(Archived document, may contain errors)
1043 July21, 1995 A GUIDE TO CRAFTING A TAX PACKAGE FOR THE
FISCAL 1996 BUDGET INTRODUCTION Later this month, members of the Ho
use Ways and Means Committee and Senate Fi nance Committee will
begin filling in the details of the $245 billion package of tax
relief approved in the FY 1996 budget resolution. In addition to
finding the savings needed to balance the federal budget by fi s
cal 2002, the budget resolution requires an additional 75 billion
in savings, which combined with the estimated $170 billion fiscal
dividend produced by the balanced budget plan, is sufficient to
finance a substantial package of tax relief to help familie s with
children and to stimulate economic growth.
Congress must now determine how to allocate a limited pool of
$245 billion in tax re lief. The committees should begin this
process by using the $354 billion House plan as a menu from which
to craft a tax r elief package. Because the House plan contains
roughly 1 10 billion more tax relief than is now available under
the conference agreement, the committees must use some criteria for
narrowing their choices. While each of the tax re lief proposals in
the Hou se-passed plan addresses particular inequities in the tax
code or specific weaknesses in the economy, some of the proposals
have additional qualities that should make them top priorities for
inclusion in the frnal package.
The cornerstones of the House-passed plan, which also should
form the cornerstones of the new tax relief package, are V A $500
per child tax credit V A reduction of the capital gains tax, and V
An IRA-Plus plan.
These tax relief proposals have been the core of the House plan
because they provide direct tax relief to American families and
they would do most to spur economic growth.
The other tax cuts in the House plan are far more targeted in
their impact on various tax payers or far more limited in their
impact on the economy. To be sure, these other tax cuts are
important, but their inclusion in the final tax cut package will
rest on the relative merits of each proposal.
In the final analysis, however, the answer involves an important
and fundamental deci sion by Congress about who should control
spending-the government or taxpayers.
That is why both tax and spending reductions are needed to
effectively move control of spending out of Washington and into the
hands of ordinary citizens. By including tax r e lief in this years
budget, Congress is allowing American taxpayers, rather than the
gov ernment, to keep and spend more of the money they earn.
Relief for Families. Most important, American families must
share in the savings from reduced government spen ding. Families
also are more likely to support such reduc tions, for example, if
they know they can keep $500 for each dependent child. This is es
pecially true as Congress is considering substantial reforms in
welfare. For working fami lies earning betwe e n $17,000 and
$24,000 per year, the $500 per child tax credit (giving a family of
four a $1,000 tax cut) will eliminate their entire income tax
burden. Indeed these families would need less government assistance
if they did not have to send so much of the money they earn to
Washington in taxes.
These overtaxed families can also be turned into a powerful
constituency for smaller government if Congress directly links the
benefits of balancing the budget to family tax relief. The families
of 52 million childr en, or 35 million working families, would be
eligi ble for the $500 per child tax credit. Taking money away from
wasteful government pro grams and placing it in the pockets of
working families gives these taxpayers a stake in the budget
process and the in centive to stand up to the advocates of big
government.
Overall, the House-passed plan is very family-friendly, since
some 65 percent of all tax relief will go to families or seniors.
About 35 percent of the tax relief will benefit the business or
investme nt communities, contributing to economic growth through
job crea tion. Some of the tax relief targeted to business, such as
reductions in estate and gift taxes, also will benefit owners of
family businesses and farms. As they craft a new tax re lief plan,
the House and Senate committees would be wise to maintain the
family friendly nature of the House plan by keeping the relative
ratio of tax relief targeted to families and to economic growth and
businesses.
Other tax relief proposals contained in the Hous e-passed plan
would improve the fair ness of the tax system for senior citizens
and businesses, too. For instance, seniors will be more likely to
accept Medicare reforms if they no longer have to pay todays surtax
on their Social Security benefits; and bu sinesses will be more
likely to accept losses in corporate welfare programs if they know
the tax code will not punish them for capital in vestments and
risk-taking.
