A pillar of
conventional wisdom about the U.S. military is that the quality of
volunteers has been degraded after the invasions of Afghanistan and
Iraq. Examples of the voices making this claim range from the
Washington Post, Los Angeles Times, and New York
Daily News [1] to
Michael Moore's pseudo-documentary Fahrenheit 9/11. Some
insist that minorities and the underprivileged are
overrepresented in the military. Others accuse the U.S. Army
of accepting unqualified enlistees in a futile attempt to meet its
recruiting goals in the midst of an unpopular war.[2]
A report published by
The Heritage Foundation in November 2005 examined the issue and
could not substantiate any degradation in troop quality by
comparing military enlistees in 1999 to those in 2003. It is
possible that troop quality did not degrade until after the initial
invasion of Iraq in 2003, when patriotism was high. A common
assumption is that the Army experienced difficulty getting
qualified enlistees in 2005 and was subsequently forced to
lower its standards. This report revisits the issue by examining
the full recruiting classes for all branches of the U.S. military
for every year from 2003 to 2005.
The current findings
show that the demographic characteristics of volunteers have
continued to show signs of higher, not lower, quality. Quality
is a difficult concept to apply to soldiers, or to human beings in
any context, and it should be understood here in context.
Regardless of the standards used to screen applicants, the average
quality of the people accepted into any organization can be
assessed only by using measurable criteria, which surely fail
to account for intangible characteristics. In the military, it is
especially questionable to claim that measurable
characteristics accurately reflect what really matters:
courage, honor, integrity, loyalty, and leadership.
Those who have been so
quick to suggest that today's wartime recruits represent lesser
quality, lower standards, or lower class should be expected make an
airtight case. Instead, they have cited selective evidence, which
is balanced by a much clearer set of evidence showing improving
troop quality.
Indeed, in many
criteria, each year shows advancement, not decline, in measurable
qualities of new enlistees. For example, it is commonly claimed
that the military relies on recruits from poorer neighborhoods
because the wealthy will not risk death in war. This claim has been
advanced without any rigorous evidence. Our review of Pentagon
enlistee data shows that the only group that is lowering its
participation in the military is the poor. The percentage of
recruits from the poorest American neighborhoods (with one-fifth of
the U.S. population) declined from 18 percent in 1999 to 14.6
percent in 2003, 14.1 percent in 2004, and 13.7 percent in
2005.
This report updates the
previous Heritage Foundation report, with data on all U.S.
recruits during 2004 and 2005. We introduce the term "wartime
recruits" to identify volunteer enlistees in all branches during
2003, 2004, and 2005. Like the previous report,[3] the
analysis considers the following characteristics:
-
Household
income,
-
Level of
education,
-
Race/ethnicity,
and
-
Regional/rural
origin.
In summary, the
additional years of recruit data (2004-2005) support the
previous finding that U.S. military recruits are more similar than
dissimilar to the American youth population. The slight
differences are that wartime U.S. military enlistees are
better educated, wealthier, and more rural on average than
their civilian peers.
Recruits have a higher
percentage of high school graduates and representation from
Southern and rural areas. No evidence indicates exploitation of
racial minorities (either by race or by race-weighted ZIP code
areas). Finally, the distribution of household income of
recruits is noticeably higher than that of the entire youth
population.
Demographic evidence
discredits the argument that a draft is necessary to enforce
representation from racial and socioeconomic groups.
Additionally, three of the four branches of the armed forces
met their recruiting goals in fiscal year 2005, and Army
reenlistments are the highest in the past five years. A draft is
not necessary to increase the size of the active-duty forces. Our
analysis using Pentagon data on wartime volunteers effectively
shatters the case for reinstating the draft.
Household Income of
Recruits
Like their peers in
1999 and 2003, recruits in 2004 and 2005 came primarily from
middle-class areas. Poor areas are proportionally
underrepresented in the wartime years (2003-2005).
The Department of
Defense (DOD) does not track family income data for recruits, and
there are no individual income data for enlistees. Military service
is the first full-time job for most of them. We approximate
each recruit's household income by using the median household
income of his or her hometown ZIP code.

