On February 2, 2009, Iran successfully launched a satellite into
orbit using a rocket with technology similar to that used in
long-range ballistic missiles. On May 20, it test fired a
1,200-mile solid-fuel ballistic missile. North Korea attempted to
launch a satellite on April 6 that, while failing to be placed in
orbit, delivered its payload some 2,390 miles away in the Pacific
Ocean. This was followed on May 25 by an explosive nuclear weapons
test. Under these circumstances, with the ballistic missile threat
to the U.S. and its allies clearly growing, common sense would
dictate that the Obama Administration fully fund the missile
defense program.
In fiscal year (FY) 2001, which was the last Clinton
Administration budget, funding for the Ballistic Missile
Defense Organization was $4.8 billion. This was achieved only
because of aggressive congressional support for ballistic missile
defense in the face of a reluctant Administration. In FY 2002,
funding for what is now the Missile Defense Agency (MDA) was
increased to $7.8 billion. Projected FY 2009 spending for broader
missile defense programs, which extends to the services, is $10.92
billion. This was the product of the last Bush Administration
budget.
In contrast to this trend, on April 6, 2009, Secretary of
Defense Robert Gates announced that the Obama Administration's FY
2010 broader defense budget would reduce the ballistic missile
defense budget by $1.4 billion.[1] Overall missile defense
spending, including for the MDA and the military services, will be
reduced to $9.3 billion from $10.92 billion in FY 2009.[2]
This cut is notable given that a May 7-10, 2009, poll conducted
by Opinion Research Corporation for the Missile Defense Advocacy
Alliance revealed that 88 percent of the respondents believe that
the federal government should field a system for countering
ballistic missiles capable of carrying weapons of mass
destruction.[3] Moreover, even with a missile defense
budget of $10.92 billion for the current fiscal year, the American
people remain significantly vulnerable to ballistic missile attack
because missile defense programs have lagged behind advances in
policy, funding, and--regrettably--the missile threat.
Rather than structuring the budget and programs to counter this
problem, the Obama Administration proposes to cap at 30 the number
of fielded interceptors for countering long-range missiles;
terminate the Multiple Kill Vehicle (MKV) program for defeating
counter-measures in the midcourse stage of flight; terminate the
Kinetic Energy Interceptor (KEI) program for intercepting ballistic
missiles in the boost-phase stage of flight; defer the purchase of
a second Airborne Laser (ABL) aircraft, also designed to intercept
ballistic missiles in the boost-phase stage; increase funding for
the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) interceptor,
including for procurement; and increase funding for sea-based
ballistic missile defense, including for conversion of additional
ships to give them missile defense capabilities and procurement of
Standard Missile-3 (SM-3) interceptors.
In response to these proposals, supporters of a robust missile
defense need to take seven specific steps.
Step #1: Try to restore overall funding to the missile
defense program, including for additional interceptors in Alaska,
California, and Europe. To be effective, missile defense must
be properly funded. The Administration's $1.62 billion reduction
from FY 2009 for missile defense is unwarranted, given the recent
missile launches by both Iran and North Korea.
Step #2: Retain the MKV program, which would develop
smaller and lighter kill vehicles so that more than one can be
mounted on a defense interceptor, allowing it to destroy both the
warhead and the decoys.
Step #3: Preserve the ABL program, the primary system in
development for gauging the potentially dramatic improvements in
combat capabilities derived from perfecting directed energy
weapons.
Step #4: Field a system to protect U.S. coastal areas from
sea-launched shorter-range missiles. In the near term, lesser
missile powers and possibly terrorist groups could attack U.S.
territory by launching a short-range Scud missile from a
container ship off the coast. Congress should direct the Navy to
take steps to counter this threat.
Step #5: Advance the Obama Administration's proposal for
strengthened sea-based missile defenses by moving funding and
management authority for these systems from the Missile Defense
Agency to the Navy. It has long been expected that mature
missile defense systems developed under MDA management
would be transferred to the services to manage remaining
development and procurement activities. The sea-based systems
developed by the MDA have matured to the point that such a transfer
is warranted.[4]
Step #6: Continue boost-phase missile defense programs by
focusing on developing and fielding interceptors derived from
modified air-to-air missiles. The Administration's new emphasis
on ascent-phase intercept capabilities has come largely at the
expense of boost-phase systems, specifically with termination of
the KEI program and curtailment of the ABL program, but there
remain strong arguments for retaining boost-phase options.
Step #7: Refute the charge that space-based missile defense
will "weaponize" space. Congressional supporters of missile
defense need to force a debate on the charge that space-based
ballistic missile defense interceptors would weaponize space. The
fact is that space was weaponized when the first ballistic missile
was deployed, because ballistic missiles travel through space on
their way to their targets.
As Iran and North Korea are demonstrating, there are clear
trends in the direction of both missile and nuclear proliferation.
The Obama Administration seems inclined to put the missile defense
program back on a path where it will lag behind this growing
threat. If it does this, both the American people and America's
friends and allies will be left vulnerable. Such vulnerability in
an unpredictable world is profoundly destabilizing and increases
the risk of nuclear war.[5]
Baker
Spring is F. M. Kirby Research Fellow in National Security
Policy in the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy
Studies, a division of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis
Institute for International Studies, at The Heritage
Foundation.
[4].See, for example, Independent Working Group on
Missile Defense, the Space Relationship, & the Twenty-First
Century, 2009 Report (Cambridge, Mass.: Institute for
Foreign Policy Analysis, 2009), pp. 129-130, at /static/reportimages/0D16BA62B9A6549548EE8C9331ECB950.pdf (June
15, 2009).