September 15, 1991 | Lecture on China
I For mom idonnation on America's relationship with China, see: blichael Schaller, The United States and China in the Twentieth Century (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1979).Structure and Process The China network informs America's relationship with China. As is the case in Washington's relations with other important nations, the China network consists of government offi cials and out- side parties interested in Sino-American relations. Each participant sees a different face of the issue at hand-, and each has a different stake in policy determination. At the center of the China network stands the President. His role and i nfluence over China pol- icy are qualitatively different than that of any other participant. He alone makes the crucial deci- sions that determine the general direction of U.S. China policy. Although the President may make his role in foreign policy formu l ation as large as his compe- tence and inclinations dictate, he usually delegates much of his'operational authority to a handful of subordinates. Among the most important are his National Security Advisor, the Secretary of.. State, the Secretary of Defens e , the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the Secren of Commerce, the Vice President, the White House Chief of Staff and Press Secretary, and others. Indeed, almost every cabinet secretary has responsibi l ities dealing with China. These advisors assist in the initiation and coordinatibn of policy. They screen pertinent information for the President and advise him on the issues at hand and the range of choices he enjoys. A legion of China specialists genera l ly advises the advisors. The National Security Advisor, for instance, draws on the staff of the National Security Council (NSC) for analysis and counsel be- fore he consults with the President. The Secretary of State chiefly relies on the East Asian Burea u of the State Department (DoS) for his papers and briefings on China, though the State Department's Bureau of Planning, Bureau of Political and b4ilitary Affairs, and Bureau of Intelli- gence and Research may also inform his China policy recommendations. T he Secretary of Defense looks to the Defense Department's (DoD) offices of International Security Affairs (ISA), Interna- tional Security Policy (ISP), and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) to assess the military's in- terest in America's China policy . The Director of Central Intelligence, the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the Secretaries of Commerce and Agriculture, and the U.S. Trade Representative similarly rely on their respective department's China hands. Interagency policy coordination generally is acco m plished by these China experts. China spe- cialists at the NSC, the Departments of State, Defense, and Commerce, and the CIA, for example, might meet to reconcile differences on U.S-China technology transfer policy. If consensus on the issue cannot be rea c hed, it is passed on to their superiors for resolution. If agreement cannot be reached at that level, the issue might be sent to the President for a final decision. Policy coordination traditionally is one of the most contentious and difficult aspects of A meri- can foreign policy formulation, and the making of U.S.-China policy is no exception. Interagency rivalries, inadequate manpower, and lack of clout often obscure and complicate policy debate. Mchel Oksenberg, Jimmy Carter's NSC China expert, indirect l y gave voice to this in a 1984 re- flection on his old job. Charged with the monitoring and implementation of presidential directives on China policy, Oksenberg noted that the task often brought him into conflict with recalcitrant bu- reaucracies. "To per form his multi-faceted task well," wrote Oksenberg, "an NSC staffer depends
2 For more on the structure and process of U.S. policy to China, see, Michel Oksenberg, "Reflections on the Making of American China Policy," China Policy For the New Decade, George R. Packard, rapporteur, Boston, 1984.2
upon assistance, often silently rendered, fr6m middle and lower ranking officials throughout the government bureaucracy."3 In'addition to the President and his core of advisors, the China network is informed by other in- stitutions as well. Principal amon g these is the U.S. Congress. From the very beginning of the Re- public, Congress has chafed at the logic that made the presidency the chief inspiration for foreign policy; the history of legislative-executive relations over international issues is one of r ecurring dispute. America's China policy formulation has been no exception. The dilemma has been painfully clear since June 4, 1989, in the differences between the Bush Administration and many in Con- gress over Washington's ties to Beijing. The Bush Admi n istration has argued that China, despite the events in Tiananmen Square, is im- portant and worthy of continued dialogue. Constructive U.S.-China ties over the past several de.