Much of the analysis in
this paper (including this section) uses five-digit Census ZIP code
tabulation areas (ZCTAs) as the unit of analysis. The Census Bureau
uses ZCTAs to approximate U.S. Postal Service ZIP codes. In most
cases, ZCTAs correspond to postal ZIP codes. For example,
Representative Charles Rangel (D-NY), who advocated reinstating the
draft in 2003, resides in the postal ZIP code 10037. The
corresponding five-digit ZCTA 10037, shown in Figure 1, had a
1999 median household income of $26,561. In 2004, six recruits
originated from the area. In 2005, two more recruits from that ZIP
code enlisted.
By assigning each
recruit the median 1999 household income for his hometown ZIP code
as determined from Census 2000, the mean income for 2004
recruits was $43,122 (in 1999 dollars). For 2005 recruits, it was
$43,238 (in 1999 dollars). These are increases over the mean
incomes for the 1999 cohort ($41,141) and 2003 cohort ($42,822).
The national median published in Census 2000 was $41,994. This
indicates that, on average, the 2004 and 2005 recruit
populations come from even wealthier areas than their peers who
enlisted in 1999 and 2003.
When comparing these
wartime recruits (2003- 2005) to the resident population ages 18-24
(as recorded in Census 2000), areas with median household income
levels between $35,000 and $79,999 were overrepresented, along with
income categories between $85,000 and $94,999. (See Chart 2.)
Though the mainstream media continue to portray the war in Iraq as
unpopular, this evidence suggests that the United States is
not sending the poor to die for the interests of the
rich.
With the addition of
data for the 2004 and 2005 recruits, the quintile trends noted in
the previous report are even more striking. (See Table 1.) From
2003 to 2005, the representation of the highest-income quintile
rose 0.68 percentage point, from 22.17 percent to 22.85 percent. As
conflict in Iraq continues, youth from wealthy areas continue to
volunteer for duty despite increased risk. Additionally, over
the course of these three recruit years, representation from the
poorest quintile has decreased dramatically. The representation
among recruits of the lowest-income quintile fell nearly a full
percentage point, from 14.61 percent in 2003 to 13.66 percent in
2005.

This change in
proportional representation of areas based on ZCTA median household
income is even more noteworthy when compared to the pre-9/11
recruits in the 1999 cohort, in which 18.6 percent of the recruits
came from areas in the wealthiest quintile and 18.0 percent came
from areas in the poorest quintile, indicating
underrepresentation for both the high and low ends of the
income distribution. As shown in Chart 3, each of the top three
quintiles increased in representation from 2003 to 2005, and all
were overrepresented in comparison to the Census 2000 population
ages 18-24.



education
Educational achievement
is the characteristic most commonly cited as evidence of lower
military standards driven by the Iraq War. While some
measures, such as the higher percentage of Category IV
recruits in the Army, are cited, other measures, such as the higher
percentage of Category I recruits, are ignored. In general, the
higher quality of recruits compared to equivalent civilian
population has held steady during the war years.
The previous study
noted the significant difference between the national recruit
high school graduation rate of 98 percent and the national
youth graduation rate of 75 percent. This strong distinction
continues among the 2004 and 2005 recruits when compared to the
national educational attainment levels reported by the Census
2004 American Community Survey (ACS).[4]
Given the nature of the
military rank structure, most enlisted recruits do not have a
college education or degree. Members of the armed forces with
higher education are more often commissioned officers
(lieutenant and above). In 2004, 92.1 percent of active-duty
officer accessions held baccalaureate degrees or higher.[5] From
2000 to 2005, between 10 percent and 17 percent of active-duty
officer accessions held advanced degrees, and between 35 percent
and 45 percent of the active-duty officer corps held advanced
degrees.[6] This
indicates that officers continued their education during the
course of their military service.
Many enlisted personnel
are drawn to the benefits offered by the armed forces that allow
them to obtain funding for college. In recent years, incentives to
join the military have increased, providing more of the enlisted
recruits with additional resources to finance their education.
