On Wednesday, June 20, the Council of Economic Advisers,
President Bush's main economics brain trust, issued a report on the
economic value of immigrants. It is evident that the CEA had The
Heritage Foundation very much on its mind when it wrote this 8-page
essay, because no other group has done so much to focus public
attention on the shortcomings of the White House-backed
legislation. As Heritage research has detailed, the legislation
would grant amnesty to millions of people who broke the law by
immigrating illegally to the United States. It would also put in
place immigrant labor law that does too little for the high-skill
immigrants who add so much to U.S. economic life and far too much
for low-skill immigrants who, in many cases, drain public sector
benefits more than they add in economic value and taxes.
In its attempt to rebut The Heritage Foundation's critiques of
the President and the Senate leadership's immigration proposal, the
CEA makes three points:
- Overall, immigration is a good thing for the economy;
- Immigrants have a "positive influence" on the fiscal balance of
governments at all levels; and
- Immigrants, even the recent ones, will work hard to fit into
American society.
These points are all true, but the CEA reports omits certain
crucial caveats that undermine its support of the Senate's
immigration proposal.
Benefits of Immigration
As much Heritage Foundation research and commentary explains, it
is true that immigrants generally add to the economy, for most of
the reasons that the CEA mentions. The problem today, however, is
the amazing transformation of immigration over the past 20
years-from a flow dominated by high-skill workers to the current
flood of low-skill, low-educated migrants, many of whom entered the
country illegally. Low-skill legal immigrants can bring their often
similarly educated and skilled families to the U.S., as well as
second and third degree relatives (aunts, uncles, grandfathers,
cousins, etc.). These migrants use public services, health care
facilities, and schools and pay few taxes that support these public
sector activities. The Senate's approach to immigration reform will
only make this problem worse.
The odd feature of the CEA report is its silence on this central
critique of the Senate's legislation. Hardly anyone disputes that
the overall effects of immigration have been positive. Instead,
Heritage Foundation research has drawn attention to the naivety of
many policymakers in assuming that the historical record of
immigration is immigration's future. It may not be if the
U.S. retains its current immigration policies. Today, there is a
rising tide of workers who lack many of the skills and educational
attributes needed to contribute at an economic level similar to
those who preceded them to this country.
The adverse effect of low-skill immigrants on public sector
outlays affects the otherwise valid point the Council raises on the
economic benefits of immigration. Because the price of government
figures into the prices of labor and capital when the government
takes resources from the private sector to use for public services,
an increase in the government's draw on these resources means that
the economic value of immigrants falls. The "deadweight loss" of
government appears nowhere in the CEA's rebuttal.
Fiscal Effects
The CEA argues that immigrants pay their way in the public
sector-that is, that the taxes paid by all immigrants cover the
government-provided services they use. Of course, the CEA cannot
walk away from that point without noting the well-known fact that
immigrants with less than a high school degree use more public
services than they pay for, but the Council notes that "the
estimated fiscal cost from less-skilled workers is far smaller than
some commentators have recently suggested based on less
satisfactory methods." The implication: Heritage got its numbers
wrong.
But the CEA's response is silent on the methods that Heritage
analysts employed to arrive at a much larger negative fiscal
balance than the $13,000 offered by the CEA. Heritage analysts
estimated the total public sector support for low-skill,
low-educated immigrants. Heritage's estimates are larger than
anyone else's because no one else has ever attempted such a
comprehensive catalogue of the outlays stemming from the
immigration of low-educated workers.
Immigrants and American Society
The CEA essay concludes by arguing that the people from all over
the world who want to come to the U.S. will be good Americans once
here and will work long and hard to fit in.
To help achieve this end, The Heritage Foundation has suggested
ways to make immigration policy more supportive of assimilation.
Assimilation policy is important, but it is not The Heritage
Foundation's principal criticism of the Senate's legislation.
Waxing eloquent on the aspirations and hard work of immigrants does
nothing to address the serious defects of the current approach to
immigration reform.
In the face of tough challenges to the President and the
Senate's approach to immigration, the CEA asserts what everyone
knows and fails to engage those who criticize their approach.
William W. Beach
is Director of the Center for Data Analysis at The Heritage
Foundation.