The Anglo-American
special relationship today faces one of its greatest challenges
ever in rising British opposition to the United Kingdom's close
ties to the United States. The resurgent Conservative Party under
David Cameron must do more to counter this change in public
attitudes. British Conservatives should embrace their Party's
traditional pro-Atlanticist agenda and resist the temptation to
adopt an anti-American foreign policy. The realistic
alternative-spurning Washington in favor of closer ties to
Brussels-threatens the effectiveness and leadership of both the
United States and Great Britain on the world stage, as well as the
progress of the war on terrorism.
Changing
Attitudes
The recent
YouGov/Spectator poll of British attitudes toward U.S.-U.K.
leadership of the war on terrorism[1] should serve as an important
wake-up call for policymakers in both Washington and London. While
an encouraging 73 percent of respondents agreed that "we are in a
world war against Islamic terrorists who threaten our way of life,"
nearly 80 percent dismissed the idea that Britain and America were
"winning the war against terror." Only 14 percent of those surveyed
supported the view that Britain should "pursue a foreign policy
agenda closer to that of the United States;" 45 percent believed
that "Britain should position her foreign policy closer to that of
the European Union."
The poll reflects
a sea change in attitudes among a British public that is
traditionally pro-Atlanticist and skeptical of European
integration. In part, the survey is a reaction against an unpopular
prime minister, Tony Blair, who is closely aligned with Washington
and whose international standing eclipses his domestic image.
Blair's approval rating remains at less than 30 percent. The
public's changing attitudes are also representative of a broader
rejection of U.S. leadership on the world stage and rising
anti-Americanism on both the left and right of the political
spectrum.
Several other
recent polls have produced negative findings with respect to
British perceptions of U.S. foreign policy and Downing Street's
support for it. A July ICM poll for The Guardian found that
63 percent of Britons thought the U.K. was "too close to the
USA."[2] In a June YouGov/Daily Telegraph
poll, 77 percent of those polled disagreed with the view that the
United States was "a beacon of hope for the world," and 58 percent
supported the description of America as "an imperial power."[3] Fully
67 percent expressed "little or very little confidence" in "the
ability of the United States to deal wisely with present world
problems," and 65 percent supported the view that U.S. policies
made the world "a somewhat or much worse place to live in."
Worryingly, anti-American views are now more
prevalent in the U.K. than in some continental European countries
with a far deeper tradition of public skepticism toward the U.S. In
the latest Financial Times/Harris poll of opinion in five of
the EU's largest member states,[4] a staggering 36 percent of
Britons surveyed described the United States as "the greatest
threat to global security." (Just 19 percent of British respondents
cited Iran as the world's greatest threat). In contrast, 28 percent
of Frenchmen, 21 percent of Italians, and 24 percent of Germans
shared this view. Only in Spain was the negative perception of U.S.
foreign policy greater than in Britain.
The Threat to the
Special Relationship
If the British
public continues to move further away from the United States and
slides closer to the European Union on major international issues,
the long-term future of the special relationship will be in
jeopardy. Britain is at a turning point in its history, faced with
a choice between further political, legal, military and economic
integration with the EU and a deepening of its alliance with the
United States and other English-speaking allies such as Australia.
As Tony Blair discovered with the Iraq war, the two competing
visions are largely incompatible.
From the U.S.
point of view, it would be a geo-strategic disaster if Britain
leans toward Brussels rather than Washington. The most prominent casualty of a fully
developed EU Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) would be the
Anglo-U.S. special relationship, forcibly consigned to the
scrap heap of history. America's closest ally would be unable to
operate an independent foreign policy and stand alongside the
United States where and when it chooses to do so. The consequences
for America would be hugely damaging.
For Britain, there is much to lose from a
weakening of the Anglo-American alliance: the further loss of
national sovereignty, the diminution of British global power and
influence, the loosening of defence and intelligence ties, and a
weakening of the close-knit financial, trade, and investment
relationship.
For both U.S. and U.K. policymakers, the
defense of the special relationship should be a priority. On
the U.S. side, the Bush Administration should step up public
diplomacy in the U.K. Little has been done so far to effectively
project and communicate America's foreign policy message to British
and European audiences. In London, the Blair government must do
more to explain how the alliance with America enhances Britain's
national security rather than undermines it, and why the special
relationship is a two-way street that brings Britain major
benefits. At the same time, the British government should not
undermine the alliance with America by supporting further political
or defense integration in Europe.
The Resurgence of
the Conservative Party
In the U.K., the
Conservative Party, the home of Winston Churchill and Margaret
Thatcher, should play a key role in cementing the transatlantic
relationship. Traditional support for the Anglo-American alliance
has been a hallmark of the Party's foreign policy for over half a
century. British and American conservatives are committed to many
of the same values and ideals on the world stage: the defense of
national sovereignty, the projection of military power to confront
tyranny and threats to international security, the advancement of
free trade, and the protection of human rights. As Shadow Defence
Secretary Liam Fox recently remarked in a speech in Washington,
"Together, America and Britain have helped remake much of the world
in the image of liberty and democracy."