Although only about 7 percent of recruits for 2003-2005 entered the
military with some college experience, over 11 percent of the
2004 active component enlisted force had some college experience.[7]
Additionally, in the
most recent edition of Population Representation in the Military
Services, the Department of Defense reported that the mean
reading level of 2004 recruits is a full grade level higher than
that of the comparable youth population.[8] Fewer
than 2 percent of wartime recruits have no high school
credentials. Table 2 shows the breakdown for the educational
attainment of the wartime recruit cohorts. The national high
school graduation rate taken from the Census 2004 ACS is 79.8
percent.
In previous years, the
Department of Defense adhered to a policy of accepting no more than
2 percent of recruits scoring in Category IV on the Armed Forces
Qualifying Test (AFQT), the standardized test administered to
all recruits to determine eligibility. Category IV indicates
that the individual scored between the 21st and 30th
percentiles. Congress accepted a revised policy of up to 4
percent to allow for flexibility in the current recruiting
market. Despite three of the four branches accepting limited
numbers of Category IV recruits, in November 2005, the media
criticized the Army for accepting a high number of recruits from
Category IV.[9]


In fiscal year
2005, 4.4 percent of Army recruits scored in Category IV, and the
Army is optimistic that it will remain within policy guidelines
with its recruits for fiscal year 2006. For the first three
quarters of fiscal year 2006 (October 2005-June 2006), 3.4 percent
of Army recruits scored in Category IV. While the Army has
been criticized for its AFQT score policy, only 1.2 percent of
Marine Corps recruits for the first three quarters of fiscal year
2006 scored in Category IV, and the Air Force and the Navy have no
such recruits for this period. In 2005, only 2.2 percent of the
recruits from all four branches in fiscal year 2005 scored in
Category IV. By comparison, because the Army does not accept
any recruits below the 21st percentile, the nature of AFQT scoring
indicates that 20 percent of the comparable civilian population
would score below Category IV.
The policy regarding
high school graduation status (or the equivalent) remains stringent
across all four branches of the military. At least 90 percent
of recruits must be high school diploma graduates (which does not
include equivalency). Recruit accessions from the first three
quarters of fiscal year 2006 are above this guideline in all
branches except the Army. As of May 2006, 83.1 percent of accepted
Army recruits met this requirement, which is still a greater
percentage than the national graduation rate including
equivalency. Additionally, for fiscal year 2006, the Army is
in step with the other three branches in meeting the overall DOD
guideline that more than 60 percent of enlistees should score
above the 50th percentile on the AFQT.
The military defines a
"high quality" recruit as one who has scored above the 50th
percentile on the AFQT and has a high school diploma. The
percentage of high-quality recruits has increased from 57 percent
in 2001 to 64 percent in 2005 (67 percent in 2004),[10]
indicating not only that the military is accepting intelligent and
well-educated recruits, but also that the representation of
these recruits has increased strongly since the 9/11 terrorist
attacks.
While the military has
changed its policies to allow flexibility in recruiting standards,
it has certainly not abandoned them. The current guidelines
allow each force the flexibility to accept recruits who satisfy
only one criterion: either a high school diploma or an
above-average score on the AFQT, which is a standard equal to or
exceeding the general youth population.
Race
According to the 2004
Census ACS, 75.6 percent of the national adult population
self-identifies as belonging to the racial category white alone. In
both 2004 and 2005, 73.1 percent of recruits were classified as
white alone. This indicates a recruit-to-population ratio of 0.97,
with 1.00 indicating an exact proportional representation. (See
Table 4.) Whites are the most proportionally represented racial
group among recruits. Excluding the group of a combination of two
or more races, minority representation varies between being
moderately proportional to extremely disproportional. The most
overrepresented group is Native Hawaiian/ Other Pacific Islander,
with a ratio of 7.49 in 2005, or an overrepresentation of 649
percent. The Asian category is the most underrepresented group,
with a ratio of 0.69 in 2005.
