Today the
Department of Defense releases its Quadrennial Defense Review
(QDR). This report, which the department is required by law to
prepare every four years, reviews the department's forces,
resources, and programs. It outlines a strategy for addressing
critical issues like budget and acquisition priorities, emerging
threats, and required capabilities. One issue that the QDR probably
does not adequately address is the need to increase defense
spending in the years ahead to prevent the military from becoming
hollow.
How Much is
Enough?
America's national
security is in peril when it has a military that looks good on
paper but cannot actually perform the missions it might be called
on to undertake. "Hollow force"
describes what happens when military readiness declines because of
a lack of adequate funding. A hollow force lacks the resources (1)
to provide trained and ready forces, (2) to support ongoing
operations, and (3) to modernize. One of the first signs of
impending hollowness is when the services tradeoff manpower against
modernization to meet competing and equally important priorities.
When the Pentagon has to sacrifice investment in the future force
to save money to pay today's bills, that increases risks and can
cost taxpayer even more money in the long run. Some Air Force
decisions reflected in the QDR are a case in point.
Whither the F-22?
The F-22 is the Air Force's newest fighter.
Due to a recent decision, the number of aircraft to be purchased
will be reduced and the years to procure them extended to free $3.5
billion in the near term to invest in developing a new long-range
strike aircraft (probably a bomber). A new long-range strike
capability is vital and should be funded, but delaying the F-22
purchase is the wrong way to do it. The U.S. has already spent $25
billion to develop the F-22, and it is a good plane. The Air Force
desperately needs to replace its old fighters. Speeding production
will give the Air Force more new planes faster and at less expense.
Forcing the Air Force to stretch its purchase over time could
increase the cost per plane and will delay the replacement of old
fighters.
Why Keep the C5A?
The C5A is a large-transport aircraft. It is
old and rickety. The workhorse of the air transport fleet is the
C-17. It is a proven, capable plane. To maintain the number of
aircraft needed for air transport and save money in the short run,
the Air Force plans to spend $85 million to upgrade the C5A. In the
long run, the Air Force will have much more capability and save
money by retiring the C5A and buying more C-17s.
Fewer Troops?
Manpower is the
most expensive part of the military, but it is also the military's
most valuable asset. The Air Force plans to cut 40,000 personnel.
Again, this move will save money in the short term, but for the
long-term it makes no sense. Cutting the numbers will just put
greater stress on a smaller number of active and reserve
forces.
Stop the
Insanity
When the services
must choose between equally important and vital priorities so that
they can pay the bills, the nation is not spending enough on
defense. When the services must commit to spending a lot of money
in the long run so that they can save a little bit today, the
nation is not spending enough on defense. The QDR will not solve
this problem. The administration and Congress must provide defense
budgets adequate to meet all critical needs and stop forcing the
services to make counterproductive decisions.
James
Jay Carafano, Ph.D., is Senior Research Fellow for National
Security and Homeland Security in the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom
Davis Institute for International Studies at The Heritage
Foundation.