The Conservative
Party has returned as a major force in British politics. The latest
poll by ICM gives the Conservatives a nine-point advantage over the
ruling Labour Party, the Tories' biggest lead in 19 years.[6] Out of
power since Tony Blair swept into Downing Street in 1997, the
Conservatives now are serious contenders for government when the
next U.K. general election is held in either 2009 or 2010.
Blair's demise
coupled with the decline in the polls for the Labour Party offer
the Conservatives their first opportunity in a decade to emerge as
a force in international affairs. As the Conservatives move closer
to Downing Street, there is growing interest among Washington
policymakers in the Conservative Party's foreign policy positions,
in particular those concerning issues that have a direct bearing on
the United States. The positions of British Conservative leaders on
the war on terrorism, Iraq, Iran, Lebanon, and North Korea, for
example, now carry far more weight than they did a year or even six
months ago. They can no longer be ignored or dismissed as the
statements of an opposition party far removed from political power
and are increasingly seen as the views of a potential government in
waiting. As such, the positions of British shadow cabinet ministers
on the major international issues of the day are rightly drawing
the attention of the White House, National Security Council,
Pentagon, and State Department.
For the first time
in a decade, British Conservatives are in a position to have their
voice heard and to make a real impact in Washington, especially in
terms of U.S. policy toward the European Union. British
conservatives can play an important role in helping shape U.S.
thinking on the future of Europe, an issue of fundamental national
importance to the United Kingdom and the United States. The message
they must convey is that the increasing centralization of political
power in Europe poses a fundamental threat to both the British and
the U.S. national interests.
A Dazed and Confused
Foreign Policy
To many
policymakers in Washington, however, the Conservative Party's
current foreign policy is an enigma. The newly released party
manifesto, "Built to Last," makes no mention at all of the United
States and fails to outline a coherent vision or strategy for
fighting the global war against Islamic terrorism or confronting
the growing threat posed by Iran and other rogue regimes.[7] Nor
does it address the future of Britain's relationship with the
European Union.
In its public
statements, the Conservative Party's leadership appears
increasingly to be following the polls rather than leading public
opinion, or mirroring the sort of fashionable anti-American
rhetoric popular in the salons of Paris or Brussels. At times the
foreign policy positions of the center-right Conservative Party
resemble that of the left-wing Liberal Democrats. High-profile
attacks by some Conservative MPs on the war in Iraq and America's
conduct of the war on terrorism are seen as deeply unhelpful across
the Atlantic. Condemnation by the Party's leadership of Israeli
military operations in Lebanon as "disproportionate" provoked a
backlash not only among Conservative supporters in Britain, but
also widespread unease in Washington, where it was viewed as a huge
shift in policy as well as a sharp jab at U.S. support for
Israel.
There are echoes
of former Conservative leader Michael Howard's highly
confrontational and ultimately disastrous approach toward the U.S.
administration that so badly damaged relations between
conservatives across the Atlantic. The current thaw in relations,
achieved by the highly successful visit to Washington in February
of three leading shadow cabinet ministers (Liam Fox, George
Osborne, and William Hague), may be edged aside by another
transatlantic 'cold war' that would be in the interests of neither
the Conservative Party nor the Bush Administration.
By playing to
increasing anti-U.S. sentiment in the U.K., the Conservative Party
risks burning bridges and alienating friends and allies, a risky
short-sighted strategy that will yield little long-term gain. A
poisoned relationship between the new Conservative Party leadership
and the Bush Administration would undermine the influence of
British conservatives in Washington. If the public attacks on U.S.
foreign policy become a longer-term trend, a Conservative
government would find itself in an extremely difficult position
dealing with a future Republican administration. Even a
Democrat-run White House would balk at the kind of language being
used to describe Israeli action against Hezbollah.
There is an
immediate need for greater dialogue and exchange of ideas between
British and American conservatives, as well as high-level contacts
between shadow cabinet ministers and officials in the executive
branch of the U.S. government. The common goal should be the
advancement of the special relationship and U.S.-British interests
on the world stage. There will undoubtedly be strong disagreements
over policy issues, but these are better aired in frank, private
meetings than sharply worded opinion pieces that can cause
significant public damage.
Defending the
Special Relationship
British
conservatives should advance a strongly pro-Atlanticist agenda that
emphasizes U.S.-British leadership on the world stage,
Anglo-American cooperation in the war on terrorism, a firm
determination to halt the development of a nuclear-armed Iran,
support for global free trade, and concerted action to end the
genocide in Sudan and human rights abuses in countries such as
Burma and Zimbabwe. This should be a foreign policy based on the
view that Britain, in alliance with America, is a major global
player, with significant military, diplomatic, and economic clout
that eclipses that of any other European country-in other words, a
self-confident international power whose vision extends far beyond
the narrow confines of the European Union.
Nile
Gardiner, Ph.D., is the Bernard and Barbara Lomas Fellow and
Director of the Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom, a division of
the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International
Studies, at The Heritage Foundation. Peter Cuthbertson assisted
with research for this paper.