Relieving the Pressure on Spending. Members should also keep in
mind that certain tax relie f can change the behavior of some
taxpaying groups in ways that ultimately re duce federal outlays
for specific programs. Two examples in the House-passed plan are
the tax credits for adoption and the improved tax treatment of
long-term health care ex pen d itures. Studies show that in many
states, putting one child in foster care can cost tax 2 FAM payers
$10,000 to $30,000 per year. This cost could be reduced
substantially to the extent that the adoption credit encourages
more families to adopt foster chil d ren. Similarly Medicaids
nursing home costs are exploding as many seniors are divesting
themselves of their assets in order to become eligible for this
taxpayer financed program. These pub lic costs could be
substantially reduced by the improved tax treat ment of long-term
care insurance and out-of-pocket expenses.
Members of Congress should understand how different elements of
tax relief benefit their states. Many Members opposing tax relief
choose to look only at the impact of re duced federal spending on
their states or districts. They forget that if Washington does not
spend the money, families will have more to buy necessities for
their children, sen iors will have more to pay for their own
medical services, and businesses will have more to invest in t h
eir workers. While this private spending is not as politically
visible as un veiling a new pork-barrel project, it does far more
to improve the lives of citizens back home als-in some cases, as
much as $10 billion to $20 billion over seven years-for each s tate
(see Appendix). Taxpayers do not need more government spending or
new social programs to improve their well-being. Shifting the
resources from Washington bureau crats to families, seniors, and
businesses should be viewed as a prudent way to reduce fu ture
government spending and encourage work saving and investment.
As Members negotiate over how to allocate the $245 billion in
agreed-upon tax relief they must remember the importance of putting
families first. Working families have borne the largest bu rden for
the rampant growth of government spending and stand to feel the
greatest pinch as the rate of spending declines. Furthermore,
family incomes have been declining since 1989 thanks to large tax
increases imposed on them in 1990 and 1993 The Heritag e Foundation
has estimated the benefits of some of these tax relief propos LY
TAX RELIEF The House-passed balanced budget plan contains a
substantial package of family friendly tax cuts, including a $500
per child tax credit, expanded Individual Retirement Accounts, and
tax credits for families who adopt and those caring for elderly
relatives.
Over seven years, these family tax cut provisions total $184
billion, comprising 50 per cent of the overall tax cut plan.
Families, especially families with children, will benefit more than
any other group of taxpayers from cutting more wasteful government
spend ing 1) $500 per Child Tax Credit The centerpiece of the
Republican Contract with America and the centerpiece of the
House-passed plan is a $500 per child tax c redit benefiting 35
million working families raising some 52 million children. Such tax
relief for working families is long overdue. In 1948, the average
American family with two children paid only 3 percent of its income
to the federal government in taxe s . Today the same family pays
24.5 percent. The family income lost in taxes over the past 45
years exceeds the annual mortgage payment on the average family
home. Giving the typical family of four a $500 per child tax credit
is equivalent to giving them on e months mortgage payment 3 The
House plans $500 per child credit is non-refundable, meaning the
total value of the credit may not exceed a familys income tax bill.
But it does provide uniform tax re lief to all families with up to
$200,000 per year in inc ome, thereby reducing a low-in come
familys tax burden by a much greater proportion than an
upper-income familys.
Example: A $500 per child t ax credit would eliminate the entire
federal income tax li ability for families of four earning between
$17,000 and $24,000 per year; cut by 50 per cent the income tax
burden of a family earning $30,000 per year; and cut by 30 percent
the income tax burde n of a family earning $40,000 per year.
Meanwhile, the same credit would reduce the income tax burden of a
family earning $100,000 per year by only 6.8 percent and the income
tax burden of a family earning $200,000 per year by just 2.6 per
cent.
