British Prime Minister Tony Blair will meet today with President
George W. Bush at Camp David. They will undoubtedly discuss the
progress made by coalition forces in the war for Iraq, and the
impending battle for Baghdad. The main purpose of the meeting
though will be to shape the future of a post-war Iraq, and possibly
even the future of Europe.
There will be some disagreements between the two leaders,
particularly over the extent of United Nations involvement in a
post-war administration, and the need for a U.N. Security Council
mandate. However, it is imperative that the White House and Downing
Street remain united in their determination to liberate the Iraqi
people, and that the Anglo-US special relationship remain the
cornerstone of long-term strategic thinking in Washington and
London.
British Role in Post-War Security Force
President Bush is likely to ask Britain to play a lead
role in post-war security operations in Iraq. Britain has deployed
45,000 combat troops to the Gulf, thousands of whom are at the
forefront of military action against the Iraqi regime. Downing
Street has already discussed the possibility of 15,000 British
troops remaining in Iraq after the downfall of the Baathist regime.
They would join up to 40,000 other coalition forces (mainly
American), and would be charged with the securing of large cities,
the defence of borders, and the protection of Kurdish areas. Other
key roles would include the protection of Iraq' s energy
infrastructure and the hunt for weapons of mass destruction and
terrorist cells.
There is a strong case to be made for Britain taking the command
of the security element of a post-war force, under the overall
command of General Tommy Franks. The British have a broad and
highly successful record of non-combat operations in a number of
theatres across the globe, including Afghanistan, Kosovo, Bosnia,
Sierra Leone and Northern Ireland, and would be ideally suited to
running the highly complex post-war Iraq security operation. The
British have an in-depth knowledge of Iraq and the region, and have
close diplomatic and historical ties with much of the Arab world. A
British-led military operation would be less likely to inflame
tensions and complicate Bush Administration plans for
democratization in the Middle East. In addition, it would allow the
United States to free up much-needed resources to other parts of
the world for the wider war against terrorism.
U.N. and Post-War Iraq
The key issue of contention between the British and
American leaders will be over the role of the United Nations in the
future of Iraq. Blair has already signalled his support for seeking
a U.N. mandate for a transitional U.S. and British-led Iraqi
administration. The White House has so far demonstrated no
enthusiasm for such a course of action.
It is imperative that there is no public spat between Washington
and London over this issue. There must be no open divide which
would aid the cause of opponents of the coalition's military action
against Iraq. The Bush Administration must privately put across the
view that it would be a grave error to return to the U.N. to seek
yet another resolution on the Iraq question. If Britain and America
were to do so, the two powers could become mired in endless
negotiations at the Security Council, debating nations that would
happily have kept Saddam Hussein in power. The ultimate losers
would be the Iraqi people themselves.
President Bush should make it clear that there is no need for
further discussions at the U.N. Indeed, the role of the United
Nations in a post-war Iraq should be limited to purely humanitarian
involvement. The U.N. should play a subordinate role on the Iraq
issue, with the United States and Great Britain taking the lead in
administering a post-war Iraqi transition government. U.N.
intervention in a post-Saddam Iraq would merely strengthen the hand
of those nations who have opposed even the principle of regime
change in Baghdad, and which have appeased the Iraqi dictatorship
for decades: notably France, Germany and Russia. It is important
for the future of the Iraqi people that Paris, Moscow and Berlin
play no significant part in the creation of the new Iraqi
state.
U.S.-European Relations
Blair has emphasized that U.S.-European relations will be
high on the agenda of today' s summit. Britain is seen as the
natural leader of the New Europe' , working in alliance with Italy
and Spain, at the head of a group of 18 pro-American nations across
the continent. The fact that leaders from Vilnius to Prague are
backing President Bush' s stance on Iraq owes everything to
Britain' s leadership in Europe in recent months. It is the British
Prime Minister, with the help of Jose Maria Aznar, who has crafted
the broad-based international coalition now lining up to confront
the Iraqi regime.
For the first time in the past half-century, Franco-German
hegemony in continental Europe is being eroded. France and Germany
now represent the minority view in Europe, and President Chirac' s
astonishing outburst against EU applicant nations was borne of
resentment and frustration at Paris' s new-found impotence.
There is a striking correlation between the pro-federalist
voices in Europe and those who oppose American power on the world
stage. It is vital that the European Union does not become a
rallying point for global anti-Americanism. As such, it will be in
the interests of the United States to seek to weaken the federalist
instincts of Berlin and Paris, and strengthen the hand of those
European governments opposed to the concept of a highly centralized
Europe.
In the years ahead there will be increasing calls in Washington
for a Europe of independent nation states, held together not by an
artificial constitution and undemocratic government, but by the
principles of free trade, individual liberty and national identity.
Britain, by virtue of Tony Blair' s farsighted diplomatic support
for America, has assured itself of the primary role in driving this
new vision of Europe, which in the end will best suit the many
diverse citizens of the continent.
Conclusion
As a consequence of Prime Minister Blair' s standing
shoulder to shoulder with President Bush since September 11,
British prestige and power on the world stage has been immeasurably
enhanced. Great Britain is viewed unquestionably by Washington as
its most important ally, politically, strategically and militarily
and is seen as the keystone of the coalition of the willing formed
to unseat Saddam Hussein. The British Prime Minister is able to
wield more influence in Washington than the leaders of France,
Germany and Russia combined.
The current division in Europe offers London and Washington a
rare opportunity to shape the destiny of the continent. The debate
over Iraq is as much about the future of Europe as it is about the
future of the Middle East. What we are witnessing today is a battle
for the heart and soul of the European continent.
With the support of the Spaniards, Poles and other nations of
Eastern and Central Europe about to enter the European Union,
America and Britain must present a new vision for Europe. The
grandiose dream of a united federal Europe, so beloved of French
and German strategists, must be firmly rejected. In its place,
Washington and London must call for a flexible Europe, united by a
common heritage and culture, but which maintains the principle of
national sovereignty at its core.
Nile Gardiner is Visiting Fellow in Anglo-American Security
Policy, and John Hulsman is Research Fellow in European Affairs, at
the Heritage Foundation in Washington, DC.