Before
Margaret Thatcher became Prime Minister of Great Britain or Ronald
Reagan was elected President of the United States, Chile
implemented unprecedented privatization and other reforms.
From the mid-1980s to the Asian crisis in 1997, the Chilean economy
grew at an average annual rate of 7.2 percent, followed by an
average annual rate of 3.5 percent between 1998 and 2005. Such
growth is very good compared to other countries. Chile's
exceptional economic performance and the resulting welfare
improvement have been recognized internationally and are the result
of systematic application of sound economic policies.
However,
the road was not always smooth. At some critical moments on the way
to Chile's economic success, the process threatened to derail.
For instance, Chile's gross domestic product (GDP) dropped 14.1
percent in 1982 during a strong worldwide recession.
Simultaneously, the currency was overvalued, making it even more
vulnerable to the decelerating international economy. Capital
stopped flowing in, drastically reducing the ability to
finance investment. The subsequent Chilean currency devaluation
exacerbated the situation by reducing the real wealth of
companies and people. The impact lasted two years, with
unemployment increasing to over 23 percent of the labor force and
real wages dropping by more than 10 percent.
Although
many other countries in the region underwent similar crises,
none of them suffered as extreme a one-year decline as Chile.
Successful crisis management stopped the bleeding. Ten years
later, figures from the United Nations' Economic Commission for
Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) showed that Chile
experienced the strongest economic growth of all countries in the
region during the 1980s, except for a couple of Caribbean countries
that were not affected by the external shocks.
Successful
crisis management was critical because the extreme crisis
jeopardized the reforms that the Chilean government had implemented
beginning in 1974. These reforms included opening the economy
to the world, privatizing some state companies, and restraining a
severe inflationary crisis through fiscal discipline and tight
monetary policy. These pioneering reforms held out the promise
of future prosperity for our country.
By
putting itself on the road to becoming one of the world's most open
economies, Chile was a step ahead of other countries in adjusting
to today's globalization phenomenon. Before Margaret Thatcher
or Ronald Reagan, the Chilean government dared to privatize
inefficient state companies. The balance in fiscal and
monetary issues, which is now a requirement to join big economic
and political blocs like the European Union, was achieved more than
a quarter-century earlier by this small country in a southern
corner of the world.
Could the
recession of the early 1980s possibly throw overboard the efforts
of all of those years? This was the question that I asked myself
when, in January 1985, President of the Republic General Augusto
Pinochet offered me the position of Minister of
Finance.
The
Chilean Economy, 1974-1984
Before
discussing the period when I served as Finance Minister, I would
like to say something about the period between 1974 and 1984, when
the Pinochet government began a radical transformation of the
country's economy.
When the
government of Salvador Allende fell in September 1973, Chile's
annual inflation rate was 286 percent. Three months later, after
the new government corrected the most obvious distortions
caused by price controls, inflation zoomed to 508 percent. For
example, the price of basic goods doubled every two months. A
family that used to buy five gallons of milk could now afford to
buy just one gallon. At one point, these same families could not
find milk in the grocery fridges. Milk could be bought only on the
black market at a very high price.
Prices
for the majority of basic goods were fixed by the government in
1973. Even though Chile was and still is a small economy, the level
of protectionism was high. By the end of 1973, the nominal
average tariff for imports was 105 percent, with a maximum of 750
percent. Non-tariff barriers also impeded the import of more than
3,000 out of 5,125 registered goods. Just as economic theory
predicts, large queues in front of stores were usual in Santiago
and other cities in Chile as a result of the scarcity caused by
price controls.
The
decline in GDP during 1973 reflected a shrinking productive sector
in which the main assets were gradually falling under government
control or ownership through expropriations and other government
interventions in the economy. As a result, the government's share
of total sector production reached 70 percent in 1973, except
for the industrial sector where it was 40 percent.
The
fiscal situation was chaotic. The deficit reached 55 percent of
expenditures and 20 percent of GDP and was the main cause of
inflation because the Central Bank was issuing money to finance the
government deficit.