Based on C ensus Bureau data, Heritage Foundation analysts have
calculated that the typical congressional district has some 117,000
children in families eligible for a $500 credit. This means
families in the typical district would receive $59 million per year
in tax relief. The Appendix shows the amount of family tax relief
by state. It is difficult to imagine that any single federal
spending project of similar magnitude could benefit as many
constituents at the same time. Thus, the political advantages of
family tax relief would more than outweigh the political
disadvantages of cutting the federal spending needed to pay for it
2) Tax Credit to Reduce the Marriage Penalty Under current law,
dual-income bed couples who file a joint return can end up pay ing
more taxes , than two single taxpayers filing individually. The
House-passed bill takes a small step toward reducing this marriage
penalty by giving these working couples a tax credit with a maximum
value of $145 per year. The size of this credit would be-deter
mined b y Treasury Department tax tables comparing the tax
liability of a married couple filing jointly with their liability
if they filed as unmarried workers. While the size of this tax
credit is relatively small, it is a first step toward removing the
tax code s bias against marriage and intact families 3) New
Individual Retirement Accounts Individual Retirement Accounts
(IRAs) reduce the tax bias against savings by defer ring taxes on
income (up to $2,000 per year) placed into these special accounts.
How ever, this income and the interest generated by these savings
are taxed when retirees be gin to withdraw their money.
The House-passed plan offers another way for taxpayers to avoid
punishing taxes on retirement savings by creating a new IRA called
the American Dream Savings Ac count (ADS account). Contributions to
this account would be made from post-tax in come, but the interest
from such savings would not be taxed upon withdrawal if the con
tributions remain in the account for at least .five years and the
ret iree has reached age 591/
2. This new form of IRA would give workers the incentive to save
taxed income to day in order to reap tax savings in retirement.
That is why the ADS account is sometimes known as a back-ended IRA
4 Initially, contributions to the new ADS account would be limited
to $2,000 per tax payer per year 4,OOO for a married couple but
this amount would be indexed to the rate of inflation in subsequent
years. The plan also allows penalty-free withdrawals for a
first-time home purchase or to pay certain educational or medical
expenses.
The House-passed plan also modifies current restrictions on the
amount married spouses may contribute jointly to an IRA. Under
current law, and subject to certain re strictions on workers with
other retirement p lans, individuals may place up to $2,000 into an
IRA. However, spouses filing jointly are allowed to contribute only
a combined 2,250 to their IRA, not $2,000 for each spouse. The new
ADS account allows this same couple to contribute $2,000 for each
spous e for a full $4,000, even if one spouse is not working. This
provision would greatly assist the retirement plans of families in
which one parent chose to stay home with the children. This change
also would encourage lower-income taxpayers to save more for t heir
retirement and rely less on Social Security 4) Tax Credit for
Adoption The estimated two million families ready to adopt children
face huge expenses during the adoption process, but current tax law
does not allow them to deduct adoption costs from th e ir tax bill.
The House-passed plan makes a substantial commitment to encourag
ing adoption by giving adoptive families a tax credit of $5,000 to
offset such expenses as adoption fees, court costs, attorneys fees,
and other related expenses. This credit is avail able in full to
families earning up to $60,000 per year and gradually phased out
for fami lies earning up to $100,000 per year.
This credit could go a long way toward encouraging families who
want to adopt less fortunate children but are prevented f rom doing
so by the enormous cost. By encourag ing more adoptions by solid
middle-class families, this credit could lead to a long-term
reduction in the cost of taxpayer-supported social service and
foster care programs at both the federal and state level s.
According to the American Public Welfare Association close to
500,000 children were in the foster care system in 19
92. Studies show that tax payers pay an average of $lO,OOO per
child per year for foster care programs and as much as $30,000 per
child p er year for more intensive shelter care programs. And while
many couples want to adopt, they often are discouraged by the
initial costs of the adop tion process, especially if they have
only a modest income. Thus, to the extent that the credit
encourages a dditional parents to adopt, reductions in state and
federal outlays to maintain these children in foster care or
institutions would offset the revenue cost 5) Tax Credit for
Dependent Parents The current tax code provides little relief to
families who cho o se to care for an elderly parent or grandparent.