Similar ratios appear
in the proportional representation of racial groups among Army
recruits in both 2004 and 2005, with the exception that blacks are
more proportionally represented among 2005 Army recruits than they
are in the total recruit population. The change in
proportional representation of blacks among military recruits
is a notable change from the 2003 cohort to the 2004 and 2005
cohorts. In the last three quarters of the 2003 recruit year,
blacks were largely overrepresented, with a
recruit-to-population ratio of 1.32 among all recruits and
1.44 among Army recruits. For 2004, these ratios were 1.19 and
1.17, respectively. In 2005, they were 1.07 and 0.96, respectively,
which indicates that in the past two years of military recruits,
the proportion of blacks in the military approached the
proportion of blacks in the population.
The 2005 Army
recruit-to-population ratio for blacks is 0.96. Additionally, they
are more proportionally represented in the Army than whites,
who have an Army recruit-to-population ratio of 0.95.

The 100 three-digit[11] ZCTAs
with the highest proportion of blacks (in any combination of other
races) according to Census 2000 contained 14.63 percent of the
adult population. The recruits from these areas represent 14.09
percent of the 2003 cohort, 14.14 percent of the 2004 cohort, and
13.37 percent of the 2005 cohort. This indicates that these areas
are not being overtly targeted to enlist large numbers of black
recruits. For these 100 three-digit ZCTAs, the percentage of
those who self-identified as black in any combination in the 2004
cohort (42.94 percent) was almost equal to the percentage of those
who self-identified as white in any combination (45.67
percent).
An accurate ratio of
proportionality of Hispanics cannot be determined from the recruit
data for 2004 and 2005 due to the high percentage of recruits who
declined to respond. (See Table 5.) However, when considering
only those that did respond, the 2004 recruit-to-population ratio
is 1.09 for Hispanics and 0.99 for non-Hispanics. (See Table 6.)
For 2005, these ratios were 1.15 and 0.98, respectively. While this
suggests that Hispanics are overrepresented among recruits, it does
not reflect a gross underrepresentation of non-Hispanics. No
evidence suggests that the military is targeting its recruiting
efforts to draw principally from Hispanic areas or to enlist
primarily Hispanic youth.


Regional
In reexamining the
question of whether the troops originate primarily from rural
areas, the data for 2004 and 2005 indicate the same pattern seen in
the 2003 data. As the rural concentration increases, so does the
proportional overrepresentation of recruits when compared to
the population ages 18-24. (See Table 7.)

Additionally, the data
for 2004 and 2005 confirm the strong military tradition in the
South. In each year from 2003 through 2005, approximately 38
percent of the U.S. population resided in Southern states. In 2003,
43.82 percent of military recruits listed Southern hometowns.
Southern representation among recruits remained consistent with
43.49 percent in 2004 and 43.8 percent in 2005. (See Table
8.)

In 2004 and 2005, 29
states were overrepresented among military recruits in comparison
to the general population.[12] (See
Table 9.) The top five states with the highest proportional
enlistment ratios for 2004 and 2005 are Montana (1.69, 1.57); Texas
(1.34, 1.46); Wyoming (1.44, 1.41); Alaska (1.47, 1.40); and
Oklahoma (1.31, 1.37). As mentioned in the previous report, one
might expect states directly affected by the 9/11 terrorist attacks
to respond with increased enlistment proportions. However, Virginia
and New York continued to decrease in proportional representation
from during 2004 and 2005.
The states with the
most positive upward movement in their enlistment ratios from
2003 to 2005 were New Hampshire (+0.13), Texas (+0.12), and Maine
(+0.10). The greatest decreases in enlistment ratios correspond to
the District of Columbia (-0.15), Mississippi (-0.14), and Florida
(-0.14). However, in both 2004 and 2005, Florida remained
overrepresented among recruits, with a 2005
recruit-to-population ratio of 1.02. From 2003 to 2005, 26 states
had little variation (0.05 or less) in their recruit-to-population
ratio.
Conclusion
As support for the war
in Iraq has declined, criticism of the war has translated into
criticism of our nation's troops, at least by way of criticizing
the quality of wartime recruits. The November 2005 Heritage
Foundation study found that recruits enlisting at the start of the
war were of high quality and in many respects comparable to the
youth population. This updated report's examination of three years
of wartime recruits shows that recruit quality has not
declined.