By the
end of the Allende government, the gross savings rate was 6 percent
and the investment rate was 7.9 percent-the worst figures since the
1960s. This meant that in many industries, no new machines were
installed, no new firms were started, and fewer and fewer new jobs
were created. There were no capital markets, and the
government-controlled interest rates did not reflect
scarcity of funding. The balance of payment (BOP) deficit
increased over a period of three years, and the socialist
government increased its foreign debt by 23 percent.
The most
important economic reform in Chile was to open trade, primarily
through a flat, low tariff on imports. Much of the credit for
Chilean economic reforms in the following 30 years should be
given to the decision to open our economy to the rest of the world.
The strength of Chilean firms, productive sectors, and institutions
grew up thanks to that fundamental change.
The
chaotic situation in Chile in 1973 deserves some
thoughts:
-
This
crisis was homemade. It was different from crises caused by
external shocks, such as the petroleum crises of October 1973 and
1979 and the debt crisis of 1982. One anecdote is instructive: When
some people complained about the excessive increase in the money
supply that was causing high inflation in 1973, the Central
Bank president at the time said that money supply was a "bourgeois
variable," irrelevant in the construction of Chilean
socialism.
-
If Chile
is now presented as a pioneer of free-market economic reform, we
should remember that at the beginning of the 1970s, it was the
complete opposite: a vanguard of controlled economy and big
government.
-
Someone
could be tempted to think that the Chilean economy of the early
1970s was chaotic and inefficient but ethically correct
because of its social commitment, but this could not be further
from the truth. Social policies for housing, education, and
health failed to help the 20 percent of Chileans living in extreme
poverty. These social policies just further organized workers and
middle-class interest groups.
After
all, Chile was an experimental laboratory for the misguided
intellectual ideas that prevailed at the end of the 1960s and
beginning of the 1970s. Our people suffered the consequences. Now
they are benefiting from the implementation of the correct
ideas of economic freedom.
Two
Concerns and Two Lessons
When I
became Minister of Finance in 1985, I had two main concerns: first,
that a return of populist policies could cause the country to enter
a downward spiral, undoing the existing reforms that
promised to make Chile the Latin American poster child of
sustained growth and reduced poverty, and second, that the
political commotion generated by a crisis could undermine the
scheduled return to democratic elections in 1988 as required by the
constitution. As a side note, these were the threats faced by
our administration (and many other administrations) as we
approached a critical election.
These two
considerations led me to accept the challenge, and I do not regret
it. On the contrary, the ensuing events contributed decisively to
Chile's becoming a successful case of economic reform at work. In
this way, almost unintentionally, I became an actor on the Chilean
political scene, even becoming a presidential candidate in the
1989 elections.
These
elections were won by Patricio Aylwin, who led the transition
process into democracy, but we also accomplished some important
goals in that election. Aylwin won with 55 percent of the votes,
which left an important minority opposition that could express
itself and gain a strong representation in the National
Congress. This strong minority representation was decisive in
moderating the changes that threatened to dismantle the Chilean
economic model.
In
retrospect, trying to identify lessons that can be applied to
similar situations, I realize that there are two main ingredients
in a successful economic reform process.
First,
changes must be integral and deep enough to be sustained over time.
Regrettably, many of the reform processes in other Latin American
countries that are considered to have failed were partial,
incomplete plans-although sometimes well-inspired reforms-that
lacked an understanding of the main conceptual challenges of the
economy. In one case, Argentina made the additional mistake of
giving the currency's exchange rate a central role in the
reforms, which led to their failure because they tried to
substitute the lack of strong political institutions with the
convertibility law-the law that determined that the value of
the dollar would be the same as that of the peso-which then became
the only support of the entire reform process.
