August 30, 1982 | Backgrounder on Federal Budget
I August 27, 1982 INCENTIVES FOR A BALANCED BUDGET Richard B. McKenzie Senior Fellow INTRODUC TION In every year but one since 1960, the federal government has run a budgetary deficit. The modest surplus of $3.2 billion in 1969 did little to impede the upward movement of the national debt, which now exceeds $1 trillion As Table 1 reveals, federal deficits have been especially acute since 1973, averaging nearly $54 billion a year between 1974 and 19
81. Even after allowing for the recently passed $99 billion increase in federal taxes for the next three fiscal years (nullifying 25 percent of the Reag an administration's 1981 multi-year tax cut the annual federal deficit projected by the administration for fiscal years 1983 through 1985 will average almost $94 billion. The Congressional Budget Office, meanwhile, estimates that the average deficit could exceed $140 billion. If projected off-budget outlays were added to budgeted outlays, thf future federal deficit picture would appear even more bleak. Recent history only supports this picture, as year after year actual deficits have tended to exceed "esti mated" deficits by several billion dollars.
Only the naive expect politicians to live up to their frequent but faint promises to balance the budget, especially when they claim at the same time they can hold down taxes.
For, when federal income and social security taxes are combined, the average tax rate paid by most Americans wiil be higher in 1984 and 1985 than at the start of the decade, just as their average tax rates in 1980 were higher than they were Table
1. Budget Balance of the Federal Government 1961-1985 (billions of dollars Year Deficit 1 Surplus 1961 1962 1963 1964 196s 1966 1967 196 8 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 Transition quarter 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 3.4 7.1 4.8 5.9 -1.6 3.8 8.7 25 -2 3.2 2.8 23.0 -23.4 1 4 5 45.2 -66.4 -66.4 13 0 44.9 48.8 27.7 -59 -6 57.9 Estimates Reagan Congressional Admini str ati ona Budget Off icea 108.9 -116.0 115.0 -146.0 92 -6 -152.1 73.6 -150.2 Sources: Actual 1961-1981 figures, Office of the President Washington: Government Prin t ing Office 1982 p. 9-62 estimated 1982-1985 figures, Public Affairs Office, Off ice of Management and Budget (August 25 1982 Note: aEstimates on budget balances for 1982-1985 by both the Reagan administration and the Congressional Budget Off ice were made in late July 19
82. Congressional budget Office estimates. are averages of the ldmits of forecast range and are based on 'pessimistic' assumptions about economic behavior 2 I, in 19
78. If raising tax rates were a cure for federal deficits, red ink would have been expunged from federal budgetary records long ago The economic harm of routine federal deficits is commonly acknowledged. Government deficits "crowd out private borrowers from capital markets in the process of driving up interest rates. Employme n t in the housing durable, and investment goods industries especially.is depressed by high interest rates, and the costs of resulting idle labor include sluggish economic growth and the tens of billions of dollars of goods and services never produced Defic i ts can, albeit indirectly, contribute to inflationary pressures. High interest rates put pressure on the Federal Reserve to increase the rate of growth in the money,stock, which as experience has taught leads inexorably to a higher inflation rate. Higher r ates of inflation, in turn, can result in even higher interest rates, which further distort the economy's use of resources: more resources are directed into the public sector by private-citizens in trying to avoid the adverse consequences of infl.ation, w hich may be measured in part by the reduced value of people's monetary wealth and by higher tax rates on income caused by the forces of "bracket creep."
In the final analysis, federal deficits act as a tax on people's incomes. The "deficit tax however, is indirect in its effects and obscured from full public scrutiny.
Because of its obscurity, the deficit tax allows Congress to impose a heavier government burden on the citizenry than it could impose, if Congress had to legislate more visibly overt tax incr eases to cover the deficits President Reagan entered office dedicated to supply-side economic principles, through which he believed a universally held goal could be achieved: higher economic growth with lower unemployment and inflation rates. The alleged f ailures of the supply-side policies have been attributed to federal deficits and to the higher interest rates they have spawned. Such a conclusion is much like blaming inflation on higher prices: it describes what has palatable remedies that they have not been applied to supply-side policymakers specifically, Members of Congress, the President and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. One means of doing this would be to provide incentives for Congress to balance its budget. Regardless of wh e ther the balanced budget/tax limitation amendment now pending in the Senate happened, but offers little insight .for developing politically Perhaps one problem with supply-side principles is 3 SaJ, Res. 58) is passed, Members of Congress must be given pay inducements to restore a balanced budget. The same general solution, however, could be applied, with adjustment in the pay objective, to the President and the Board of Governors. While suggestive of what'needs to be done to achieve balanced budgets, this proposal revives a central political dilemma in.a democracy: how can we get those who govern to regulate themselves?