The estimate for mean
household income of recruits increased every year from 2003 through
2005. The poorest areas continue to be underrepresented, while
middle-class areas are overrepresented. Although the richest
income brackets are underrepresented, the difference between the
recruit and population proportions for these brackets is less
than 0.25 percent. Overall, the distribution for recruit
household incomes is very similar to that of the youth
population.

The military continues
to enforce educational standards in its recruiting process. The
high school graduation rate among recruits is higher than it is
among the national youth population. While the active-duty enlisted
ranks have fewer college graduates than the comparable
civilian population, DOD annual updates on population
representation indicate that many who join the military are taking
advantage of educational opportunities while serving and that
many others continue their education after completing their
enlistment period.
The enlisted ranks are
not disproportionately composed of minorities. Whites serve in
numbers roughly proportional to their representation in the
population. While blacks continue to be overrepresented, their
representation has decreased during the wartime years and is much
closer to being proportional in 2005 than it was in 2003.
Additionally, recruiters are not targeting black-concentrated areas
in an effort to exploit the black population.
Wartime recruits come
more from rural areas, particularly from the South. However, many
states outside of the South, such as Alaska and Montana, continue
to have strong proportional representation. Areas classified
as entirely urban are strongly underrepresented compared to areas
with increased rural concentrations, all of which were
overrepresented.
Overall, the wartime
recruits are more similar than dissimilar to their civilian
counterparts. The all-volunteer force displays near proportional
representation of income backgrounds. Whites serve in
approximate proportion to their population, although representation
of minority groups varies. Recruits must meet educational
standards, and the military provides resources for furthering
education to those who might not otherwise have the
opportunity to attend four-year colleges. Although rural
representation is disproportional, the military offers the
opportunity to gain new skills and enter industries that are not
available in rural areas.
With regard to income,
education, race, and regional background, the all-volunteer force
is representative of our nation and meets standards set by
Congress and the Department of Defense. In contrast to the
patronizing slanders of antiwar critics, recruit quality is
increasing as the war in Iraq continues. Although recent
recruiting goals have been difficult to meet, reenlistment is
strong and recruit quality remains high. No evidence supports
arguments for reinstating the draft or altering recruiting
policies to achieve more equitable representation.
Tim Kane,
Ph.D., is Director of the Center for
International Trade and Economics at The Heritage
Foundation.
Technical
Appendix
This report was
prepared by integrating data sets from the Department of Defense
and the Census Bureau. The recruitment data were provided by the
Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Personnel and
Readiness at the request of The Heritage Foundation. Each recruit
studied has a ZIP code for home of record, which was matched with
Census data for the corresponding ZIP code tabulation area (ZCTA).
The data sets and our integration methodology are further
described in this appendix. This study focuses exclusively on the
demographics of the volunteers in the enlisted ranks of the
military, specifically those accessions who were never
previously in the military.
This report updates the
previous study[13] with
data on all U.S. recruits during 2004 and 2005. Nationwide data
from Census 2000 and the Census 2004 American Community Survey were
used as a baseline for population comparison. Census 2000 is the
most recent publicly available data set that classifies
demographics information by ZIP code; therefore, all ZIP code
analysis utilizes these data. National and statewide statistics
utilize 2004 data from the ACS. In using the Census 2000 data, this
report relies on demographics information for the population ages
18-24 whenever possible.
DOD Recruit
Data
The DOD recruit data
are divided into two sets: October 2003-September 2004 Active Duty
Non-Prior Service (NPS) Enlisted Accessions and October
2004-September 2005 Active Duty NPS Enlisted Accessions, which are
referred to throughout the report as the 2004 and 2005
cohorts, respectively. The report also cites information from a
previous Heritage Foundation study that examined October
1998-September 1999 Active Duty NPS Enlisted Accessions and January
2003-September 2003 Active Duty NPS Accessions.
In the previous study,
only the last three-fourths of the recruits for fiscal year (FY)
2003 were analyzed due to changes in DOD recording aimed to
meet new demographics guidelines set by the Office of Management
and Budget (OMB). A complete data set for all of the FY 2003
recruits was obtained for this report.
