The Heritage Foundation

Executive Memorandum #832

September 5, 2002

September 5, 2002 | Executive Memorandum on

Census Shows Commuters are Rejecting Transit

Data released by the U.S. Census Bureau show that over the past decade, 39 of the nation's 50 largest metropolitan areas experienced a decline in the share of commuters using public transit--buses, rail, and subways--to get to work. (See Table 1.) Of the 10 areas that saw an increase, the gains were modest except for Las Vegas, where a 100 percent increase in transit market share occurred--largely in a new transit system contracted out to private operators.

Overall, the decline was substantial and occurred in older cities where transit is well-established, such as Philadelphia and Boston, and in places like Atlanta and Dallas, where costly new rail systems have been built. Nationwide, the share of commuters taking transit fell from 5.3 percent in 1990 to 4.7 percent in 2000, continuing the decline in transit use that has been evident in census data since 1960. In 1990, there were five metropolitan areas where transit held more than a 10 percent share; by 2000, there were only two.

Considering that the number of employed Americans increased by 13.2 million over the same decade, and given the half-trillion dollars that government has invested in transit upgrades and new service since 1970, the 1,900-person decline in riders between 1990 and 2000 reflects a public policy failure of staggering dimensions. A failure of this magnitude should encourage Washington to re-examine the federal role in transit and determine whether the billions of dollars it takes from fuel taxes paid by motorists to subsidize transit is an effective use of federal money.

Under current law, about 18 percent of these federal fuel tax revenues paid by motorists throughout the country is devoted to transit, thereby providing less than 5 percent of commuters with almost 20 percent of the money. Compounding this inequity, transit ridership is concentrated in just a handful of metropolitan areas. In 2000, fully 75 percent of transit ridership occurred in just seven metropolitan areas: Boston, Chicago, Los Angeles, New York, Philadelphia, San Francisco, and Washington/Baltimore.

One way to rectify such inequities is to allow state officials more discretion over how federal fuel tax revenues raised in their state are spent, and to reform the federal law to let states keep what they raise. With the federal highway law expiring in 2003, Congress will have an opportunity to make some much-needed improvements.

Wendell Cox, Principal of the Wendell Cox Consultancy in St. Louis, Missouri, is a Visiting Fellow at The Heritage Foundation. Ronald D. Utt, Ph.D., is Herbert and Joyce Morgan Senior Research Fellow in the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies at The Heritage Foundation.

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