In developing the argument for what is called a deficit pay schedule" for Members of Congress, a.paralle1 is drawn between the incentives p olluters have to "overuse environmental resources when property rights are undefined and and the incentives Members have to "overuse" the budget process by way of expanded government programs. A correction in the use of environmental and budgetary resourc e s can be achieved by marginal realignment in incentives people have to produce public and private goods, In the case of environmental economics, the public good is served by cleaner but not perfectly clean, ai8 and water: in the case of the government bud g et, the public good is served by a movement toward, but not necessarily completely to, a balanced budget THE PROBLEM The tendency of the federal government to incur additional debt emanates from two primary sources. First deficits tend to obscure the cost of government programs.
Second, individual Members of Congress can blame budget deficits on federal programs promoted by other Members.
Overall, they have an inadequate incentive to avoid deficits that is, deficits of a certain magnitude, though destructive to the economy generally, possess elements of political rationality Members of Congress, ever mindful of reelection, have a built-in i ncentive to vote for federal programs that benefit their constituencies and against tax increases imposed on these same constituencies, Special interest groups have un'due political power because the benefits of the programs designed with their welfare in mind are concentrated on a relatively small number of people who have a strong interest in enlisting congressional support. Federal programs in a representative's district tend to earn him supporters, whereas federal taxes tend to lose him votes, The poli t ician interested .in maximizing his chances of being reelected will, in the absence of budget deficits, vote for additional government expenditures as long as the additional dollars spent earn more votes than are lost by the accompanying additional taxes. On -4 the margin, the additional votes gained by the last $1 million in expenditures might be expected to exactly match the additional votes lost because of an additional $1 million in taxes For several- reasons, voters will perceive a $1 million governme nt expenditure financed by overt taxes as being more costly than the same expenditure financed by a debt.
Clearly, legislated taxes can be directly observed by workers in terms of reduced take-home pay; and when explicit taxes are used to finance governmen t projects, the personal cost of the additional government expenditures can be measured by the worker in terms of lowered purchasing power Most Americans probably have never thought through the complicated logical sequence by which deficits impinge on the use of the nation's resources and are tantamount to legislated taxes. For these Americans, the fewer goods and services that are the indirect result of deficits may not be fully attributed to the deficits but to, for example, the profit-maximizing efforts of firms that actually raise their prices, including interest rates Steeped in Keynesian economic theory, many Americans actually believe that deficits are "good for the economy After all, they help balance the economy and maintain employment or so the ar g ument has been developed. Keynesian economics has led a whole generation of students in economics are the only way to acquire the fabled economic "free lunch that is, greater production at zero or almost zero Costa The result of the power of special inter e sts in politics combined I with the decline in what James Buchanan and Richard Wagner call the "balanced budget norm caused by Keynesian economics, has been a form of "budgetary anarchy" in which almost every conceivable special interest seeks to gain fro m some government program, gnd a budget process that appears virtually out of control I I I Granted, great numbers of Americans do understand the economic consequences of federal deficits and may fully equate them with taxes. For these people, deficits do n ot understate the cost of government. The people who induce politicians to employ deficits are those who can see clearly the economic consequences of taxes but cannot see with equal clarity the economic impacts of deficits; they shift the distribution of v otes toward politicians who offer to expand government programs without raising explicit taxes. To the extent that federal def icits obscure the tax-cost of government expenditures, deficits should lead to an expenditure level greater than would otherwise occur greater than the polity would choose in the liaht of full information concernina the I 5- personal cost of government outlays, regardless of how the outlays are financed. This is because, on the margin, when the prospect of a deficit is first introd u ced, the votes gained from an additional $1 million government expenditure unaccompanied by offsetting explicit taxes, will then be greater than the votes'lost: the perceived tax-cost. will be understated, something less than $1 million. How much the cost will be understated and to what extent a deficit is politically practical, we cannot know in the abstract, outside the political process.