- cades, the Bush White House contends, have reduced tensions in Asia, contribu t ed greatly to re- gional stability, and helped defuse conflicts in critical areas, principally the peace across the Tai- wan Strait. Although often repeated, it remains true that by virtue of its size, geographic position, historic role, and dimensions of its military, China's centrality in Asia must be an overriding fac- tor as Washington formulates Asia policy. The opinion of many American congressmen, by contrast, is that China can be benignly ne- glected. China simply is not as important as it once was to U.S. national interests, say these critics of George Bush's policy, who cite the events in Eastern Europe and the consequent reduction in East-West tensions. Moreover, congressional critics feel the Administration's China policy fails to punish Beijing for its continuing human rights violations. The President, they have repeatedly stressed, encourages democratic and peaceful change in Eastern Europe but closes his eyes to the explicitly undemocratic regime in Beijing. The Tianartmen Square debate reflec t s much about the congressional role in China policy formu- lation. For one thing, Congress is essentially a reactive body, putting its own stamp on decisons al- ready taken by the President and his assistants. Congress also exercises some form of negative control on executive decisions, either by refusing to accept them or by changing their substance, . . 4 direction, or timing. For another thing, Congress is more prone to reflect transitory shifts of public opinion than the executive branch. To no small e x tent, this is because it generally is more sensitive to electoral poli- tics than the President, especially in the House of Representatives, where members must face the voters every two years. Congressional influence on China policy is expressed through a wide variety of means. The sense of Congress can be found in the appropriations process, as it ratifies treaties, or as it ap- proves executive branch personnel appointments. Congressional hearings, particularly in the House and Senate Subcommittees for E ast Asian and Pacific Affairs, can have an important effect on U.S.-China relations. Visits to Beijing by Congressman and their staffs, their speeches, their3 Ibid. p. 71-72. 4 See: Daniel Cheever and IL Field Haviland, American Foreign Policy and the Sepa ration ofPowers (Cambridge: Harvard University Press. 1952). Congress frequently has criticized the Bush Administration as "reactive," bemoaning what many feel is a dangerous absence of China policy.
3quiet interventions and consulations with @ie Presi dent and his key advisors also influence the course of America's China policy. Voices outside the government help inform U.S.-China policy as well. Sino-American cultural exchanges are promoted by prominent organizations like the National Committee for U. S .-China Relations. The U.S.-China Business Council facilitates American commercial contact with the PRC. The Committee on Scholarly Communication with the People's Republic of China sponsors exhanges in the natural sciences, social sciences, and the human i ties. Tourist agencies, profes- sional associations like the AFL-CIO, and sundry American-Chinese community organizations have developed ties with counterpart PRC organizations and also have a vested interest in healthy Sino-American relations. This is eq u ally true for many in academia. The Johns Hopkins University Paul Nitze School for Advanced International Studies in Washington, D.C., runs a forum on China affairs and manages a unique program for American and Chinese students of international affairs at Nanjing University in Nanjing, China. Think tanks like the Washington-based Heritage Foundation, the American En- terprise Institute, the Center for Strategic and International Studies, and the Brookings Institution all staff experts in China studies who w ork to inform the policy debate. The Heritage Foundation publishes Backgrounder analyses on American policy to China, including one that outlined U.S. options for responding to the Tiananmen Square massacre within two days of the event. Another think tank , the National Institute for Public Policy, faxed periodic China updates to Washington policy makers and opinion leaders. No institution, however, influences policy and opinion on China like the American press. In the policy arena, it is used by both Chine s e and American officials for damage control and initiative advancement. As the political fallout from the Tiananmen Square massacre mounted, for example, the Chinese Embassy in Washington urged all visitors to read what they considered a relatively fa- vo r able U.S. News and World Report feature on China's turmoil. The influence of the press on American public opinion is especially profound. The extensive press coverage of the pro-democracy demonstrations and supression in Beijing made Tianartmen Square an i mportant event in American consciousness. The massacre scenes in Beijing, vividly re- layed via television, portrayed an armed suppression of student demonstrators. Tanks, soldiers, ar- mored personnel carriers-the trappings of the military repression-cam e into American homes with terrifying