A large
team of highly qualified professionals and technicians is essential
to accomplish fundamental change. As in most work, successful
economic reform initiatives are not a result of the
inspiration of one man; rather, they are the product of the efforts
of a number of men and women trying to reach a common goal. In
works of such magnitude, such as rebuilding after a terrible
earthquake or other natural disaster, all fields have to be
covered. This requires not only experts in macroeconomics
and finances, but also people who understand the realities of other
productive areas and sensitive issues like education and health.
Consequently, we are not talking about a handful of outstanding
qualified personalities, but about hundreds and even thousands
of them.
In the
Chilean case, Miguel Kast Rist, an economist from the
Universidad Católica de Chile with post-graduate studies at
the University of Chicago, played a fundamental role in recruiting
these professionals, who were mostly young and with
backgrounds of economic studies. He was a great leader, an
enthusiast, and an inexhaustible worker. Tragically, Miguel
died of cancer at the age of 33 after having served as a minister
with two different portfolios and as president of the Central
Bank. Leadership and a sense of urgency brought these teams
together and enabled them to accomplish the integral changes
necessary to sustain the reforms.
A second
important element in the Chilean case was a crisis atmosphere. Even
though the crisis caused great damage, it also opened an
opportunity by generating a sense of urgency for change and by
mobilizing the teams. The previously mentioned example of natural
disasters is applicable in that they touch the souls of people and
mobilize them in the pursuit of an objective. Hundreds of
collaborators made personal decisions to devote
themselves entirely to this task, despite having better-paid
options that would have required less personal sacrifice, and
they emerged from the crisis conditions with a sense of mission.
Moreover, the implications of not reforming are better understood
in an emergency situation.
At the
end of 1984, Chile was in a serious situation. Nearly one in
three workers was unable to find a productive job in the private
sector, which lacked both adequate financing and a demand for its
products. The official unemployment rate was nearly 20
percent, and almost another 10 percent participated in
government-financed emergency employment programs. This situation
would set job creation as one of the key goals of our
management.[1]
In sum,
we acted in a critical moment that could have aborted the great
economic reforms undertaken by Chile. Our accomplishments were
rescuing the components of that transformation while
recognizing that the process of change had to be integral and
long-term. The availability of professional teams to carry out
such tasks was key to the process.
The Key
Reforms
Many
economic reforms transformed Chile. They were executed over many
years and were all composed of certain permanent and fundamental
elements. My job as Finance Minister throughout this difficult
period was, at times, to expand some of the previous reforms and,
at other times, to rescue them from the possibility of
reversal. In this section, I discuss the basic and permanent
reforms that, in my opinion, were essential to the
transformation of Chile.
Trade
Openness and the Flat Tariff Rate System. Chile is a small
country with a small population located far away from the world
consumption centers, which explains the importance of fully opening
the country to foreign trade. Only the extreme ideological bias of
the 1960s can explain such an aberration as the theories of "inside
development" that Raúl Prebish from ECLAC
recommended to our country and others. In 1974, under the
leadership of Ministers Jorge Cauas and Sergio De Castro, Chile
started a profound process to reduce import tariffs. In 1979, a
flat tariff of 10 percent (low for that time) was enacted for every
import.
Both the
reduction in the tariff and the transparency gained from a
flat system were fundamental to achieving the competitiveness
that the Chilean companies needed to compete worldwide. At the
same time, the low, flat tariff helped to increase competition in
domestic markets, where prices were liberalized after a period of
gradual government intervention. However, the 1982 crisis caused a
step backward, with tariffs increased to 35 percent on two
occasions, which is where they stood when I took office.
Fortunately, even on those occasions, the flat tariff
structure was maintained, avoiding a distorting scheme of
differentiated tariffs.
As a
fundamental part of the economic recovery plan that we implemented,
I decided to propose that the National Congress reduce tariff rates
to 15 percent. Enactment of this proposal increased the
competitiveness of Chilean goods and led to an important increase
in exports. Under subsequent governments, the tariff rate was
reduced first to 11 percent and then to 6 percent.
A
Stronger Private Sector. If rescuing the radical opening
of the Chilean economy was the first key task that we undertook,
the second was the reconstruction of the private sector.