The standard personal exemption of $2,500 is available for these
families, but, as with the dependent child exemption, the value of
the credit is greater for middle- and upper-income families than
for modes t -income families in the 15 percent in come bracket. For
example, while the standard deduction of $2,500 allows a family in
1 Patrick F. Fagan, Why Serious Welfare Reform Must Include
Adoption Reform. Heritage Foundation Buckgrounder No 1045, July 25,
1995 5 TAX the 15 percent bracket to lower their income tax by
$375, the same deduction allows a family in the 28 percent bracket
to lower their tax by $700.
The House plan offers additional-and more equitable-tax relief
to families who care for their parents and grandparents in the form
of a uniform $500 tax credit. Such a credit could help many
families who prefer to care for their elderly relatives at home but
cannot afford the expense. To avoid burdening their children and
grandchildren with this expense, m any seniors are divesting
themselves of their wealth in order to become eligi ble for the
long-term program funded by Medicaid. This program, which pays for
nursing home care for seniors, is quickly becoming the fastest
growing program in the federal budg e t. The $500 tax credit could
help reduce this cost by encouraging more families to take an
active role in caring for their elderly relatives RELIEF FOR
SENIORS The House budget proposal contains provisions that are
especially important to many retired or t erminally ill Americans
with particular financial needs. It repeals the elderly surtax
provisions of President Clintons 1993 tax increase, which imposed a
high tax rate on income from savings, investments, and pensions? In
addition, it provides tax in cen t ives for the purchase of private
long-term care insurance, allows terminally and chronically ill
people to receive insurance benefits before their death without an
income tax penalty, and increases the amount individuals between
age 65 and 69 may continue to earn from employment without losing
their Social Security benefits 1 #6) Repeal of theTax Increase on
Social Security Benefits Over four million retired Americans were
shocked to discover a severe penalty in their 1994 federal taxes,
imposed by the 199 3 tax bill on their income from savings for
retire ment. The penalty imposed by Section 86 of the Internal
Revenue Code creates a higher marginal tax rate for all Americans
over age 65 who supplemented their Social Security pensions with
personal savings a n d pensions earned during their working years.
With drawals from IRA savings accounts are particularly hard hit,
and these withdrawals are mandatory after age 701n. Retired people
above that age cannot avoid turning over sig nificant portions of
their reti rement savings to the tax collectors.
The House plan gradually repeals the 1993 increase in this tax
on savings over a five year period but does not eliminate it
entirely. It cuts the maximum tax to 75 percent in 1996,65 percent
in 1997,60 percent in 1998, 55 percent in 1999, and 50 percent in
2000 and later years. The complete elimination of this highly
complex section of the tax code should be a top priority in
Congress, since it is a direct attack on responsible individuals
ability to prepare for retirem e nt by saving. House Speaker Newt
Gingrich (R-GA) has identified this tax as a priority for repeal:
punishing people who work and save all their life is not only
morally wrong, it is bad social p01icy 2 P.L. 103-66 amended
Section 86 of the Internal Revenu e Code to require the
double-taxation of income from savings up to an amount equal to 85
percent of any Social Security benefits received by a taxpayer. See
Joe Cobb and Scott A. Hodge, The Clinton Surtax on the Elderlys
Savings, Heritage Foundation F.Y.I. No. 4, August 18, 1993.
Meet the Press, NBC News broadcast, May 7,1995. 3 6 All Social
Security recipients must fill out a complicated worksheet just to
calculate whether they are subject to the higher tax rate, which
adds to the complexity of the tax cod e for these senior citizens.
