January 16, 2013 | Commentary on Navy and Marine Corps, Maritime Supremacy

US Naval Fleet is Shrinking

After long delays, Russia has deployed a new ballistic missile submarine, or nuclear submarine, for the first time in more than 20 years. This marks a significant step forward for its navy, which has pledged tens of billions of dollars to revitalize its fleet. The U.S. Navy, unfortunately, has had trouble both in revitalizing its subs as well as its overall naval fleet.

The Russian navy made the announcement that the Yury Dolgoruky (Project 955) — the first-in-class of the new Borey-class submarine — was operational as it prepares for one of its largest naval exercises since the end of the Cold War. In fact, Russia’s commitment to increasing naval strength has been a central theme during Russian President Vladimir Putin’s tenure as president, despite Russia’s historically meager performance as a naval power. The Borey-class subs were first designed in the 1980s and the Yury Dolgoruky construction was launched in 1996.

Meanwhile, the U.S. Navy has shrunk significantly since the Reagan years. The days of the 600-ship fleet have long since ended, and now U.S. naval leaders are struggling to find ways to meet a new requirement of around 300 ships. Currently around 285, the fleet will shrink further if more investment isn’t made in naval modernization.

The U.S. fleet was eroding long before the Budget Control Act and “sequestration” became part of the equation. In 2010, the Congressional Budget Office reported that actual funding levels for 2005-2010 fell below the CBO’s and the Navy’s estimates to achieve fleet goals.

Predictions show current funding levels would reduce the fleet to 263 ships. While the sequestration cuts to defense have been temporarily delayed as part of the fiscal cliff deal, they are still a looming possibility and would shrink the fleet to its lowest level since 1915.

Russia’s strategic fleet

While Russia has shown improvements in its strategic fleet (two more Borey-class subs are under construction), the United States has fallen behind its own standards. The legal minimum for the U.S. Navy’s submarine fleet is 12 boats.However, the Obama administration has delayed the development of an Oho-class replacement for two years, which will in turn cause the fleet to fall below 12 boats for a 14-year period. As rogue states such as Iran and North Korea get closer to having nuclear weapons and increasing ballistic missile technology, the significance of this fleet is certainly not shrinking.

Both Congress and President Obama need to maintain America’s robust naval fleet. As Secretary of the Navy Ray Mabus has argued, “Quantity has a quality all its own.”

-Brian Slattery is a researcher in the Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies at The Heritage Foundation.

About the Author

Brian Slattery Policy Analyst, Defense and Security Studies
Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign and National Security Policy

First appeared in The Youngstown Vindicator.