Before my time at the Ministry of Finance, privatization of some
state enterprises and many other reforms had been undertaken to
allow the private sector to develop, but the crisis had completely
undermined the capital of many Chilean companies. The
successive devaluations of the peso in 1982 caused their U.S.
dollar debt to explode in terms of pesos at a time when the
financial sector was in crisis.
Our goal
was to allow the companies to recapitalize, and we knew that
tax incentives would be fundamental to that end. Therefore, we
established an income tax that applied only to profits
withdrawn from the companies, which strongly promoted
their capitalization through reinvestment of their
profits.
A second
fundamental reform was to allow the private sector to recover,
adding dynamism to the economy. In fact, important sectors such as
electricity generation and distribution and
telecommunications were still managed by state companies.
After we implemented a massive privatization plan that included
more than 50,000 new direct shareholders and several million
indirect (through pension funds) shareholders, these companies
were managed by private entrepreneurs that carried out important
expansion plans.
In the
power sector, an essential part of this task had already been
completed when the government implemented a rate system that
promoted efficient use of energy resources. At that time, the
pension system was still in state hands, and there were no
potential private buyers of utility companies' shares. Hence, the
necessary conditions did not exist for the reformers to provide a
coherent privatization proposal that could convince the
opposition that defended state ownership. Years afterward,
once the pension system was privatized, the scenario was different,
and privatizing the utilities became possible. This is a
synergistic example of the need for comprehensive reforms to
progress in all fields.
On the
other hand, every opportunity to carry out a reform in the correct
direction must be used. Even if the scope of the reform is only
partial in the short term, it might later produce more
benefits.
Mining is
a very important sector of the Chilean economy. For many years,
copper has been our main export, and CODELCO, the state company
that runs the most important state mine deposits, is the largest
Chilean company. The 1980 Constitution gave the state
ownership of "great copper mining," but the Mining Code
included the possibility of "a full concession." As a direct
result, our government also allowed private companies to
exploit large ore deposits. Toward the end of the 1980s, investment
in the main private copper deposits in Chile, such as La Escondida,
started. Today, the vast majority of private mining activities are
in the hands of foreign companies, which produce much more than
CODELCO and at a lower cost.
We also
worked to encourage foreign investment-a difficult task in the
atmosphere of a payment crisis. For that reason, we modified
the Foreign Investment Committee provisions, streamlining and
expediting the procedures for investment projects. The
spectacular expansion of Chilean exports during the 1990s and after
2000 is directly related to the fact that private enterprises could
operate in the large mining industry.
The
crisis of 1982 also left half of the Chilean banking sector in
bankruptcy, and any effort to reconstruct a healthy private sector
would have to tackle this problem. In January 1983, the Minister of
Finance decreed that the government would intervene in the two
main private banks and liquidate others. When I was the Banks
Superintendent, I had the opportunity to begin the process of
reconstructing a sound banking sector. In this capacity, after
the 1983 intervention, I was involved in analyzing banking industry
regulations to clearly define the mechanism by which the banks
could adjust assets while increasing capital and solvency
requirements. Our goal was to channel the Chilean people's savings
through the capital markets. Numerous reforms of the laws
regulating corporations, financial sector regulations, and others
contributed to this goal.
The 1981
reform of the Chilean pension fund system deserves special mention.
Under the leadership of Minister José Piñera, an
individual capitalization account program was designed with
specific contributions, administered by private institutions
selected by the workers. The Chilean Administradoras de Fondos
de Pension (Pension Fund Administrators or AFP) has been replicated
in more than 20 countries, and more than 100 million workers in
different parts of the world use these accounts to save for
retirement.