The tax computation also obscures the higher rates, since the
method of figuring whether it is due has been made extremely
confusing and depends on how much income anyone receives from
savings. For most Social Security recipie n ts the additional
complicated paperwork this April 15 was simply bothersome, because
their calculations placed them below an exempt threshold. But the
higher rates hit hard those taxpayers .with retirement income
greater than $25,000 32,000 for married ta x payers) from private
pensions, withdrawals from an IRA or 401(k) savings plan, and divi
dends or interest from investments. Although incomes below the
exemption are not sub ject to the higher. rates, the tax threshold
amounts are not indexed for inflatio n, so in a few years most if
not all retired Americans with income from savings will be
penalized.
The elderly surtax has two brackets. The first increases the
taxpayers marginal rate by 50.percent (for example, from 15 to 22.5
percent); the second, by 85 percent (from 28 to 5 1.8 percent The
second bracket applies to individuals with incomes above $34,000
and married taxpayers above $44,0
00. As the table on the following page illustrates, for tax
payers in the top income tax bracket of 39.6 percent, the elderly
surtax imposes an effec tive marginal tax rate of 73 percent on any
funds they withdraw from IRA savings. These high rates begin to
wipe out mandatory IRA withdrawals at age 701/2.
The low savings rate for retirement among middle-income
Americans in the prime of life is one of the most serious policy
concerns in Congress today. Yet the surtax on sav ings for Social
Security recipients, of which many seniors often are unaware until
they start withdrawing their IRA savings, makes a mockery of the in
c entives to save. It is a cruel joke because the tax rates are
higher, not lower as most savers were promised. Re pealing this
vicious surtax on the savings of elderly Americans is not just good
social pol icy. It is the right thing to do I #7) Modify the S
ocial Security EarningsTest Approximately two million Americans
over age 65 supplement their Social Security benefits with income
earned through part-time jobs. For many elderly people, retirement
is out of the question because it would mean economic hard ship.
They simply have inade quate savings or no private pension
benefits. The Social Security law has cut benefits se verely for
retirees who continue to work and em more than $1 1,2
80. This limitation ap plies to, those between the ages of 65
and 70 and is indexed annually for inflation. Those who earn more
lose $1 in Social Security benefits for every $3 of wages earned.
The House of Representatives budget proposal would raise the annual
earnings limit to 30,0
00. The increases would be phased in over five years: from
$15,000 in 1996 to 19,000 in 1997 23,000 in 1998 27,000 in 1999;
and $30,000 in the year 2000.The earnings limit thereafter would be
indexed for inflation.
The earnings limit requires the Social Security Administ ration
(SSA) to recalculate pension benefits and attempt to collect
amounts paid to retired people who earned more than the law
permits. Retirees must forecast their years earnings in advance and
have their Social Security cut, but if their estimated inco m e is
too low, they must fill out appli cation forms to recover their
lost benefits. The SSA estimates that 60 percent of all over
payments and 45 percent of all underpayments occur because of the
earnings limit. This 7 MARGINAL TAX RATES FOR YOUNG AND OLD
TAXPAYERS Married Couple Filing a Joint Return I INCOME RATES FOR
OLD RATES TAXPAYERS WITH SURTAX TAXPAYERS j+yO 22;50i0 5,1.5 I I
57.40/d Higher rate for retired, married taxpayer begins at
$44,0
00. Between $39,000 and $44,000, the retired taxpayers would
face a 42% rate limit costs over $200 million per year in
administrative paperwork, most of which would be saved by expanding
the earnings limit as proposed in the House budget resolution.
In the next few decades, the generation approaching retirement
generally will have in adequate savings to enjoy leisure without
supplemental earnings. In addition, the lower birthrate in the past
two decades will have tightened the labor market, so many elderly
workers may find their experience and skills still very m uch in
demand. The U.S. econ omy will enjoy higher economic growth and
semi-retired workers will have a more ade quate standard of living
with the proposed modification in the Social Security earnings test
8) Provide an Incentive for Private long-Term Car e As the health
of elderly Americans improves and more people live to very old age,
the financial burden of providing care for this increasingly
dependent group has become a challenge for public policy.
