On
May 30, 2003, the State Peace and Development Council (SPDC), the
military junta that rules Burma, forcibly detained opposition
leader and Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi. She remains
incarcerated to this day.
The
junta has persecuted Suu Kyi and her party, the National League for
Democracy (NLD), ever since they won a landslide victory against
the military government in the 1990 national elections. The
military quickly disavowed the results of the 1990 elections. In a
brutal pogrom, the junta arrested many NLD leaders and put Suu Kyi
under house arrest.
The
military released Suu Kyi from house arrest on May 6, 2002, in an
apparent effort to convince the world that Burma would make the
transition to democracy. Her rearrest is a clear demonstration that
the junta will not reform voluntarily.
In
response to Suu Kyi's detention, the United States has imposed a
range of stiff sanctions, but unilateral American sanctions are not
enough. Until Suu Kyi's rearrest, many countries in Asia
disregarded American and European Union sanctions on Burma. The
State Department must gain support from the other countries that
trade with or provide economic and military aid to the regime.
Therefore, the most important action for
the United States to take now is to cooperate closely with the EU,
Australia, Japan, and other like-minded countries to coordinate
sanctions and gain regional and international political support for
sanctions. Unless effective multilateral pressure is brought to
bear, the SPDC will continue to suppress freedom and democracy.
The Broken
Promise of Democracy
On May 6, 2002, the SPDC announced that the government was
marking a new day of national unity with a series of steps intended
to move Burma toward democracy. These steps included:
- Releasing Suu Kyi from years of house
arrest,
- Releasing 550 political prisoners and
suggesting that more of the estimated 1,300 remaining political
prisoners might be released in the future, and
- Permitting all of Burma's citizens to
participate in the political process.
Many
greeted the announcement as the dawn of a new era in Burmese
politics and trumpeted the success of the engagement strategy
practiced by many Asian countries over the punitive sanctions
policy used by Washington and the EU. The events of May 30, 2003,
however, revealed the fatal flaw of engaging unreformed
authoritarian regimes. On that day, a pro-government mob attacked
Suu Kyi and her convoy as they traveled through Burma. An
Associated Press article reported that the mob brutally killed up
to 70 people without provocation. At the same time, the SPDC moved
against the NLD, closing NLD offices across the country and
arresting many party officials.
The
problem with using engagement to influence the generals in Rangoon
is that this approach presumes that the junta wants to change when,
in fact, there is very little evidence that the generals want to
liberalize either politically or economically. The SPDC is merely
the current incarnation of 40 years of military rule. The Burmese
military seized power in 1962 and has since destroyed the country's
economy. Once considered the jewel of Southeast Asia, Burma is now
the poorest country per capita in the region.
Effective Action
Must Be Multilateral
At present, the international community cannot even agree
on Burma's name, much less a policy. In 1989, the junta changed the
country's name from Burma to Myanmar. Suu Kyi asked the
international community not to recognize the junta's action and to
continue to call the country Burma. Washington, Australia, and the
EU still refer to the country as Burma; most Asian countries call
it Myanmar.
The
United States and the EU coordinate sanctions against Burma while
many Asian countries--including India, China, Japan, and the
countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations
(ASEAN)--maintain an active engagement policy. Japan, Burma's top
aid donor, recently froze all new aid until Suu Kyi is released;
yet it provided $50.1 million in bilateral development aid in 2000
compared to $37.8 million in multilateral development aid from the
rest of the world. China supplies most of Burma's military arms,
and Russia is helping it to build a nuclear reactor. American bans
on trade and tourism are less effective if Japanese and ASEAN
tourists flock there without restraint or if Japan resumes giving
millions of dollars in economic aid to make up for the
shortfall.
What Washington
Must Do
At the ASEAN foreign ministers' meeting in June 2003, nine
of ASEAN's 10 foreign ministers (with the exception of Burma's)
called for the release of Aung San Suu Kyi. These actions,
uncharacteristic for the usually ineffectual Asean, should be seen
as an indicator that Asian countries are becoming frustrated with
Burma's generals and may be amenable to an internationally
sponsored sanctions regime against the junta. Therefore, the United
States should exercise strong and persistent diplomacy by:
- Continuing to
coordinate closely with like-minded countries on sanctions
It is important to maintain close policy agreement among
the countries of the EU, Australia, and the United States in order
to convince the junta and its Asian supporters that the world
remains united.
- Gaining support
for sanctions from China, Japan, India, and ASEAN
These countries are key to the junta's economic and
political future. Some of them, democracies and American allies,
would support the importance of democracy in Burma. Asia's
engagement and non-interference strategies have demonstrably failed
in Burma. The United States, the EU, and Australia together must
exercise strong diplomatic pressure on these countries to persuade
them to support coordinated sanctions.
Conclusion
In light of the brazen acts of Burma's generals,
Washington and the international community must act. American
efforts should focus on persuading Japan, India, and the ASEAN
countries to join the U.S. in imposing strong sanctions on the
junta. Without the support of the frontline states, such as
Thailand and India, political and economic sanctions will fail to
influence the generals in Rangoon.
Dana R. Dillon is
Senior Policy Analyst for Southeast Asia in the Asian Studies
Center at The Heritage Foundation.