The fluid
capital market operations that this reform achieved were essential,
not just to financing growth in the productive sector, but
also to overcoming the investment scarcity that engulfed the
Chilean economy after the crisis. In fact, the investment rate was
barely 13.6 percent of GDP in 1982. The fiscal savings derived from
the austerity policy on public expenditures that we imposed from
the Ministry of Finance was the main factor in overcoming these
saving and investment deficits. Once the main problems were
surmounted, the private sector collaborated in this task through
company and personal savings by using the new private pension
savings system.
I think
that maintaining continuity in the process of reform and
economic transformation over several decades was fundamental, as
was the integral nature of the reform process. Therefore,
neither I nor my colleagues deserve the entire credit for the
reforms that changed the Chilean economy.
For
example, opening the economy to international trade and
worldwide integration was the work of reform leaders between 1974
and 1979. Our contribution was focused more on defending the
progress to date in the face of a world economic crisis that
was strongly affecting our external and fiscal accounts balances.
As any minister of finance knows, this is a difficult task because
of the immediate financing needs. What is key in these cases
is not to lose the long-term perspective. Chile has recently signed
free trade agreements with the United States and the European
Union, in effect consolidating the earlier integration of our
country into the world economy. These agreements could never have
been achieved if Chile had not opened its economy to the world in
the mid-1970s and maintained the reforms throughout the crisis of
the early 1980s.
A more
illustrative example of the continuity and synergy of remaining on
the path toward progress is the impressive improvement of the road
infrastructure in Chile, initiated by a reform in the
middle of the 1990s that reached its apogee a couple of years
ago. In order to finance the road concessions, it was essential to
have institutional investors that needed to make long-term
investments, such as the AFP and the life insurance companies. The
Social Insurance Reform of 1980 gave life to these
institutions, and we would not have funds to finance either
these concessions or the highway construction without that
important modernization.
This
pension transformation also shows other synergies among
reforms. When the private system began, the investment portfolios
were very restricted and conservative because of the many concerns
about private management of social security. However, as time
went by, the investment of pension funds in stocks was authorized.
At the same time, after the crisis of 1982, the privatization of
state-owned companies was essential for the recovery of private
investment and employment to pre-1982 levels. We needed
private investors willing to purchase these state-owned enterprises
and more investment instruments for the growing pension funds to
own.
Gradually
and with many safeguards, we authorized the investment of
pension funds in stocks in the more consolidated privatized
companies. Thus, the large increase in the price of these private
companies' shares-the direct result of a much better private
management of the companies and of their expansion plans-benefited
all Chilean workers through high returns on their pension
funds.
In this
section, I have highlighted the importance of opening the economy
to the world, the existence of private enterprise as a growth
agent, and the creation of a capital market that channels
savings and investment as key policies of Chile's economic
transformation. These reforms form a kind of matrix that was
maintained constant throughout the years. There were also many
other great reforms, such as improving financing methods and
streamlining management in the public sector.
It would
take an entire book to describe the many reforms that were
implemented and how they worked together to transform our country.
I have chosen a few of the most important ones to describe how one
reform interacts with the others and the political strategy and
timing to put them in place. All of the reforms, including the new
social policies and the strengthening of the institutions, which I
explain in detail in the next section, form an indispensable
complement to Chile's economic transformation matrix.
In the
long run, the lesson that remains from my time as Minister of
Finance is that the effects of good (and bad) policies reach far
beyond what one might think. There is an important inertia in the
effects of economic policies. More than one government has
benefited from what a previous one has done, and others have paid
the bill for the actions of the preceding government. To
understand this simple truth about how a national economy can be
transformed, the government's leaders must have a vision for the
nation and give up their personal ambitions to act for the benefit
of the whole country.
Prioritizing During the Crisis: The Importance of a
Coherent Plan
Between
1985 and 1989, when Chile was going through the crisis, I faced
some important questions:
These
questions are difficult to answer, and the answers surely depend on
each situation, country, and moment. Often, it is the political
viability of the actions that dictate what can be done, but in any
case, there has to be a plan that is coherent and attempts to
maintain and rescue the big framework of the pro-market basic
reforms. In our case, we thought that the most important thing was
to encourage job creation because of its immediate impact on
people's levels of poverty.