The 2003 data cover
176,410 recruits, the 2004 data cover 175,977 recruits, and the
2005 data cover 149,462 recruits. Each individual recruit record in
the data includes hometown ZIP code, race/ethnicity code, and
educational code. The data include accessions for the Army, Navy,
Marine Corps, and Air Force. None of these data sets includes data
for the Reserve or National Guard components.
Race
Data. Census categories allow for any combination of
six races (American Indian or Alaska Native, Asian, Native Hawaiian
or other Pacific Islander, black or African-American, White, or
Other. The recruit data after the first quarter of FY 2003 reflect
this same structure with the exception of not including a category
for Other. Additionally, some recruits did not complete the
questions regarding race and are therefore categorized as Declined
to Respond. Both the Census data and recruit data use a Hispanic
indicator identified separately from race, to which some
recruits also did not respond.
Invalid Recruit ZIP
Codes. For some recruits, the
home-of-record ZIP code either is invalid (according to the U.S.
Postal Service) or corresponds to an area that is not included
in the Census. For example, recognition by the Postal Service
but exclusion from the Census could indicate a military ZIP
code or a U.S. territory. Puerto Rico is included in both the
Census and the recruit data and was included in all of the analysis
done for this paper.
Individual records that
could not be sorted by valid ZIP code were excluded from our
analysis using ZIP codes. Five-digit ZIP codes/ZCTAs were used for
income and regional analysis. Some of the analysis of race used
three-digit ZCTAs (corresponding to the first three digits of
a ZIP code/ ZCTA) to assess racial concentration. The Census Bureau
only publishes race data using three-digit ZCTAs. Thus, no recruits
were excluded from the analysis of recruits belonging to areas of
specific racial concentrations. There are 33,178 five-digit ZCTAs
and 887 three-digit ZCTAs.[14]
Census Data
Data were taken from
the United States Census 2000, Summary File 1 and Summary File 3,[15] and the
United States Census 2004 ACS.[16] The
data from Summary File 1 are collected for the whole population,
and Summary File 3 and the 2004 ACS contain estimates from sample
data. Regional analysis based on state populations utilized
the data set for 2005 Population Estimates, which included
estimates for 2004, in Table GCT-T1-R.[17]
Income analysis for all
recruit years used data from Census 2000 Summary File 3, Table P53
(Median Household Income). More recent data by ZIP code/ZCTA are
not publicly available.
Educational analysis
for the 2004-2005 recruit cohorts used data for the population ages
18-24 from ACS Table S1501 (Educational Attainment) to assess
proportionality on a national level, not by ZIP code. The previous
report's analysis (1999 and 2003 recruit cohorts) relied on Summary
File 3, Table PCT25 (Sex by Age by Educational Attainment for
the Population 18 Years and Over), and used the age breakdown in
this table to focus on the population ages 18-24.
Race analysis for the
2004-2005 recruit cohorts used data from ACS Table B02001 (Race) to
assess proportionality on a national level, not by ZIP code. The
previous report's analysis (1999 and 2003 recruit cohorts) used
Summary File 1, Table P5 (Race for the Population 18 Years and
Over), which includes information from the entire population. Data
from Table P5 were also used to assess racial concentration by
three-digit ZCTA.
Regional analysis used
data from Summary File 1, Table P2 (Urban and Rural), to determine
the rural concentration of a five-digit ZCTA. This table includes
information gathered from the entire population.
The population count
for ages 18-24 that was used for ZCTA-based analysis was taken from
Summary File 3, Table PCT25. This represents estimates
from sample data, and "population ages 18- 24" refers to this
estimate of 27,498,361 for Census 2000. The more recent sample data
for education in 2004 ACS give a sample-based estimate of
26,233,020 for the population ages 18-24. Summary File 1,
which is representative of the whole population for Census 2000,
reports the total population 18 years and over as 211,844,603.
The 2004 ACS race reports a sample-based population estimate of
216,036,244.
