dramatic cases of cost overruns, schedule slippage, and
systems that do not deliver value for the prices that customers are
paying.
The evidence demonstrates that self-supporting ATC corporations
have a better track record than the FAA in delivering
technology-intensive modernization programs on time and on
budget. They are also consolidating facilities without political
interference, which is one of the keys to the large productivity
gains that NGATS is supposed to deliver.
Over the next 10 years, between one-half and two-thirds of air
traffic controllers will retire and be replaced. This presents a
one-time opportunity to recruit and train a different kind of
workforce for what will become a much different kind of job. Here
again, a self-supporting Air Traffic Organization (ATO) that is
freed from civil service constraints and day-to-day political
oversight would be much better positioned to redefine the
controller's job and make this large-scale personnel
transition.
What Congress Should Do
A growing body of evidence from overseas shows that ATC
commercialization has worked again and again in solving the
underlying problems that are still inherent in the U.S. system. In
1997, the National Civil Aviation Review Commission (Mineta
Commission) made a series of recommendations that would move the
ATC system toward a self-supporting government corporation at
arm's length from the FAA.
In light of the global trend toward self-supporting air
navigation service providers (ANSPs) and recent reports and data on
their performance, Congress should revisit the Mineta
Commission recommendations and enact an updated set of these
recommendations:
-
The ATO should be separated organizationally and physically
from the FAA itself
, even if it remains within the Department of Transportation
as a government corporation or government-sponsored
enterprise.
-
The user fees should be paid not only by passenger and cargo
airlines, but also by turbine-powered business aircraft that fly in
controlled airspace
, making use of en route, oceanic, and terminal-area ATC
services.
-
The ATO board should be a true board of directors
with the normal powers of a corporate board, including
responsibility for the ATO's capital and operating budgets and the
ability to hire and fire the CEO.
Conclusion
Congress can open the door to NGATS by dramatically reforming the
Air Traffic Organization, the entity within the FAA that is
responsible for the air traffic control system. By adopting what
has become the global model of best practice in air traffic
control-the self-funded air navigation service provider-Congress
can transform the ATO into the kind of institution that can
deliver the next-generation ATC system that America
needs.
Robert W. Poole, Jr., is Director of Transportation Studies at
the Reason Foundation in Los Angeles.