However,
companies could not create jobs if they had lost significant
amounts of their capital investments. In the face of this
problem and needing to choose sound measures that prompt rapid
reactivation, we focused our attention on exports. Given the
size and characteristics of the Chilean economy, exports will
always be one of the fundamental engines of growth, and I had
always thought that opening the economy to foreign trade was "the
mother of all reforms." In addition, we were facing a crisis in our
external account. For that reason, a fundamental component of
our plan was to reduce import tariffs, coupled with decisions
affecting the currency exchange rate, even if that meant
worsening the problem in the fiscal accounts.
At least
in the beginning, we tried to design all of our policies, including
the one affecting the exchange rate, to have a positive effect on
exports and on the import substitution sector, even at the risk of
making a mistake about the magnitude of the signal we were sending.
We were convinced that we were going in the right direction. The
environment was not helping us, however, because the terms of trade
had strongly deteriorated. For example, the price of copper, our
main export commodity, decreased to $0.57 per pound in October
1984. (Today, Chile profits from a higher price: more than $3 per
pound.)
Therefore,
it was crucial for us to reduce the cost for the exporters, so we
implemented measures like the valued-added tax (VAT) refund and
easier terms to pay the VAT, and we eliminated all taxes affecting
exports. Additionally, at the expense of fiscal revenues, we
further reduced labor costs by reducing the rate of some transitory
taxes remaining from the pension reform.
Another
critical point of the crisis was the very low level of investment.
We were trying to surpass 13.6 percent of GDP in 1984, but this
time it would have to be done without counting on the rest of the
world's contributions. The crisis had made it unthinkable to resort
to a deficit in the BOP capital account as we had done before the
crisis. Increased investment would have to rely on increased
public-sector savings. Government expenditures, which had reached
30.7 percent of GDP in 1984, decreased to 20.6 percent in 1989.
This, together with the increase of private savings, made it
possible for the national savings rate to grow from an anemic 2.1
percent in 1982 to 17.2 percent in 1989.
The other
vehicle for investment recovery was private savings, and here the
debt-equity swaps, most of which were aimed at foreign investors,
played a fundamental role. Tax reform was important. We
attempted to make our profit tax system resemble a tax on
expenditures by allowing people to pay taxes when they were
spending, not beforehand. This change removed taxes from
reinvested profits. In other words, corporate taxes were paid only
after profits were withdrawn from the firm.
This last
reform was highly criticized afterward, and subsequent reforms that
increased taxes have almost completely reversed it and changed the
tax base. I am convinced, however, that this reform was one of the
key elements that allowed for the investment recovery. Other
reforms worked toward the same goal, such as the possibility of
recovering the VAT in the construction industry or using systems to
accelerate depreciation that were especially important in
large capital investments sectors such as mining. Today, some
sectors in our society, in seeking greater tax revenues, see
companies solely as sources of tax revenue to finance growing
expenditures. Ironically, they fail to see that a properly designed
tax system that gives companies incentives to produce more will
increase indirect tax collection.
We have
already explained the positive effect that privatization had on
investment and the fundamental role that privatization played
in our plan. With the pension and tax reforms, we aimed at
recomposing the income of companies and the people. Reducing
the tax burden on companies enabled them to increase investment
levels, place their savings in the financial market, or pay
their debts to the bank. In addition to improving the income of
companies and people, we needed to strengthen the capital
market by allowing a large group of people to own stocks, which we
accomplished though grassroots capitalism and labor
capitalism.
Because
of space limits, I cannot detail all of the numerous reforms
implemented between 1985 and 1989 that were important in
positioning the Chilean economy in its current situation. They
include reforming the management of public finances and numerous
microeconomic reforms in diverse areas ranging from fishery and
timber to water legislation to labor regimes in ports.
In the
end, the most important thing is that the goals were fully met and
the achievements were extremely important. From 1985 to 1989,
annual job creation averaged 239,000. Never has the Chilean
economy created so many jobs. At the same time, all of the other
economic indicators improved, ushering in a period of stability
that continues today.
