On December 5, the Missile Defense Agency (MDA) performed a
successful intercept test of the Ground-based Midcourse Defense
(GMD) missile defense interceptor.[1] The GMD interceptor destroyed
an incoming ballistic missile launched out of Kodiak, Alaska, in
space over the Pacific Ocean. President-elect Barack Obama has
stated that he will cut investments in "unproven" missile defense
systems.[2] His statement implies that the missile
defense program's interceptor systems rely on unproven technology.
The December 5 test, along with other MDA tests, demonstrates that
the implication behind this statement is inaccurate.
The GMD interceptor, launched from Vandenberg Air Force Base in
California, was flown to a point in space in the path of the
incoming missile and, by the force of collision, the interceptor's
kill vehicle destroyed the missile reentry vehicle. This direct
hit, absent an explosive warhead, is called a kinetic energy
intercept. Further, a variety of sensor systems were used to track
the incoming missile from different locations. These systems
included a transportable AN/TPY-2 radar located in Juneau, Alaska;
a Navy Aegis ship in the Pacific with its SPY-1 radar; an Upgraded
Early Warning Radar at Beale Air Force Base in California; and a
Sea-Based X-band radar, also in the Pacific. Finally, the broader
missile defense system's command and control system permitted
military operators to launch the California-based interceptor from
Fort Greely, Alaska.
The kinetic energy intercept technology used in the December 5
test is the same used in most other interceptors now under
development by MDA. These include the Patriot PAC-3 system, the
Standard Missile-3 sea-based interceptor, the Terminal High
Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system, and the Multiple Kill Vehicle
(MKV) system. The latter program seeks to reduce the size and
weight of the kill vehicles so that each interceptor missile can
carry more than one kill vehicle. Since 2001, MDA has run 47
intercept tests with kinetic energy technology, and 37 have been
successful.
Missile Defense Critics
Missile defense critics are likely to dismiss the positive
implications of this test for the overall missile defense program.
While the results of a single test should not be used to justify
either the continuation or termination of any defense technology
program, the critics' likely arguments will lack merit.
For example, critics may argue that the GMD system can be
defeated by easily incorporated countermeasures designed to confuse
the defense. The December 5 test attempted to deploy a "threat
representative" target that would have required the interceptor to
discriminate between the real target and false targets generated by
the incoming missile. The countermeasures on board the target
missile, however, did not deploy.[3] Nevertheless, the GMD
interceptor is designed to discriminate between real and false
targets. The December 5 test raises the question of
whether--contrary to the assertions of some critics--such
countermeasures are easily accessible to relatively primitive
missile powers like Iran and North Korea.
The critics may also argue that the December 5 test was not an
operational test and therefore does not justify the fielding of GMD
interceptors in Alaska and California. While this criticism is
accurate, it fails to acknowledge an important fact: Traditional
operational tests cannot be used in the development and fielding of
the overall missile defense system because the overall system
consists of integrated components that must be built and fielded in
order to be tested. For instance, consider the wide variety of
sensors and the elaborate command and control system used to
support the December 5 test of the GMD interceptor.
Finally, the critics may contend that this GMD interceptor is
different from the model that the U.S. is proposing be deployed in
Poland and therefore should not be construed as justifying the
fielding of the interceptors slated for Poland. The fact is that
both the interceptor used in the December 5 test and the
interceptors the U.S. is proposing for Poland are both GMD
interceptors. The only significant difference between the two is
that the interceptors for the site in Poland will include two
stages, while the one used in the test has three stages.
Proven Technology
President-elect Obama has stated that fielded missile defense
systems' technology must first be proven; the MDA's ballistic
missile defense test regime is meeting that challenge. The MDA's
technology--kinetic-energy kill vehicles--is being used in an array
of interceptors and has been tested on numerous occasions with a 75
percent success rate. President-elect Obama should acknowledge the
continuing progress on kinetic-energy missile defense technology
and continue to invest in and field the missile defense
interceptors that incorporate this technology.
Baker Spring is F. M. Kirby
Research Fellow in National Security Policy in the Douglas and
Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, a division of the
Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International
Studies, at The Heritage Foundation.