On the other hand, we do know that under current political constraints, Members of Congress can be rewarded by runnin g deficits ug to a ce By spending more than is collected in taxes, they can secure additional votes at the public's expense, and/or they can secure additional votes with fewer expenditures from their own campaign accounts (or more votes with the same camp a ign. expenditures Beyond a certain point, however, the cost of deficit spending can become so readily apparent that deficits, like taxes, begin to lose votes. The central notion still holds: Because of the relative fiscal illusion of deficits, there is a politically optimum budgetary deficit, established largely independent of economic conditions in the country.
Economists have a relatively straightforward explanation for the existence of a polluted waterway.
Property rights to the waterway are nonexistent or have been in some respects, attenuated. Because no one has property rights to the waterway, no one can be excluded from its use.
All can use the waterway at no cost (or at an understated cost) to themselves. Each can reason that the waste water he du mps into the waterway can be carried away to become someone else's problem; the cost of the pollution is, thereby externalized Aside from the very large users of the waterway, each polluter can reason also that the small amount of waste he dumps in the st r eam has little or inconsequential effect on the overall water quality. For all practical purposes, therefore, an individual's pollution imposes no cost on himself or on others The individual polluter can conclude that his own cleanup efforts will result i n little or no improvement in the overall water quality. Besides, additional cleanup costs incurred by one producer but not by others, will reduce that firm's competitiveness and decrease its share of market sales. The reduction in the firm's contribution t o pollution can be offset by additional pollution from other firms, reducing their costs and expanding their share of the market. The rational position of each polluter is to use the waterway to -6 the fullest extent necessary. The collective result of ra t ional behavior of all water users is, however, perverse the waterway is used, abused, and overused, clogged with waste, and can become an environmental mess. At the extreme the waterway can become the practical equivalent of a cesspool, a result that plea s es no one, not even those who are responsible for the pollution The general solution economists offer to solve problems of environmental deterioration is to provide individuals with incentives to do what is in their collective interest, i.eOr cut back on their individual pollution levels.
Such an incentive system can take the form of (1) assignment of property rights (which allows the owners to charge for the use of the assigned property 2) imposition of government fees for the use of the waterways (which implies that the government has assumed ownership of the environmental resource) or (3) government regulation throngh pollution standards with fines for noncompliance (which can tragslate into fees for the use of the environmental resource).
Environmental pollution is another way of saying that too few environmental goods have been produced, while too many other public and private goods and services have been produced. One way to correct the problem is to charge and, thereby, discourage the inefficient us e of.the environment. A proper balance between the production of environmental and other goods can be achieved, theoretically speaking, by adjusting the charges. If a given schedule results in too much expenditure on cleaning up the environment, then the c h arge can be lowered To individual Members of Congress, the federal government's budget is much the same as the environmental resource is to the individual polluter an opportunity to exploit fully in the absence of constraints and incentives to do otherwis e . Each Member can reason, for the most part, that any bill he offers in support of his constituency will have an imperceptible impact on the overall budget total, the level of taxes, and the magnitude of the budget deficit. The bills supported by individu a l Members of Congress are likely to contribute little to the costs that the taxpayers in their districts bear in the form of higher explicit, legislated taxes or higher implicit, deficit induced taxes. Most of the costs of a government program, like the c o sts of pollution are externalized to the rest of the citizenry through the federal tax system. As in the case of the polluter, the politician can also reason that any restraint on his part in supporting expensive programs for his constituency is likely to provide representatives from other districts in his state and in other states the opportunity to expand programs favored by their constituencies 7 The rational course of behavior of each individual Member of Congress is to "pollute" the halls of Congress w ith constituencies differentially and preferentially. Just as in the case of the polluted waterway, the collective outcome can be perverse: a federal budget that is used, abused, and overused bloated beyond rational boundaries. In short, the federal budge t may become the fiscal equivalent of an inverted CeSsp001 As opposed to throwing too much waste into the pool, which is the outcome of environmental pollution, politicians throw in "too many" bills and extract too much" in the way of resources from the na t ional income Just as the individual polluter of the waterway can proposed government expenditures that benefit his pool claim, with some justification, that the "pollution" is due to the waste of all the other polluters, the individual Member of Congress c an claim that the "bloated" budget is due to the fiscal irresponsibility of most of the other 534 Members of Congress And at the same time that each individual Member of Congress introduces expansive legislation, creating what may be called "bill pollutio n he can call for fiscal restraint and fiscal responsibility through reduced deficit spending blaming all the other Members for the deficits that are emerging. The conventional wisdom that "when' responsibility is shared by all, it is assumed by no one" ap p lies fully to the way Congress views the budget As in the case of waterway pollution, the solution to the "inverted budgetary cesspool" must lie in providing Members of Congress with private incentives to do what may, on the margin, be in their acknowledg ed collective interest reduce the deficit. Each representative must be held accountable, in the sense that he incurs a cost, for deficits.
