Can you feel the beat? It's the sound of Washington liberals
banging the national-debt drum to drown out the conservative chorus
for tax cuts.
"We can't just pass this debt onto our children," House Minority
Leader Richard Gephardt, D-Mo., said in response to President
Bush's call for tax relief. "Not when we have the ability to pay it
off."
Adds Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle, D-S.D.: "The plan I
propose will provide tax cuts for middle-class families and
preserve enough of the surplus to responsibly pay down the
debt."
It's a catchy beat: Pay off the debt. Ease the burden on the
kids and grandkids plus boost savings and economic growth.
But it's out of tune with economic reality, because some national
debt is actually good for the country. Here's why:
More Than Enough. One problem with paying down the debt
while having a budget surplus is that it requires us to keep taxes
higher than necessary-and high taxes hurt economic growth more than
a national debt. Studies and real-life evidence from the 1920s,
'60s and '80s show tax cuts help spur economic growth, as Peter
Ferrara of George Mason University notes in a recent issue of
Policy Review. But no studies or evidence show paying off
the debt helps growth.
Too Much, Too Soon. Liberals say they want to pay off the
debt within the next 10 years. But the problem is the government
created the debt by issuing Treasury bills, which by law have a set
payment schedule that can run as long as 30 years. In other words,
no matter how nice it would be to be debt-free by 2011, it can't
happen that fast.
Erasing the debt also can affect low inflation, a key part of
the 1990s economic boom. The Federal Reserve Board keeps inflation
under control partly by buying and selling bonds. It buys the bonds
with newly printed money to increase the money supply to create
inflation. It sells them to reduce the money supply and keep
inflation low. But without some national debt, there would be no
bonds to buy or sell. That means the Fed couldn't manage inflation
as well-and $8 Big Macs may not be far behind.
Debt? What Debt? The national debt isn't as big as it
used to be-or as Gephardt and the Debt Relievers make it sound. Our
current $3.4 trillion debt is less than a third of America's gross
domestic product (GDP). In 1950, it was 80 percent of GDP, and a
little less than half in 1960. America did OK economically back
then with those huge debts. It makes little sense now to cry havoc
against a smaller debt and refuse to give taxpayers a refund from
the surplus they created. (And how ironic that some of the same
congressional liberals wailing about the debt today kept quiet
during the 1980s and early '90s, when they were spending tax money
like rock stars on a wild concert tour.)
Lowering the debt is a good idea-President Bush would reduce it
to $818 billion by 2011-but a lower debt shouldn't come before
lower taxes.
Of course, if debt alarmists want to lower the debt faster, they
always could cut some outdated government programs and make
payments with the savings. For example, why not eliminate the Rural
Utilities Service, which was created in 1935 to help bring
electricity to rural areas? Its mission was largely completed some
four decades ago.
But you won't hear that drum beat from Gephardt and the Debt
Relievers. On that note, they offer nothing but the sound of
silence.
Edwin
Feulner is president of The Heritage Foundation (www.heritage.org), a
Washington-based public policy research institute.