clarity. Commentators glibly captured the event: The People's Liberation Army had turned on the people. Indeed, it can be argued that the press contributed greatly to voicing the underlying sentiment of Americans towar d China in the days and months after June 4, 1989. Largely because America's major networks aired more stories on China in the month frorn May 14 to June 14, 1989, than they had in the entire decade from 1972 to 1981 the words "Tiananmen Square'became link e d in the American lexicon to the word "massacre. By association, it implied a democratic revolution crushed in mid-step, violently suppressed by a legion of totalitarians. The political debate that subsequently ensued made George Bush and his China policy the target of a critical press. The New York Times and The Washington Post frequently questioned the
5 See: S. Robert Lichter, "Media insight TV's China Syndrome," Council for National Policy, July 1989; and "The Gallup Survey on American AttinidesToward Chum in the Wake of the June, 1989 Crackdown" (Princeton, New Jersey: The Gallup Organization, Inc., July 28-31,1989.)4 ---- --- ---- --
President's stewardship of the crisis. New9paper coverage bemoaned the poverty of his rhetoric and his tin.ear fo r the greater issues of democratic politics. Editorialists lambasted his inability to find ringing words to express America's dismay and repugnance at the events in China, and de- nounced him for dispatching his National Security Advisor to bandy words "w i th the butchers of Tiananmen Square' so soon after they had slaughtered protesting students. In such light, it is not surprising th'at George Bush's well-known problems with the so-called "vision thing" may have multiplied significantly in his China polic y.
The China Network and U.S. Policy The China network is important to the policy-making process for several reasons. Its very exis- tence enhances America's capability to respond effectively to policy challenges. Confronted with the varied interests of a community concerned with China policy, government officials must cope with the forces of democratic consensus. Although consensus building is not necessarily a prereq- uisite of policy formulation, the sundry voices of a concerned network do help clarify t he tasks at hand. Among the most important tasks involved in policy-making are: 4 Developing a coherent conception of U.S. interests. * Articulating problems, collecting information, and identifying issues that may re- quire action. * Developing alternati v e courses of action and analyzing their costs and benefits. 4 Making decisions, without undue delay. 4 Taking effective action as required. 6 * Assessing the results of action and revising policy thoroughly. The existence of a China network also vests spe c ial interests and perspectives. In this instance, organizational arrangements are crucial. How power is distributed in an organization or network and the skill key players use to advance their interests determine whether and how effectively par- ticular c o nsiderations will be represented. Finally, and perhaps most important, the existence of a China network helps legitimate China policy. It makes decisions broadly acceptable by assuring that those with relevant competence are heard. Interaction among the P resident, Congress, the bureaucracy, the press, academia, private foundations, and think tanks, assures the representation of multiple interests, and enhances the like- Hhood that even those who sought a different policy will accept the policy adopted.
Orc hestrating Washington's Voices The papers collected here seek to identify the many voices that make America's China policy, focusing especially on the principal public players in the China network. Special attention is given to where the network defines-o r fails to define-U.S. interests in Sino-American relations. Three aspects of policy formulation particularly are highlighted. These are:
6 For more on this see: Graham Affison and Peter Szanton, Rentahng Foreign Policy: The Organizational Connection (New York: Basic Books, Inc., 1980), p. 21.5
Capabilities of each of the China network's participants, especially the quality of the experts and their organizations and the means they employ to influence policy. Perspectives of the network's participants, examining how the principal players see the i ssues under consideration, define their interests, and reconcile their differences. Coordination of policy implementation, focusing on the divergent interests that fre- quently inform the policy-making process. America's China Policy and the Role of the C o ngress, the Press, and the Private Sector ex- plores the varied interests that define America's tie to the People's Republic and, where possible, seeks to identify which interests advance which policies. The critical issue in making America's Cliina polic y is similar to almost every other aspect of U.S. foreign policy-making: a pluralistic so- ciety committed to continuing meaningful U.S.-China relations must seek to balance many objec- tives. How best to go about achieving such a balance is the purpose of the papers gathered here..6