It is no secret that modern warfare is increasingly
dependent on advanced computers-and no country's armed forces are
more reliant on the digital age for information superiority than
those of the U.S. This is both the American military's greatest
strength- and potentially its greatest weakness.
Today, the Pentagon uses more than 5 million computers on
100,000 networks at as many as 1,500 sites in at least 65 countries
worldwide. Not surprisingly, potential adversaries have taken note
of America's slavish dependence on information technology.
The Defense Department suffers tens of thousands of
computer network attacks annually. Although the department is
understandably cautious about revealing the success of these
attacks, some of the cyber assaults allegedly reduced the
military's operational capabilities. The Pentagon reportedly logged
more than 79,000 attempted intrusions in 2005 - the most recent
publicly available data. About 1,300 of the attacks supposedly were
successful, including the reported penetration of computers linked
to the Army's 101st and 82nd Airborne and 4th Infantry divisions.
Foreign cyberspace operations are a threat that is here and now -
and cannot be ignored.
Cyberspace operations, which include computer network
attack, exploitation and defense, are not a new national security
challenge. Cyber warfare was all the rage in the late 1990s but has
faded in importance since 9/11, not surprisingly, in comparison to
the threat of terrorism and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Cyber operations appeal to many state and nonstate
actors, including terrorists, because they can be low-cost,
low-risk and highly effective, and provide plausible deniability
for the attacker, who can route operations through any number of
surrogate servers across the Web en route to its target. Talk about
"low-DNA" operations.
Malicious code can launch viruses, crash networks,
corrupt data, collect intelligence, spread misinformation, and
interfere with vital friendly military and intelligence operations,
including command, control, communications, navigation and
logistics. In essence, if it is wired to the Web, it is potentially
vulnerable.
According to McAfee, an Internet security company, about
120 countries are involved in developing the ability to use the
Internet as a weapon, not only against government networks, but
also against soft targets such as financial markets and even
critical civilian infrastructure. Although it is impossible to say
how many raids go undetected, cyber attacks have grown increasingly
sophisticated. The threat has grown from the work of curious
hackers to premeditated government-sponsored operations that
embrace a variety of security-related purposes.
No country is seemingly more active in cyberspace than
China.
ARMY OF HACKERS
According to Pentagon sources, most attacks on America's
digital Achilles' heel originate from the People's Republic of
China (PRC), making Chinese cyber operations an issue that deserves
close attention. The PRC is serious about cyberspace and has made
the development of cyber capabilities a top national- security
priority. China's military planners recognize that the United
States' reliance on computers is a potential strategic weakness
ripe for exploitation. The People's Liberation Army (PLA) has
reportedly incorporated cyber warfare tactics into military
exercises and created schools that specialize in it. The Chinese
military is also hiring top computer-science graduates to develop
its cyber warfare capabilities, literally creating an army of
hackers.
According to an annual report of the congressionally
mandated U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission (USCC):
"The Chinese realize that they cannot win a traditional war against
the U.S. and are seeking unorthodox ways to defeat the U.S. in any
such conflict ... while building up their military power to
eventually match or exceed U.S. military capabilities in East
Asia."
China's plan is to develop asymmetrical warfare weapons,
including so-called "assassin's mace weapons" that will allow the
PRC to balance America's existing military superiority in Asia.
These weapons include cyber tools for use across the
electromagnetic domain. According to the USCC, the PLA's cyber
warfare hit list is expansive, including "forward-based command,
control, communications, computers and intelligence (C4I) nodes,
airbases, aircraft carriers, and sea- and space-based
command-and-control platforms."
Describing what could be called a new "arms" race - this
time in cyberspace - a Pentagon assessment states that China's
military regards offensive computer operations as "critical to
seize the initiative" in the first stage of a conflict.
Beginning in 2003, Chinese cyber reconnaissance has
become so common in the Defense Department computer networks that
the Pentagon created a program, which became known as "Titan Rain,"
to collect data and work the problem.
Industrial espionage against government and private
defense research, development and production efforts is also a
priority for Chinese cyber spies, cutting costs and time in support
of Beijing's massive effort to build up its military and develop a
world-class defense industry.
