Richard Holbrooke, President Obama's newly-appointed
representative on Afghanistan and Pakistan, has his work cut out
for him as he visits South Asia this week. The circulation of
numerous strategy reviews and several conflicting statements from
U.S. officials on the way forward in Afghanistan have created
uncertainty over the future direction of U.S. policy in the
region.
It's time to go back to Policymaking 101: Define your objectives
- and figure out what you need to achieve them.
Last year was a tough one in Afghanistan. There was a 60 percent
rise in Afghan civilian casualties, and we saw the highest number
of coalition forces deaths to date. But we shouldn't back away from
the conflict, as some of Mr. Obama's advisers and his supporters in
Congress appear to be counseling. Instead, we need a new strategy
to accomplish our original, and still worthy, goal of securing the
U.S. homeland from future Sept. 11, 2001, type of attacks.
A popular phrase making the rounds is "no military solution."
But does the Taliban leadership agree with that statement? Because
if they don't, then it's logical to conclude that more U.S. troops
are necessary before genuine political reconciliation - rather than
surrender to the Taliban - is achievable. The Obama
administration's decision to increase U.S. troop levels is an
important signal to the Afghan people that the U.S. remains
committed to securing their future.
Average Afghans do not support the harsh policies and violent
tactics of the Taliban, but they also are angry about growing
civilian casualties and intrusive searches by coalition forces.
Washington must put a new emphasis on deploying ground troops to
protect Afghan citizens from Taliban advances, and depend less on
aerial bombing, which risks killing innocent bystanders. A recent
NATO directive calling for Afghan forces to take the lead in
searching Afghan homes and religious sites, and for troops manning
checkpoints to minimize resort to deadly force, is helpful.
Once coalition forces establish that they're there to protect -
not occupy -- it will be easier to peel off the lower level and less
ideologically committed Taliban to participate in a peaceful
political process. The United States must avoid sending mixed
messages and prove it is committed to ensuring Afghanistan doesn't
return to the harsh Taliban rule of the 1990s. Only then can free,
fair and secure elections and genuine political reconciliation take
place.
Appointing an Afghanistan-Pakistan Representative was an
important step to improving U.S. diplomatic efforts in the region.
A major problem over the last seven years has been the tendency of
the U.S. bureaucracy to treat Afghanistan and Pakistan as separate
issues. Unfortunately, this leads more to finger-pointing between
Afghanistan and Pakistan watchers than to genuine solutions.
Policymakers are finally realizing that the problems in Afghanistan
and Pakistan are inextricably linked and that Washington must do
more to encourage cooperation between the two nations.
Better diplomacy also means identifying genuine allies in the
effort to stabilize Afghanistan and nurturing them, while isolating
those intent on undermining the coalition's goals. This raises the
difficult question of how to create an effective partnership
against terrorism with Pakistan when some within the Pakistani
security establishment are unconvinced that a Taliban-free
Afghanistan is in their national security interest, even as
Pakistani troops fall on a daily basis fighting extremists in their
own territory.
Mr. Holbrooke should convince Pakistanis that the United States
is committed to securing the country's future over the long haul
and that it won't make the same mistake it did in the 1990s of
turning its back on the region. Many Pakistani military leaders are
belatedly recognizing that the Taliban and other extremist groups
associated with al Qaeda ultimately threaten their own country's
stability.
Mr. Holbrooke shouldn't fall prey to Pakistani regional
strategic calculations that may involve calls for a greater Taliban
and diminished Indian role in Afghanistan. We cannot afford to
revert to pre-Sept. 11, 2001, Afghanistan. We must judge the role
of other countries in this effort on whether they're helping to
build a new and more peaceful Afghanistan, not on zero-sum
strategic calculations that fuel religious extremism and
violence.
Another important aspect of U.S. diplomacy will be finding
alternative supply routes into Afghanistan. About 75 percent of
supplies for NATO operations in Afghanistan currently travel
through Pakistan. But an increase in attacks on these supply lines,
including the recent destruction of the bridge through the Khyber
Pass, demonstrate that the United States needs to secure supply
lines through other countries.
While on the campaign trail, Barack Obama was right to commit
himself to winning the war in Afghanistan. Now that he is in
office, he shouldn't be deterred by those who are already prepared
to give up on his vision.
Lisa Curtis
is a senior research fellow in the Asian Studies Center at the
Heritage Foundation