Increasingly, middle-class Americans discover later i n life that
despite the prudent decisions they have made to cover their income
and health care needs during retirement, they face unanticipated
and staggering costs for nursing home care. Many see the savings
and other assets assembled during their working lives disap pear
rapidly when they become chronically sick or frail and need
institutional care. One response to this threat has been for
elderly Americans to transfer assets to their children so that they
can qualify for nursing home assistance under the Medicaid program.
States and the federal government are concerned about the rising
cost of the long-term portion of Medicaid, partly because of this
"gaming" of Medicaid.
In an attempt to control future budget outlays for health and
welfare benefits, peop le should be given effective incentives to
provide for their own long-term care. The House budget resolution
provides several new tax provisions to encourage individuals .and
em ployers to provide long-term care insurance. Starting in 1996,
long-term care insurance generally would be treated the same as
accident and health insurance, and employers would be allowed to
provide their employees with tax-free long-term care insurance just
as they now often provide medical benefits. Individuals would be
allowed t o exchange existing life insurance policies or annuity
contracts for long-term care policies without in curring any income
tax liability. They also would be permitted to withdraw funds from
IRAs and other tax-sheltered retirement plans to purchase long-te r
m care insurance 8 Although medical expenses are deductible from
federal taxes when they exceed a cer tain percentage of income,
long-term care expenses today generally are not tax-deduct ible.
Under the House budget resolution, eligible long-term care pr e
miums and expenses for qualified long-term care services would be
treated the same as other medical ex penses, and benefits received
under a long-term care insurance policy would be tax-free up to
$200 per day der tax provisions similar to those for medic a l
insurance makes good sense, especially in view of the growing
elderly population. Delaying the incentives to prepare for an
easily foreseen future problem would be shortsighted, making more
likely even heavier state and federal spending on nursing home c
are Placing long-term care benefits on the same basis as health
care and financing them un 9) Accelerated Payment of Life Insurance
Benefits for the Terminally 111 Under current law, life insurance
benefits are not taxed, but insured individuals and their families
have no way to obtain benefits prior to death without a severe
income tax li ability-even though many insurance companies are
willing to offer such accelerated benefits. In the case of
lingering illness with no prospect of recovery, an elderly pe r son
could exhaust all his savings and apply for Medicaid, unable to
claim potentially huge life insurance benefits. And if the elderly
person no longer has the means to make pre mium payments, his
policies may be allowed to lapse The House budget includes a
provision to facilitate the practice by which some insur ance
providers pay benefits prior to death if the insured person is
terminally or chroni cally ill. Such payments would be excluded
from a taxpayers gross income, just as pay ments to a surviving b
eneficiary now are. In addition, similar tax-exempt treatment is al
lowed for amounts received from the sale or assignment of a life
insurance contract to a qualified settlement provider. In these
cases, the insured would receive a payment compa rable to t he
value of insurance benefits, and the settlement provider eventually
would col lect the insurance. As in the case of long-term care
benefits, the tax-exempt amount for someone who is chronically but
not terminally ill would be subject to the $200 per da y exclusion
limit.
The tragedy of terminal illness and the financial burden of
chronic illness ought to be sufficient misery for anyone, but the
federal tax code adds a degree of bureaucratic hostil ity. Life
insurance is offered with benefits payable unde r these
circumstances, and older policies can be sold or converted to
obtain benefits before death. The income tax code should be made
more consistent with this humane and increasingly common practice
TAX RELIEF TO PROMOTE JOBS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH In addi t ion to
family tax relief provisions, the House-passed budget resolution
includes a number of reforms designed to reduce the tax burden on
savings and investment. In cluded in this category are lo)
Reduction in Capital Gains Tax The U.S. tax code unfairly a nd
unwisely punishes capital investment by taxing invest ment income
more than once: twice through the corporate and individual income
taxes and again by taxing capital gains. The current maximum tax
rate on capital gains is 28 9 percent, and these gains a re not
indexed to the inflation rate. By contrast, most of Amer icas major
economic competitors, such as Japan or Germany, exempt capital
gains from taxation entirely or tax them at a greatly reduced rate
while often indexing the basis of the gains to inf lation.