Summary level 850
(three-digit ZCTA) was used in the analysis of race by
concentration because race was not recorded on the five-digit ZCTA
level for Census 2000. Summary level 860 (five-digit ZCTA) was used
in income and regional analysis.
Income
Analysis
Individual recruit
income data are not available. In computing the average household
income for recruits, each recruit was assigned the median household
income for his or her ZCTA.
The Census classifies
some ZCTAs as only three-digit ZCTAs followed by either XX (large
undeveloped areas or sparsely settled areas) or HH (island and
water features). The Census reports some of these as having
population and median income. Of these ZCTAs, 932 had no median
income and no population ages 18-24 and were excluded from the
quintile analysis.
After excluding
recruits who listed hometown ZIP codes that did not correspond to
Census ZCTAs or that corresponded to ZCTAs with median household
incomes of $0, the analysis included 173,304 recruits from 2003,
172,511 recruits from 2004, and 146,293 recruits from
2005.
Educational
Analysis
Recruits were compared
to a sample-based estimate of the population ages 18-24 taken
from the 2004 ACS Table S1501.

Race
Analysis
For the purpose of
national proportional analysis, recruits were compared to the
national population estimates in the 2004 ACS Table B02001
(total population estimate of 285,691,501). Analysis of recruit
origins from racially concentrated ZCTAs utilized three-digit ZCTA
data from Census Summary File 1, Table P5, for the population
over the age of 18 (total population of 211,844,603).
ZCTAs with the
Highest Concentration of Blacks. The concentration formula
included any person who included black as a race in
combination. The following ZCTAs have the highest
concentrations of blacks according to Census 2000 Summary File
1, Table P5 (concentrations range from 24.10 percent to 68.63
percent): 071, 072, 073, 075, 081, 084, 086, 104, 112, 114, 116,
191, 200, 203, 207, 209, 212, 232, 233, 235, 236, 237, 238, 239,
271, 274, 277, 278, 279, 282, 283, 290, 291, 292, 294, 295, 298,
299, 300, 302, 303, 304, 308, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 316, 317,
318, 319, 322, 323, 352, 354, 358, 360, 361, 364, 366, 367, 368,
369, 372, 374, 381, 386, 387, 389, 390, 391, 392, 393, 396, 397,
441, 464, 482, 485, 606, 631, 641, 661, 701, 705, 707, 708, 710,
711, 712, 713, 716, 717, 722, 723, 777, 903, 946, and
948.
ZCTAs with the Highest
Concentration of Whites. The concentration
formula included white as a race in any combination. The following
ZCTAs have the highest concentration of whites according to Census
2000 Summary File 1, Table P5 (concentrations range from 97.7
percent to 100.0 percent): 032, 034, 035, 036, 038, 039, 040, 042,
043, 044, 045, 047, 048, 049, 050, 051, 052, 053, 056, 057, 058,
059, 133, 156, 157, 158, 160, 162, 163, 169, 173, 182, 186, 188,
195, 242, 252, 255, 261, 262, 263, 264, 266, 267, 268, 407, 411,
412, 412, 415, 416, 417, 418, 425, 426, 438, 451, 513, 514, 515,
516, 520, 521, 523, 525, 538, 540, 542, 547, 564, 574, 580, 584,
586, 593, 646, 647, 650, 656, 657, 669, 677, 683, 684, 690, 725,
726, 821, 828, and 831.
Regional
Analysis
This portion of the
analysis excluded recruits who listed home-of-record ZIP codes that
are non-Census ZCTAs or ZCTAs with no total population. The
analysis considers 173,321 recruits from 2003, 172,533 recruits
from 2004, and 146,305 recruits from 2005.
The total population in
urban/rural areas of each ZCTA was taken from Census Summary File
1, Table P2. This was used only to compute the rural concentration
of each ZCTA. When recruits were compared to the proportion of the
population in each ZCTA, they were compared to the population ages
18-24, taken from Census Summary File 3, Table PCT25. The
information from Census 2000 represents the most recently available
population estimates by five-digit ZCTA.
State and Census
region/division comparisons were made comparing 2004 and 2005
recruits to the state population estimates for each year found in
2005 Population Estimates Table GCT-T1-R.
