The unannounced visit of President Bush to Baghdad yesterday is
the visible signal that the White House believes a turning point
has been reached in Iraq. This would be good news not just for the
Iraqis but for the Bush administration as well, which could
definitely use some positive coverage of the war. In an election
year, Iraqi and American politics have become inextricably
intertwined.
Having called a brainstorming meeting at Camp David with his
cabinet and several outside military experts and historians, Mr.
Bush proceeded to sneak out after dinner on Monday night by
helicopter, and later took off for Baghdad on Air Force One with a
group of highly surprised pool reporters in tow.
Not even Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri Maliki had been informed. It
is for very good reasons that security around the president is this
tight, but this clearly is a moment to be savored in a long
struggle for Iraq's future, and Mr. Bush wanted to mark it with his
presence.
There is a good deal to be said for cautious optimism about the
situation in Iraq at this time. The death of terrorist mastermind
Abu Musab Zarqawi, killed in a U.S. bombing raid on June 8, may not
put an end to the insurgency in the short term, but it does remove
one of its most vicious masterminds, and will surely cause morale
among insurgents to plummet.
As House Majority Leader John Boehner aptly put it, "I think
Zarqawi's death -- or as I like to say, taking the head off the
snake -- will, in fact, help us." Zarqawi was responsible for
terrorist bombings against American targets as well as the murder
of fellow Muslims in great numbers, during religious ceremonies at
that. He personally beheaded several Westerners during the days of
the horrendous terror campaign in 2005 and killed 60 Jordanians,
his own countrymen.
Cruelty and inhumanity do not win you popular support, and
Zarqawi's demise can only be seen as giving a moral boost to U.S.
policy and to the new Iraqi government. In tracking the terrorist
down, the government of Jordan was reportedly highly instrumental
and helpful.
Equally importantly, the elimination of Zarqawi coincides with
the news that the Iraqi government finally has managed to fill the
power ministries -- Defense and Interior. These pieces were missing
in the initial announcement of the new government, formed after
five long months of negotiations, and gave some cause to doubt that
it could remain stable.
The key to Iraq's future now lies in the hands of the al-Maliki
government, which needs to demonstrate that it will be able to take
charge of Iraq's security situation down the road. Part of this
important test will be the ongoing sweep of insurgents that has
built on information derived from Zarqawi's hiding place as well as
an anti-insurgent offensive in Baghdad planned to start today.
Meanwhile, back on the farm -- that is, Capitol Hill -- Iraq
will dominate the agenda. In the Senate, the fiscal 2007 Defense
Authorization Bill is up for debate and contains, among other
things, an amendment by Sen. John Kerry advocating the withdrawal
of all combat troops from Iraq by the end of this year. It's the
second time the senator from Massachusetts has attempted to get
this language adopted, hoping to capitalize on American weariness
with the war.
Tomorrow, House Republicans are planning the first full-fledged
debate on Iraq since the war started, hoping that recent events
will rekindle American support for the president's policy in
preparation for the November midterm elections. A June 7 Associated
Press poll found that 59 percent of Americans said that it was a
mistake to go to war in Iraq.
A draft resolution by the House International Relations
Committee declares that "the United States will complete the
mission in Iraq and prevail in the Global War on Terror and the
struggle to protect freedom from the terrorist adversary." This
resolution has been in the works since last November when the
debate over Iraq turned into a debate over Rep. John Murtha and his
motives for advocating an immediate withdrawal of American
troops.
Foreign policy does not usually dominate American elections, but
with tight margins it could certainly have an effect in November.
Irrespective of Washington power plays, however, there is
absolutely no doubt that Iraq is a better place because of
Zarqawi's death. It's hard to think of better news since Saddam
Hussein crawled out of his hole and surrendered.
Helle
Dale is director of the Douglas and
Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies at the Heritage
Foundation.