The disparity between job growth in
America and in other countries has contributed to the recent influx
of migrants into the United States, such that between 10 and 12
million illegal aliens now reside in the United States. According
to a Pew Hispanic Center study and the U.S. Census Bureau, more
than half are from Mexico.
Success in reducing this tide requires
better border security, workplace enforcement, a practical
guest-worker process to match prospective workers with legitimate
employment, and encouragement for labor-exporting nations to reform
their laws and economies to provide avenues of social mobility now
absent in their societies.
In Mexico's case, the good news is that
sound fiscal policies, the North American Free Trade Agreement
(NAFTA), and institutional reforms have kept lots of workers at
home. The bad news is that job growth has not been fast enough to
keep pace with new entrants into the labor force.
Mexico's Interior Secretary Carlos Abascal
Carranza visited Washington recently with a progress report. That
alone is a welcome change from what Americans have heard for the
last five years from President Vicente Fox-that Mexico should have
the right to export its surplus workers to the United
States.
Fox's first Foreign Secretary pushed
that absurd message without regard to America's sovereignty or
Americans' sensitivities. No country exists to take on the problems
of others. On the other hand, all nations dwell in an increasingly
interdependent world, and internal problems can have consequences
that extend across borders. So it should come as no shock that the
U.S. has a strong interest in Mexico's economic policies and
performance.
Speaking at The Heritage Foundation on
March 23, Secretary Abascal reported that Mexico's economy has, in
fact, grown stronger under President Fox and poverty levels are
dropping. (
Click here to view Secretary Abascal's PowerPoint
presentation.) For instance, from 2000 to 2005:
- Mexico's annual inflation declined by
two-thirds;
- The public deficit dropped to
zero;
- Foreign investment grew 74
percent.
- Mexico's non-oil exports increased 60 percent
over the last decade;
- Tourism is up 40 percent;
- Investment in roads and highways has
grown 144 percent since the last administration;
- Six million scholarships now help keep
poor children in class through high school;
- Real wages rose 7 percent;
- Nearly 577,000 new jobs were created;
and
- The number of Mexicans living under one
poverty index dropped 23 percent.
Still, nearly a million youths enter the
Mexican labor force each year. A half million new jobs per year are
simply not enough. Mexico's minimum wage is US$4.50 per day, far
below the minimum US$5.15 per hour stateside. While more Mexican
children are attending school, the system is still heavily
centralized under an inefficient national ministry and subject to
nationwide strikes. Rural facilities and attendance are
poor.
Other net labor exporters in our
hemisphere are worse off. Guatemala and Honduras report poverty
rates close to 75 percent. In South America's Andean ridge-from
Venezuela to Bolivia-the poor constitute more than half of the
population. Except in Colombia, a developing trend is to
consolidate power within plenipotentiary presidencies, ignore the
rule of law, over-regulate small business, and let the state to set
prices and salaries.
Not surprisingly, Ecuadorians are
showing up in shipping containers in Costa Rica while Peruvians are
choosing the United States as a base for new businesses. One of
Venezuela's most popular websites continues to be
www.MeQuieroIr.com ("I Want to Leave").
Migration is a hot topic in Washington,
with Congress debating whether to tighten border security, which
some consider the silver bullet solution to curbing flows, and
whether it should be easier for temporary workers to obtain legal
employment through labor and visa reforms.
While these two approaches are
necessary, they are not enough to slow economic migrants. In daily
relations, public diplomacy, and development policies toward Latin
America, the U.S. government must do a better job of urging
hemispheric neighbors to liberalize economies, untangle and cut
burdensome business regulations, and ensure equal treatment of all
citizens under the law to spread prosperity more
broadly.
Mexico has already gone partway under Fox, but
it must continue these efforts to account for the needs of its
expanding population. Candidates running for the Mexican presidency
and congress this year should hear from U.S. officials that
backsliding toward populism will limit economic opportunities for
their own workers and create friction between our two
nations.
According to the U.S. Conference of
Mayors, many U.S. cities' annual economic output rivals those of
entire foreign countries. There is no reason that resource-rich
countries like Mexico and others in Latin America cannot approach
such prosperity. To ease the tide of unauthorized migrants, U.S.
foreign policy must seek to balance the equation.
Stephen
Johnson is Senior Policy Analyst in the Douglas and Sarah
Allison Center for Foreign Policy of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom
Davis Institute for International Studies at The Heritage
Foundation.