Only then will deficits be eliminated or substantially reduced THE SOLUTION Reaganomics is grounded on supply-side principles that, in turn, are based on the simple but general proposition: people respond to incentives and disincentives.
The problem-with Reaganomics is that its own supply-side principles have not been applied to the development and achievement of supply -side goals. To correct this requires a radical change in the way policymakers are paid In their search' for an explanation for policy failures, administration supporters have for the past twenty years pointed to the lack of political gumption among I I - 8 policymakers inside and outside the White House and'congress in making "tough" budgetary decisions, in other words handling the political consequences of balancing the budget by either raising taxes or reducing expenditures. The problem may be more funda m ental. It may exist because policymakers even those steeped in supply-side principles have little or no incentive to do what we rind they want to do, that is reduce budgetary deficits, stimulate growth in jobs and income, lower inflation, and increase the stability of the money stock. These policymakers, like the polluters, may be willing to support politically imposed restrictions, which may come in the form of incentives on their own behavior to do what is in their common interest Members of Congress rec e ive an annual salary of 60,000 a yearr no matter if the deficit is $50 100, or $200 billion. Similarly, the President is paid $200,000 annually regardless of the state of the economy. Members of the Board of Governors and 'the Open Mark-et Committee of th e Federal Reserve System are paid a' fixed amount without regard for the rate of the growth in the money stock directly under their control or the rate of inflation indirectly related to their control of the money stock While attributing blame for the "exc e ssive" government spending to others, Members of Congress claim that achieving a balanced budget is "impossible" or "impractical The Federal Reserve argues that it does not know how to keep the growth in the money stock within the bounds of its own self-i m posed growth targets The circularity of blame is complete: The President blames Congress and the Federal Reserve for excessive spending and money growth. The Congress blames the President for lack of effective leadership and for following voodoo economics " by "drastically" cutting taxes in 1981, and it blames the Federal Reserve for high interest rates that Congress and the President for the deficits that push up interest rates while they pressure the Fed to expand the money stock accepted. deter growth. T h e Federal Reserve chairman blames the Tge blame is fully diffused, therefore, nowhere Of course, the various claims of Congress, the President, and the Federal Reserve all have an element of truth. The lack of blame is indigenous to the incentive system t h at has been constructed. If Texas Instruments executives were paid the same way as Members of Congress, the President, and the Board of Governors, one could accurately forecast that Texas Instrument executives would hum a similar chorus. They, too, would c omplain that juggling their inventories to meet market demands would be a difficult, if not an impossible, undertaking. They also would attempt to shirk responsibility for the financial health of the company. -9 Given the magnitude of the lost output link e d to federal deficits, it is time that the nation seriously rethink the way in which policymakers are paid, recognizing that they are much like the rest of Americans: they too respond to regulation and incentives. We can start by providing representatives and senators with monetary incentives to eliminate deficit spending definite merit (consider the balancgd budget-tax limitation amendment currently before .Congress )I it could be years before it becomes law. Before then, a new incentive pay system for Co n gress can be inaugurated. This rightfully can be called a "deficit pay schedule" because it pegs the pay of Members of Conggess to the actual budget deficit of .the While outright prohibition of deficit spending has year To start, the honor and responsibi lity of being an elected U.S. representative would be recognized by raising the annual pay to $500,0
00. But this salary would be trimmed according to a scale linked to budget deficits. For every 20=Qillion of additional deficit, for example, pay would be cut. TPn minimum pay would be held at its current level of 68,8
80. Realizing that each successive $20-billion reduction in the deficit is more difficult to achieve and each increment in congressional pay may be worth less to the Members, especially after progressive income taxes are applied, each successive marginal reduction in the deficit should be accompanied by a progressively greater marginal increase in pay. Using these- principles, the following pay schedule could apply Table
2. Deficit Pay Scedule Congressional Budget Annual Pay Deficit 500,000 300,000 175,000 75,000 60,000 Balanced Budget 20 billion 40 billion 6 0 bill ion 80 billion We need not make the Members worse off than they are -10 currently their job, much as they m i ght provide incentives for welfare recipients to move off public relief We' need only provide them' with an incentive to do PROBLMS WITH THE SOLUTION Admittedly, the proposed pay system for Congress is not perfect. Problems abound, several of which can be resolved with additional rules for the structure of congressional pay. For example, such a pay schedule provides no incentive for Members of Congress to control inflation and tax rates. The budget could be balanced by legislated tax increases and/or infla t ion induced tax increases. The inflation problem can be guarded against in two ways. First overcompensate' Members of Congress in the sense that their congressional pay exceeds their viable alternative pay in the private sector. A reduction in purchasing power of the Members' pay, brought about by inflation, would then mean a true economic loss to the Members. Second, disconnect, to the extent possible, the pay of Congress from the inflation rate.