It is not just the U.S. the Chinese have in their cyber
sights. Over the past year, the United Kingdom, France and Germany
have pointed an accusatory finger at China for attempting to
infiltrate - or successfully penetrating - their diplomatic or
defense establishment's computer networks. Beijing is also looking
for cyber dominance over other key potential regional rivals, such
as New Delhi, Moscow, Seoul, Tokyo and cross-strait rival Taipei.
China's increasing aggressiveness and ability to infiltrate the
computer networks of key countries is setting off alarms across the
security establishment, and rightfully so.
UNRULY RUSSIA
Russia is believed to be developing significant
cyberspace capabilities, too. Indeed, in April 2007, a massive
cyber attack on the tiny Baltic state of Estonia by Russian hackers
demonstrated how potentially catastrophic a pre-emptive digital
strike could be on a developed nation. Pro-Russian hackers, some
likely associated with the government, attacked numerous Web sites
in neighboring Estonia - one of the world's most wired countries -
to protest the controversial removal of a Soviet war memorial
located in the capital, Tallinn. The hackers brought down
government and other Web sites, including the office of the
president, the parliament, political parties, banks, news
organizations and communications firms, using denial-of- service
attacks, in which a server is bombarded with so many bogus requests
for information that it overloads and crashes.
Some of the attacks came from botnets - chains of
perhaps thousands of zombie computers that have been hijacked by
the malicious code of cyber pirates and linked together to take
part in raids, often generating large volumes of spam, with or
without their owners' knowledge.
Interestingly, a number of Estonian commentators
wondered whether their defense ministry should have called on NATO
to invoke Article V's collective defense provision. An interesting
point, but for the moment, NATO does not seem to view cyber attacks
as a military action.
Estonia has not been the only victim of an alleged
Russian cyber attack. Moonlight Maze is the name given to series of
coordinated attacks on Pentagon computers going back to the 1990s
that may have originated in Russia, possibly compromising sensitive
national security data.
The Russians see cyber dominance as central to warfare.
At a recent conference, a senior Russian general said victory in
future conflicts will be decided by suppressing the opponent's
military and state institutions through information
technologies.
But it is not only major powers that are using
cyberspace to advance their political-military objectives.
Terrorists are all over the Internet, too. They use the Web to
recruit, communicate, share information (such as bomb-making),
relay threats, seek publicity for their cause, spread propaganda or
gather publicly available information for target development.
Terrorists also effectively use the Internet for fundraising - from
both witting and unwitting donors. Terrorists, like cyber
criminals, will use Web scams such as phishing to obtain private
information such as passwords, while acting as a legitimate entity,
to line their pockets.
The Internet offers terrorists a multitude of advantages
in waging their unconventional warfare: mobility, flexibility (if
hacked or shut down by an Internet service provider), world-wide
coverage with huge potential audiences and high-speed
communications. Some Islamist hackers have promoted the notion of
carrying out electronic jihad against infidel civilian
infrastructure, economic and military targets. Serious attacks in
which cyber terrorists take innocent lives via the Web in an effort
to advance their cause may become reality in the future.
In testimony to Congress in March 2007, Gen. James
Cartwright, commander of U.S. Strategic Command, said: "America is
under widespread attack in cyberspace. ... [T]he magnitude of cost,
in terms of real dollars dedicated to defensive measures, lost
intellectual capital and fraud, cannot be overestimated, making
these attacks a matter of great national interest. Unlike the air,
land and sea domains, we lack dominance in cyberspace and could
grow increasingly vulnerable if we do not fundamentally change how
we view this battle space."
State-sponsored and terrorist cyberspace efforts provide
a cautionary tale to U.S. and other policymakers. Although many
governments have devoted significant resources to cyber security,
recent intrusions clearly demonstrate cyberspace
vulnerabilities.
A digital Pearl Harbor is by no means a certainty. But
cyberspace is increasingly important to American national security
- and complementary to the broad spectrum of modern warfare. The
time to take heed of this challenge is now.
Peter
Brookes is a Heritage Foundation senior fellow and former
US deputy assistant secretary of defense.