If Simón
Bolívar had returned to Venezuela in 2007 for his 224th
birthday, he would have encountered a large man sporting a red
shirt named Hugo Chávez exploiting his legacy. Although
President Chávez claims to be Bolívar's worthy
successor, the Liberator would see red when comparing
Chávez's "21st century socialism" with the reality of his
regime. Bolívar would be embarrassed to see Venezuelans
being oppressed by the same kind of Latin American caudillo
(strongman) from which he fought to free them two centuries ago.
Bolívar championed a unified South America and strong
constitutional government to provide the same freedom,
equality, and prosperity that he saw developing in North
America. He opposed precisely the type of one-party, personalized,
dictatorial rule that is embodied by Hugo Chávez.
A self-declared
enemy of the U.S., Chávez aims to dominate the Caribbean
Basin and Andean region and fulfill the long-time dream of his hero
and mentor, Cuban dictator Fidel Castro. Chávez is a much
bigger threat than officials in Washington seem to realize, and
they need to wake up fast.
Consolidating
Power. Steadily tightening his grip on power in the "Bolivarian
Republic" of Venezuela, Chávez has hollowed out
democratic institutions and stoked class conflict. He has
packed the courts and the National Assembly, putting loyalists on
the bloated state payroll. In January 2007, the National Assembly
granted him power to rule by decree. Since his re-election in
December 2006, Chávez has moved steadily from socialist
theory to authoritarian practice. He is rigging the rules to stay
in office indefinitely while his draconian media-control laws
stifle dissent. In May 2007, Chávez closed down RCTV,
Venezuela's oldest television channel and the strongest remaining
opposition voice. Now he is free to jail his opponents.
Chávez has ordered his troops to greet one another with
"Patria, Socialismo, o Muerte" (fatherland, socialism, or death),
and officers in his politicized military are in command of
provincial governments and the police.
Petroleos de
Venezuela SA (PdVSA), the state-owned oil company, has become a
large slush fund for Bolivarian schemes, from social welfare cash
transfers to billion-dollar arms purchases. Chávez is
killing his golden goose by diverting so much revenue that PdVSA
cannot afford the modern technology to keep it globally
competitive. Since Chávez took office, PdVSA production has
dropped by 50 percent, although high oil prices have masked the
loss. Billions have vanished into non-transparent accounts set up
by Chávez as piggybanks for his regime.
His power base is
drawn from the millions of Venezuelans subsisting on less than $2
per day. He has given them billions in non-productive
government subsidies, but the handouts have not improved their
lives. They suffer from rising crime (Caracas has the Western
Hemisphere's highest murder rate) and inflation (also the
hemisphere's highest). The infrastructure is deteriorating. Income
inequality has not improved. Reports of massive corruption by
Chávistas undermine Chávez's claims that his
revolution is morally superior to the "savage capitalism" that he
professes to be fighting.
Petro-Diplomacy. Chávez is buying friends with
"petro-diplomacy," spending at least $2 billion per year to prop up
Castro's dictatorship and billions more to fund PetroCaribe. He
intends to control all defense, economic, social, and foreign
policies in the region through the Bolivarian Alternative for the
Americas, his socialist trade scheme. Bolivarian Circles
promote leftists such as Evo Morales in Bolivia, Rafael Correa in
Ecuador, Lopez Obrador in Mexico, and Ollanta Humala in Peru.
Chávez berates Washington Consensus political and economic
reforms, calling the International Monetary Fund and World Bank
tools of U.S. domination. He claims that "21st century socialism"
will empower and prosper people, but his retrograde statist
policies and iron-fisted tactics-old wine in even older
bottles-doomed (among many other countries) the Soviet Union, Cuba,
and Zimbabwe.
To damage U.S.
interests, Chávez expropriates from U.S. oil companies while
steering billions in lucrative contracts to oil companies from
China, Russia, Iran, Belarus, and other authoritarian
capitalist nations. The quantity of narcotics smuggled to the
U.S. via Venezuela has soared. Even more alarmingly,
Chávez is spending billions on unnecessary land, sea, and
air weapons that threaten Venezuela's neighbors and are leading to
a renewed regional arms race. His adventurism is threatening
next-door Colombia, a firm U.S. ally.
The Venezuela
Problem. Distracted by problems elsewhere, the U.S. has
tried to discredit Chávez by ignoring him, but Washington
has been slow to recognize the magnitude of the threat posed by
Chávez and Castro. Venezuela has the largest proven oil
reserves in the Western Hemisphere. If Chávez succeeds in
blocking access to Venezuelan oil, the U.S. will become even more
reliant on the volatile Middle East. The U.S. has wisely refused to
react directly to his taunts and threats, but to counter his many
challenges and provocations, the Administration must deliver the
message of good governance, the benefits of the free market,
democratic principles, and respect for the rule of law more
aggressively.
To isolate
Chávez politically and economically, Congress should approve
pending trade promotion agreements with Peru, Panama, and Colombia
as originally negotiated. The Administration should pursue
additional free trade agreements with Paraguay and Uruguay.
Relations with Brazil should be improved, starting with elimination
of U.S. tariffs on Brazilian ethanol. Congress and the
Administration also should extend Andean Trade Preferences to
Bolivia and Ecuador beyond the February 2008 expiration date and
continue to press both countries to pull back from
Chávez.
The
Administration should increase regional security cooperation
through joint programs with friendly governments to battle
transnational terrorism, crime, and narcotics trafficking. To
tackle the income disparities and deep-rooted poverty that
Chávez is exploiting but not solving, Congress should
increase funding for the region from the Millennium Challenge
Corporation. The Administration should ask the
Organization of American States to censure Chávez for
his crackdown on press freedom.
Conclusion. The U.S. should counter Chávez by
increasing support for market-based democratic institutions, lest
his efforts bear bitter fruit. A strong and resolute U.S.
government should avoid repeating past mistakes and instead
act to encourage true reform in the region.
James M. Roberts
is Research Fellow for Economic Freedom and Growth in the Center
for International Trade and Economics at The Heritage
Foundation.