The Members' pay could be adjusted at the same time congres sional seats are reapportioned, meaning the real purchasing power of congressional pay could erode with the forces of inflation for as many as ten years. Granted, at the end of the decade just before the pay schedule were adjusted Members would lose much o f their pay incentive to work toward the control of inflation. Although defective in this regard the proposed system would be an improvement over the current system, which allows Members of Congress to adjust their pay for inflation whenever they think it is politically expedient to do SO The problem of balancing budget via tax increases could.be partially, but not completely, resolved by imposing a rule on Congress that the tax rate increases imposed on the general public will translate into a more severe penalty on representatives and senators. Currently, the contrary is true. Members of Congress have exempted themselves from social security taxes and have provided themselves with many nontaxable perquisites of office and deductions for living and working in Washington. Special tax privileges for Members should be prohibited. How general tax rate increases are converted into more severe penalties on Congress is largely arbitrary. The important point is that considerable incentive to balance the budget must remain in the deficit pay schedule after taxes and a definite mathematical link must be established and maintained between the tax rates imposed on the public and the tax rates imposed on the Congress.
One possible rule (and the possibilities are numerous adjust the deficit pay schedule inversely to the -11 percentage of the nation's income going to taxes. An increase in tax rates imposed on the general public would then mean a downward shift in the deficit pay schedule The details of the pay schedule cou l d be so constructed that Members retain a strong incentive to balance the budget by-controlling expenditures rather than by raising taxes. Again, the important point is that a mathematical link must be established between the tax rates imposed on the publ ic and the burden imposed on Members of Congress.
Inherent in any pay schedule that provides incentives for congressmen to balance the federal budget is the risk of too severely tunneling the social vision of policymakers whose goals are necessarily varied . The deficit pay system could be so constructed that Members of Congress allow other. social and defense goals to go unattended. The proposal being tendered here is intended not to unbalance budgetary outcomes, but to correct a cbmmonly acknowledged imba l ance between the political incentives of Members of'congress to spend and the lack of political incentives of those same Members to raise revenue and balance the budget. The task facing those who actually construct the deficit-pay schedule is to "tilt" th e incentive system toward, but not necessarily a, a balanced budget. With the new pay system, Members of Congress still can express their devotion to principles of social welfare and national defense; they still can use the budgetary process to pursue pure l y political objectives; they still can run budgetary deficits. They will-havv t deficits can be expected. As in the example of environmental economics, resulting budget deficits can be adjusted by marginal changes in the incentives built in to the deficit pay schedule To that extent, lower A pay schedule like the example in Table 2 is clearly expensive. If the annual deficit of the United States were reduced from over $80 billion, where Congress' own budget office projects it to be for the next several yea r s, to zero the pay of Members of Congress would skyrocket. The addlfslonal pay for the 535 senators and representatives would be slightly more than $235 million. Achieving a balanced budget at this expense should, however, be a bargain. If the economic ha r m of government deficit spending is not greater than a quarter of a billion dollars, all the concern about federal deficits has surely been misplaced The deficit pay schedule does not fully correct the problem-of "bill pollution that is, the tendency of i n dividual Members of Congress to propose new government programs. Even with the deficit-pay system in force individual Members may continue to propose new expenditure programs, hoping that the deficit will be reduced by the -12 rates And the President's an n ual pay could start at $1 million and be reduced with increases in a composite economic indicator such as the "misery index which is the sum of the inflation and unemployment rates These pay schedules do not have to be so narrowly constructed that the Boa r d would choose to do nothing but hold the money growth rate to the target rate or that the President would seek no other objective than to minimize the "misery index As noted in the discussion of congressional pay, the schedules need only tilt incentive s tructure toward, but not necessarily all the way to, the achievement of specified national goals, those deemed worthy of special attention defeat of all the other bills introduced by other Members.