An
Essential Environment: Social Networks and
Institutions
I believe
it is also important to mention two conditions that were
essential to carrying out these reforms successfully.
-
The first
was the creation or reformulation of an efficient network of social
protection for families that, as a result of the crisis and
endemic lack of economic dynamism, were becoming or remaining
poor.
-
The
second was the existence of a set of laws and institutions that
provided stability to the economic policies and that helped to
maintain those policies over time.
With
respect to social policies, many things were done, but they were
done without ever losing sight of the main issue: allowing the
economy to create jobs. Job creation not only reduces poverty for
those who find a job, but also, as demonstrated by income
distribution studies in Chile, helps to improve income distribution
in the new generations because human capital is more evenly
available among different groups of the society.
Since the
1940s, Chile's social protection system had handed out health and
education benefits free. It also included programs for the elderly,
but these were technically bankrupt, and the inflation rate during
Allende's government lessened the purchasing power of the
pensions, which led to the pension reform discussed earlier in
this paper.
In
education, the government made efforts to increase coverage during
the 1960s, but public expenditures were highly regressive and did
not help the poorest. For example, over 40 percent of the education
budget was used to subsidize university-level education, which
covered only 5 percent of the student population, most of whom
belonged to the families with the highest incomes in the
country.
In
health, the public health provision network made important
achievements in its first stage, but the dynamics of the sector led
to increasingly higher spending on complex services that benefited
only a very few. These increased expenditures came at the expense
of care for the large majority of the population, whose health
problems could be resolved without visiting a hospital through
first aid, improved nutrition, and improved sanitation.
In
housing, the middle and upper-middle class were receiving state
subsidies, but the poorest sectors did not have a housing
solution. This reality that the state assistance programs favored
people who were not the poorest or most vulnerable groups in the
country was highlighted by the Map of Extreme Poverty, a survey
conducted in 1974 by the Faculty of Economics at the Universidad
Católica de Chile. The map determined that 21 percent of the
population was living in extreme poverty.
The
reforms carried out to tackle these problems were aimed mostly at
improving the allocation of government spending. That is, the
programs increasingly were spending more on the poorest, helping
them to improve their situation. During the 1982 crisis management,
emergency employment programs were implemented and financed by the
state. In addition to a subsidy to hire extra workers, the
government provided a subsidy to poor families with unemployed
heads of households, and some other assistance programs were
reinforced. Fortunately, by 1989, the economy had completely
recovered its ability to create jobs. The unemployment rate
dropped to 5 percent, and the damage to the most vulnerable people
of our country had been controlled.
To
achieve permanent results, social and economic reforms must
count on an institutional framework that provides stability.
The 1980 Constitution strengthened property rights, which were key
to guaranteeing a favorable environment for investment and
enterprise. Likewise, the Constitution established the autonomy of
the Central Bank, which later restricted its own lending operations
to the financial sector. This limitation eliminated one of the
primary sources of inflation. The Constitution also restricted
government spending, which now requires the approval of a law by
special quorum. This practice of establishing special quorums for
the approval of certain laws of great impact or for
constitutional reforms also helps to ensure the stability and
defense of the essential rights of minorities.
Other
laws regulated who in the government can initiate legislative and
financial matters. These provisions, which remain largely
intact to this day, give only the executive the power to initiate
fiscal expenditures. This provision is key to limiting the
demagogic proposals that could damage the structure of the
economy and garner enough populist votes under less stringent
rules. Electoral systems that discourage political parties
from fragmenting and encourage them to moderate their proposals
also contribute to stability. This set of laws and
institutions has helped Chile to become a country in which
good public policies are most likely to be applied.
Final
Reflections
In
retrospect, we can be highly satisfied with the path Chile
undertook. Today, our country is in a much better situation than
its neighbors, which either have been unable or have not known how
to find the path to progress. Sadly, they seem to be reverting to
the same failed economic policies that had harmed their people in
the past.
