As
political leaders debate how best to fix Social Security, many
policymakers are focusing on the wrong issue. Their sole concern
seems to be the date when the Social Security retirement and
survivors trust fund will run out of its paper assets. This
mistaken emphasis misses the fundamental point about Social
Security's problems: There is no cash in the Social Security trust
fund, and there never has been any.
The
Social Security trust fund is merely an accounting device filled
with IOUs that future taxpayers must repay. Far too soon, payroll
taxes will be insufficient to pay all of the promised benefits.
Unless Congress promptly takes action, taxpayers will have to pump
hundreds of billions of additional tax dollars into Social Security
to pay the promised benefits.
How the Trust
Fund Operates.Workers pay their Social Security taxes
through their employers. Each employer periodically sends a lump
sum payment to the U.S. Treasury that includes all of the income
taxes and Social Security and Medicare payroll taxes paid by both
the employer and its employees.
The
Treasury both receives the payroll taxes (and income taxes that
higher-income retirees pay on their Social Security benefits) and
pays monthly benefits on behalf of the Social Security
Administration (SSA). The money stays in the Treasury's hands until
it is either paid out as Social Security benefits or otherwise
spent by the government. In fact, no money ever goes into the trust
fund. Instead, the trust fund balance is the result of two
accounting entries by the Treasury.
First, the Treasury estimates how much of
the aggregate tax receipts are Social Security taxes and "credits"
the Social Security trust fund with that amount. Then the Treasury
"subtracts" the total amount paid in monthly Social Security
benefits from the trust fund balance. No money actually changes
hands; these are strictly accounting entries.
Any
"money" remaining in the trust fund is converted into special-issue
Treasury bonds, which are really nothing more than IOUs. In
addition, the Treasury pays interest on the trust fund's balance by
crediting the trust fund with additional IOUs. These are also
strictly accounting entries, and again no money changes hands.
After crediting the trust fund with the proper amount in IOUs, the
government spends the extra Social Security tax collections just
like any other tax revenue--to finance anything from aircraft
carriers to education research.
At
the end of 2002, the Social Security trust fund had a balance of
$1.22 trillion. During 2003, the Treasury received $544 billion in
Social Security taxes and paid out $406 billion in Social Security
benefits. Therefore, the trust fund received $138 billion in these
special-issue Treasury bonds, resulting in a trust fund balance of
$1.36 trillion at the end of 2003.
Why the Social
Security Trust Fund Differs from Real Trust Funds.
Private-sector trust funds invest in real assets ranging from
stocks and bonds to mortgages and other financial instruments.
However, the Social Security trust funds are only "invested" in a
special type of Treasury bond that can only be issued to and
redeemed by the Social Security Administration. As the
Congressional Research Service noted in a report on May 5,
1998:
When the government issues a bond to one
of its own accounts, it hasn't purchased anything or established a
claim against another entity or person. It is simply creating a
form of IOU from one of its accounts to another.
According to the Office of Management and
Budget under the Clinton Administration in 1999:
These [trust fund] balances are available
to finance future benefit payments and other trust fund
expenditures--but only in a bookkeeping sense. These funds are not
set up to be pension funds, like the funds of private pension
plans. They do not consist of real economic assets that can be
drawn down in the future to fund benefits. Instead, they are claims
on the Treasury, that, when redeemed, will have to be financed by
raising taxes, borrowing from the public, or reducing benefits or
other expenditures. [Emphasis added.]
In
short, the Social Security trust fund is really only an accounting
mechanism. The trust fund shows how much the government has
borrowed from Social Security, but it does not provide any way to
finance future benefits. The money to repay the IOUs will have to
come from taxes that are being used today to pay for other
government programs. For that reason, the most important date for
Social Security is 2018, when taxpayers must begin to repay the
IOUs, not 2042, when the trust fund is exhausted.
Conclusion. Social Security's financial
crisis will begin far sooner than many politicians claim. In less
than three years, the first baby boomer will reach retirement age.
Once that happens, Social Security (and Medicare) will be on a
slippery slope toward insolvency. While Social Security can
continue to use its tax receipts to pay full retirement benefits
until 2018, Congress cannot wait that long to act. Misleading the
public into believing that Social Security is secure until 2042 or
beyond will only make the impending crisis more difficult to
avoid.
Furthermore, huge impending deficits are
only one of the problems facing Social Security. The sad reality is
that millions of workers receive a dismal rate of return on their
Social Security retirement taxes. Making matters worse, the current
program does not enable workers to build up investments and cash
savings to supplement their monthly Social Security checks.
The
debate about Social Security's future should be about how to
improve each American's personal retirement security and how to
enable each American to build a nest egg for the future. Otherwise,
Americans will lose a real opportunity to improve the lives of
future retirees. The best way to fix Social Security is to provide
younger workers with the opportunity to invest part of their Social
Security taxes in personal retirement accounts.
David C. John is
Research Fellow in Social Security and Financial Institutions in
the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies at The
Heritage Foundation.