Yet the deficit pay system will increase the attention Mem bers are likely to give to the costs of legislation introduced by others as well as increases resistance to an expansion of expenditures. To this extent, the deficit-pay system will act as a brake on the growth of government use of taxes and a decrease in the use of deficits to finance government outlays should fortify voter resistance to politicians who favor new and expansive government programs An increase in the Finally, with pay tied to computed deficits, Congress will have an incentive to shift gover n ment support of social goals from on-budget expenditures to off-budget programs and loan guarantees and to impose regulations on the private sector that, just like taxes, distort market prices. Such forms of government intrusion in the private sector have become so widespread that the concept of the "government budget" will, sooner or later, have to be broadened to include them. The installation of the deficit-pay system must be predicated on recognizing a more inclusive concept of the federal budget CONCL U SION The particulars of the incentive pay solution are less important, however, than the underlying principle that, in every sphere of human endeavor, there is need to convert the public interests into private interests. 1n.private dealings the market mak e s that conversion tolerably well. In seeking -13 private profits, entrepreneurs tend to produce what members of the general public want at competitive prices good that is achieved is not, for the most part, created out of love of country or a sense of dut y to higher public objectives, but out of self-interest The general In public dealings; we need similar devices to convert public interests into private interests for those who make and conduct policy elected representatives accountable for what they do Th e modern history of escalating government deficits, accompanied by rising unemployment and inflation rates, however, is ample testimony to the need for other devices The balanced budget-tax limitation amendment will help; it will put pressure on Congress t o balance its budgets, and marginally lower deficits (not a balanced budget) can be expected. Yet Members of Congress will need additional incentives to abide by the Constitution. Patriotism, sense of duty to country and public opinion have proved too weak for the task of making public and private interests compatible and synergetic congressional incentive system can be conceptualized. The Catch lies in convincing Members of Congress that they should set up an incentive system that will result in a lower de f icit than they would otherwise choose Competitive politics helps to hold American The good news is that mechanisms for altering the Richard McKenzie is on leave from ClemsOn University where he is Professor of Economics. His most recent books are Press, 1 9 82) and, as editor, Plant: BaUi,s_lorerivate Chaic_es (Washington, D.C Cat0 Institute, 1982 Stanford, California: Hoover Institution 14 Notes Off-budget outlays averaged nearly $13 billion 2See Richard B. McKenzie Supply-side Economics and between 1976 an d 1981 the Vanishing Tax Cut Atlanta Federal Reserve &QIWJ May 1982 pp. 28-24: and U.S. Department of the Treasury, Summary of Staff Papers on Scheduled Tax Changes June 15, 1982 3For a comparative analysis of the relative fiscal New York: Basic Books, 197 8 and James M. Buchanan deception of taxes and debt, see James M. Buchanan and Richard E. Wagner, Dem9crac_vin Debt, Demos, and the Welfare State a paper presented at the 1982 annual meeting of the Western Economic Association (July 19, 1982 The 4Buchanan a nd Wagner, D~flClf balanced budget norm' was the commonly held view among politicians through the 1950s that the federal budget must be balanced 5The purpose here is not to debate the relative merits of the alternative solutions; that task has been handle d admirably elsewhere. Rather, the purpose is .simply to note the general nature of the solution: the institutionalization of private incentives to realign the allocation of resources.
For a discussion of the pollution problem as seen from the perspective of a property-rights paradigm, see Hugh H.
Macaulay and T. Bruce Yandle, the Apparently, Members of Congress have been reasonably successful in dispersing blame for government deficits. A mid-1982 Gallup Poll found that the public's disapproval rating for Congress as a whole was substantially greater than constituents' disapproval rating of their representative The Gallup Poll: Only 46% Can Name Congressional Representative See Alvin Rabushka, A C Warkef (Lexington, Mass Lexington Books, 1974 August 1, 19 8 2) p. A3 Washington: National Taxpayers' Foundation, 1982 preceding year in order to avoid misleading forecasts that would be present if pay were related to projected or estimated deficits than the one suggested, providing for adjustments in 8The pay of M e mbers is related to the deficit of the The pay schedule could, of course, be more detailed -15- a" congressional pay for every $1 or $5 billion change in the budget deficit We need not penalize representatives by reducing their pay below what it is now. W e need only provide them with an incentive to balance the budget.
Try Indexing Salaries at the Board of Governors Pathfinder July/August 1981 Morgan Reynolds Incentives Vs. Bad Money: Let's