Perhaps
the reason for this regression is that it is not easy to be
successful in economic and social matters, as demonstrated by
the majority of the world's countries that fail even to approach
development thresholds. In countries that adopt misguided
policies year after year, carrying out the changes needed to
improve their poor realities is difficult. Many of the policies
that they pursue, while appearing on the surface to favor the poor,
are in fact based on ideologies, technically ill-conceived, or
simply driven more by pressure groups than by the
majority.
The worst
thing that could happen to our country would be to legitimize some
of these bad policies in response to an ideology or to demagogy.
Today, the anti-globalization claims so prevalent in many
countries in the region seem to have those
ingredients.
Transforming
a country's economy requires understanding that reforms are not the
property of a targeted specific group, a political party, or even a
government. Good economic policies are everyone's policies and
form part of the country. When this concept is ingrained in
people's minds, the rational behavior is to defend reform efforts
and not to attempt to destroy them through the political process.
In this sense, the ideal is for good policies to become part of the
country's culture.
Regrettably,
I believe that Chile has not taken this last step. I do not think
that our country's culture has yet incorporated all of the
elements that are propitious for development. It has accepted some,
but not all. This point can be better illustrated through some
of these elements that take root in people's culture and then
transform themselves into allies of development.
The
concept of opening Chile to the international economy and
becoming part of the globalized world is, in my opinion,
generally assimilated into the Chilean culture. This is a major
contrast with other Latin American countries that have chosen
other paths. Chileans no longer readily accept the nationalist or
ethnic proposals, nor do they identify themselves with a strong
ideology.
The
consolidation of this idea of Chile in a globalized world has
taken many years. The free trade agreements with the United States,
the European Union, China, and many other countries are not the
last links in the chain that started in 1974, when the country
decided to open its economy to the world. Something similar has
happened with the macroeconomic equilibrium. The majority of the
people support controlling inflation and balancing the fiscal
account and the external account.
Another
important element is to achieve a culture that fosters growth.
Learning to value entrepreneurial activity is essential.
Countries that value, admire, and stimulate their entrepreneurs
have attained important momentum in the development
competition. Regrettably, on this point, we have failed. In my
view, there still persists a trend toward socialism that claims
success for the government and its policies when the country
grows and employment raises but blames entrepreneurs for economic
downturns and unemployment. A persistent demagogy wrongly
stresses that the luck of the workers can be changed by simply
changing a law or regulations, when we know that only a
dynamic economy will continually create more and better
jobs.
Another
deceptive idea that creeps into the minds of Chileans is that only
stronger state regulation will defend consumers' rights. Our
governments love to promote such regulations at every occasion,
forgetting their negative impact on the entrepreneur. The
truth is precisely the opposite. Fewer regulations mean more
entrepreneurs and more competition, which make consumers better off
by offering them a wider and cheaper array of goods.
Finally,
our Latin American countries may have held onto the mercantilist
mentality for too long, believing that state policies protect
companies and help them to grow. This was never so, and the
countries that have understood this have opened their economies,
making them more competitive and more prosperous. At the other end
of the pendulum are people who see companies as mere
instruments to finance the state through the generation of tax
revenues. To make companies more competitive overseas and help them
to become successful is a formidable task. Overwhelming them
with more taxes and regulations to the point of subsistence is
surely the quickest way to return to underdevelopment.
Maybe
this is the next task to consolidate Chile as a developed
country-incorporating into its culture an appreciation of
entrepreneurial activity.
Hernán
Büchi Buc is President of the International Economy
Center at Libertad y Desarrollo in Santiago, Chile. He served as
Chile's Minister of Finance from 1985 to 1989.
[1] The magnitude of a
crisis is a matter of perspective. I had the opportunity to discuss
this subject with Margaret Thatcher, who told me that from the
British perspective, the mediocre economic performance of England
was considered "a crisis" when she took office.