The House bill lessens this penalty in two ways. First, it
lowers the maximum capital gains rate to slightly below 20 percent.
Second, it permits individuals to index the value of assets to
ensure that they are not being taxed on purely inflationar y gains.
This re wards new investment and risk-taking. As the
Appendixillustrates, this provision will re duce the tax burden on
investment by an estimated $63.2 billion between 1995 and 2002.4 It
is a positive, albeit limited, step toward the goal of eli m
inating capital gains taxes 11) Neutral Cost Recovery Under current
law, businesses must write off capital investments from their tax
liabil ity over a number of years. This is different from all other
business expenses that can be deducted in the year of purchase, or
fully expensed. However, the value of a long-term write-off is less
than the original cost of the investment because the amounts
deducted in later years lose their value.
The House plan corrects these penalties in the tax code by
indexing the depreciation schedules for business investments to
inflation and the time value of money. The House bill adjusts
depreciation schedules (which determine how fast businesses can
deduct the cost of new investments) to protect investors from
inflation and o t herwise remove biases against investment,
particularly for long-term projects. The provision is designed to
ap proximate the ideal tax policy of immediate expensing of capital
investment (as found in the flat tax By correcting this flaw in the
tax code, C o ngress would help encourage busi nesses to invest
more heavily in Americas future economic growth 12) Alternative
Minimum Tax The House bill repeals the Corporate Alternative
MinimumTax and modifies the indi vidual AMT. These provisions
impose some of the heaviest compliance costs and raise limited
revenues. Combined with the Neutral Cost Recovery provision, AMT
relief would ease the tax burden on American business by about $42
billion over seven years see Appendix for state totals 13)
Expensing for Small Business In addition to neutral cost recovery,
the House bill increases the amount of investment which can be
immediately expensed. Along with other modest reforms, small
business will realize $1 1.4 billion of tax relief (see Appendix
for state totals).
A doption would boost incentives to save and invest, thereby
ensuring faster growth for the economy and higher incomes for
American workers The House tax provisions are a positive first step
on the road to pro-growth tax reform 4 All revenue figures are bas
ed on assumptions that the economys performance remains unchanged.
More accurate estimates, of course, would show some degree of
revenue feedback as a result of the higher levels of economic
growth.
CONCLUSION The dilemma facing the House Ways and Means Co
mmittee and the Senate Finance Committee is how to allocate among
families, businesses, and seniors the $245 billion in tax relief
provided in the fiscal 1996 budget resolution. The priorities
established in the 354 billion House-passed tax relief package are
the place to start. Family tax relief, capi tal gains cuts, and
expanded IRAs should be the centerpiece of the new package, as they
were for the House-passed plan, because of their widespread
benefits to taxpayers and the economy. In particular, the $ 5 00
per child tax credit will benefit some 35 million working families,
more taxpayers than any other measure. Further, the halving of the
capital gains tax and the expansion of IRAs will generate more
investment and savings than any of the more targeted m e asures in
the House plan. And as Members add other elements to the new plan,
they should also keep in mind the impact that certain tax relief
proposals may have on federal outlays. Tax relief that returns
money to Americans, and gives them an incentive to make provision
for such things as nursing home care for their parents or
themselves, also can reduce the cost of federal and state
programs.
Prepared by the staff of the Roe Institute for Economic Policy
Studies Angela Antonelli Deputy Director of Economi c Policy
Studies John Barry Research Assistant Bill Beach Visiting Fellow in
Tax Analysis Joe Cobb John M. Olin Senior Fellow in Political
Economy Scott Hodge Grover M. Hermann Fellow in Federal Budgetary
Affairs Daniel J. Mitchell McKenna Senior Fellow i n Political
Economy 11 4 w 12 m a0 N t4 a e e d 13