Occasionally, a simple remark reveals far more about the state
of American leadership than any speech, policy statement or white
paper. During an official visit to Beijing in late May by Lee
Myung-bak, the new South Korean president and stalwart American
friend, China's foreign ministry declared the U.S.-South Korea
alliance a "historical relic."
Americans need to wake up to the challenge of leadership and
start fighting for it in Asia. That the Chinese are testing one of
our closest relationships shows that if we cannot step up, Asia may
well make plans for its future without us.
The U.S. government, from the president on down, strains to
plead our long-term interests and staying power in Asia. Why is
Asia not buying it?
It's partly because of great changes occurring there, including
the rise of China and the maturation of our once-dependent allies.
It's also because of incoherence in our strategic vision. And
frankly, it's about style. When we alternate between "taking
charge" and acting detached, we leave our friends questioning our
commitment level.
Thanks mostly to generations of soldiers, sailors and airmen,
our alliances in Asia give us a head start on the competition.
Allies Japan and South Korea are now powerful democracies. The
Philippines and Thailand also have become capable members of the
alliance family. Australia -- having fought beside us in every
conflict of the 20th century -- has proved a most reliable
friend.
We also have friends beyond our treaty allies. Taiwan is a
natural security partner. Every day it demonstrates the relevance
of democracy to the lives of Chinese people. Indonesia, an enormous
and diverse nation, is making an inspiring effort to address its
problems with the consent of the governed. Malaysia's democracy is
newly robust. Singapore comes as close as we can get to a security
alliance without a treaty. And we can occasionally depend on others
out of shared interests, if not the bedrock of shared republican
values.
In short, the American vision of a free, prosperous and secure
Asia is widely shared. Where the burden of leadership gets tricky
is how we address the principal challenge: China's emergence as a
major global power. All the players in Asia, including the U.S.,
have real interests at stake in their relations with China. But
China, as currently governed, is on a trajectory to threaten the
freedom, security and, one day, the prosperity of Asia.
We ought not fear saying this out loud.
China is massively increasing its military spending and
modernizing its weapons. It is expanding land, sea, air and space
capabilities. It holds unremitting territorial claims on its
neighbors Japan, Taiwan and India and in the South China Sea. It is
pursuing close and unapologetic relations with the world's most
odious regimes. And it doggedly adheres to one-party authoritarian
rule at home.
We need to rethink our "hedging" strategy -- relying on China to
choose democratic reform and peaceful entry into the international
system while we plan for alternative scenarios. What we are hedging
against -- the rise of a powerful, undemocratic strategic
competitor -- is coming to pass. Our rote appeal for transparency
has become a way of not believing our own eyes.
Yes, we can partner with China on common interests, but we
cannot conceive of it broadly as a "strategic partner." The gulf
between its value systems and objectives and ours is too great. To
miss this distinction is to facilitate China's leadership rather
than assert our own.
As for style, we require a diplomacy that takes into account the
realities of today's Asia. U.S. leadership can no longer see our
friends and allies as followers but as full partners. They too are
worried about China. But they are also worried about our approach.
We cannot allow our leadership to be framed as a choice between
American-led security and Chinese-fed prosperity.
It will take time for us to build trust in a new leadership
model. It will mean a long-term, multi-administration focus on
regional priorities and diplomatic initiatives. It may mean new
institutions, such as a global freedom alliance, that supplement
the tools currently at our diplomatic disposal. We can manage it,
but only with the strategic coherence that comes with accurately
defining the challenge.
An Asia without our leadership would be bad for the U.S., but it
also would be unfortunate for Asia. The U.S. remains the Asia
Pacific's indispensable power. We must lead like it.
Walter Lohman is
senior research fellow for Southeast Asia in the Asian Studies
Center at the Heritage Foundation.