Every month, the Labor Department reports
the national unemployment rate along with hundreds of other vital
measures. Two weeks after this national release, the Department
reports similar data for all 50 states and the District of
Columbia. This month's state data release confirms that the
national expansion in jobs is widespread across all sectors and all
regions.
Over the last month, from March to April,
total nonfarm payroll employment rose in 45 states. Over the last
year, the gains have been equally powerful, with 44 states
reporting net job growth. Keep in mind that these payroll jobs
numbers suffer from undercounting, due to turnover declines after
9/11 and ignoring the new workforce of self-employed
consultants. That means the rise in payroll jobs is
even more impressive and represents much higher gains.
The four states with the largest monthly
increases in absolute terms are Florida, North Carolina, Missouri,
and Michigan, with an average gain of 22,000 jobs each. Of the five
states in which employment declined, none lost more than 2,000
jobs.
Lower Unemployment is the Big
Surprise
However, the biggest surprise in today's
report was the dramatic drop of the unemployment rates in a handful
of large, northern states. Michigan's unemployment rate is 6.1
percent, a drop of 0.8 percent from March's 6.9 percent.
Minnesota's rate fell by 0.7 percent; Maine's by 0.6 percent.
Wisconsin, Oregon, and South Dakota each had 0.5 percent
drops.
These monthly changes are part of a
deeper, positive trend; Michigan's unemployment rate, for example,
has declined by 1.2 percent over the last year. Oregon's rate of
unemployment has declined by almost 2 full percentage points. This
trend is important because naysayers argue that dropping
unemployment rates are a misleading reflection of a contracting,
discouraged labor force, which is untrue. The labor force has
expanded over the year in all the states listed above.
A few states saw unemployment rates rise
over April, notably Mississippi by 0.8 percent; yet Mississippi's
unemployment rate remains 1.8 percent lower than in April
2003.
A complete listing of all the states is .
Rea
Hederman is a Senior Policy Analyst, and Tim Kane, Ph.D., is
Research Fellow in Macroeconomics, in the Center for Data Analysis
at The Heritage Foundation.