The President has spoken of the need to gather
a global coalition to fight terrorism, and he is right to do so.
And so far he has had some success. The Pakistani government has
said that it will cooperate with the United States, including
allowing U.S. warplanes to use Pakistani airspace. However, the
Pakistani government also suggested that it would not give U.S.
forces access to its territory for military operations unless the
military coalition were broadly international, including Muslim
states. Moreover, Islamabad hinted that it would not give its
approval unless the United Nations Security Council approved the
action. On a different front, Secretary of State Colin Powell
has said that he would welcome Iran-that long-time U.S. nemesis and
supporter of terrorism--into a coalition to combat global
terrorism. Clearly the administration is thinking broadly as it
approaches the task of assembling the international coalition.
These actions raise a very important
question: How far should the U.S. go to allow members of a
coalition to limit the means and ends of any operation it must
undertake? In this regard, it is instructive to examine the
experience of the Persian Gulf War. The coalition that President
George Bush assembled, which included such Middle Eastern countries
as Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Syria, may have provided invaluable
logistical support and political legitimacy, but it also limited
the military campaign in both means and ends. There were many
reasons why the U.S. did not go all the way to Baghdad to remove
Saddam Hussein from power, but surely among the most powerful was
the fact that America's Arab allies and Turkey would not allow it.
Fearing an Arab backlash, holding the coalition of Desert Storm
together became almost as important as the military campaign
itself; the cohesion of the coalition per se was not merely
a means to an end, but one of the strategic and political ends of
U.S. policy.
The constraints imposed by the negotiations
establishing the coalition of Desert Storm were codified at the
outset into the United Nations Security Council Resolution
sanctioning (and therefore limiting) the military action. Thus,
from the very outset, the purpose of the action was to kick Saddam
out of Kuwait, not remove him from power-a move, once fighting was
underway, that gave the dictator the reassurance and freedom he
needed to maintain his hold on power.
It is imperative, today, that the United
States gain as much diplomatic support as possible for any action
it takes against terrorism. Support not only from allies but from
countries in the Middle East, Eurasia, Central Asia and even East
Asia are politically and militarily necessary to mount an effective
campaign. The U.S. has access to bases already in Saudi Arabia,
Qatar, Turkey and Oman.But it will need other access if it wishes
to undertake operations against Afghanistan. The U.S. may seek at
some point not only seek a basing agreement with Pakistan, but also
possibly air access agreements with Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and
maybe even Russia.
However, the U.S. must beware. All of these
requests for help may whet the appetite of America's would-be
allies to ask for something in return. So long as the demands from
the U.S. are limited to diplomatic support, intelligence sharing or
access to airspace, the price may not be unbearable. But if the
U.S. requests access to bases or closer military cooperation from
Pakistan and other would-be allies, particularly in the Middle
East, the price may go up. If it does, Washington must avoid
bargaining away too much of its freedom of action, reserving for
itself the right to undertake any action necessary to see the
campaign through to a successful end.
The U.S. should avoid trying to form a
broad-based and unwieldy coalition of military forces that gives
everybody a seat at the decision table. Doing so would only
restrain U.S. action and politicize military decisions. Luckily, at
this point, the U.S. does not need the help of large number of
allied troops, but rather access to airspace, intelligence,
logistical, economic and diplomatic support, and perhaps at some
point bases. There may be instances when some of America's
closest allies (certainly the United Kingdom and perhaps even other
NATO allies) will join the U.S. in military operations, but the
price of entry must be unreserved support for the political and
military objectives of the United States to eradicate terrorism.
The U.S. will engage in close cooperation in intelligence and
special operations with any number of countries, including some
that may be unsavory, but there should be no political deals with
them as the price of agreement that would dilute the purpose of the
overall mission.
As the price for access to Pakistani bases
and facilities, the U.S. should not agree to seek a U.N. Security
Council Resolution. Nor, if access to bases is needed, should it
agree to forgo cooperation with any other nation such as Israel or
India, or to undertake cumbersome decision-making processes with
coalition members that will restrain intelligence or military
operations. Pakistan must be asked to make a decision: Does it
support the United States or not in its campaign to eliminate
terrorism? The U.S. should agree to protect Pakistan in any way it
can if Islamabad offers concrete support. And it should offer aid,
debt relief and even to lift sanctions. But it should not agree to
tie its hands in seeing this campaign through to victory.
By the same token, the U.S. should be very
careful indeed in seeking support from Iran, which is still on the
State Department's list of terrorist states. This goes for Syria as
well. There can be no doubt that it would be helpful in some
quarters having Iran's and Syria's diplomatic support. This would
be particularly true if the United States decides to move
militarily against Afghanistan and Iraq, both of which are hostile
to Iran and not on especially friendly terms with Syria.
If Iran were to use this catastrophe to
reform its ways and stop supporting terrorism, then the U.S. indeed
would benefit immensely from forging closer relations.
However, the U.S. should not make any deals
with Iran until it is absolutely certain that such a reform as
occurred. The National Commission on Terrorism issued a June 2000
report that recommended that the U.S. make no rapprochement with
Iran until it had unequivocally stopped its support for terrorism,
and this advice should still be heeded. Not doing so could
undermine not only the moral clarity of the campaign against
terrorism, but also possibly the integrity of its intelligence and
military operations if Iran were playing a double game.
The U.S. faces a fundamental dilemma in this
international war against terrorism. In order to gain Islamic
support for a war against radical Islamic terrorism, the U.S. will
have to make common cause with some Islamic states that are not
only corrupt and lack legitimacy, but also are even sometimes part
of the terrorist problem. In order to show that America's war is
not with Islam per se, the U.S. will be tempted to restrain itself
militarily and accommodate the large, complex and contradictory
political agenda of Islamic states. This could, in turn, make the
campaign ineffectual and ultimately prolong the problem of
terrorism. America could inadvertently find itself making a bargain
similar to the one made in the Gulf War-namely, propping up allied
Arab and Islamic states becomes a strategic end in itself. The
political cover to execute the military campaign becomes as
strategically important as the campaign itself.
This should not happen. This is not the time
to be cutting clever political deals that result in half-measures
in the war against terrorism. Americans need to be realistic in
devising the proper means to fight this war, and there may be times
when deals are made to advance the overall cause. However, no
coalition partner should be allowed to dictate to the United States
the terms, conditions or nature of military operations; who should
or should not be part of the international coalition; or what kind
of foreign policies America should pursue. Americans should never
be asked to settle for something less than victory. President Bush
must weigh the benefit of any participant's support against the
potential loss of operational freedom they ask as a price for their
support. If that price is too high, the President should tell
them Americans will somehow get the job done without
them.
Kim R. Holmes,
Ph.D. is Vice President of Foreign and Defense Policy
Studies and Director of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis
Institute for International Studies at The Heritage
Foundation.