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  • Commentary posted April 5, 2013 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D. The Kremlin's World

    When the Russian Foreign Ministry released its updated Foreign Policy Concept in February, codifying Russia’s global strategies, Washington yawned. Yet this document reveals much about the emerging “Putin Doctrine.” It further separates Russia from Western Europe and is especially critical of the United States. It also leaves no doubt: President Barack Obama’s “reset”…

  • Commentary posted March 27, 2013 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D. Moscow's Cyprus Defeat

    Cyprus has agreed on a bailout with its international creditors—but the effects will have geopolitical and economic implications for Russia-EU relations. Under the deal announced Monday, Cyprus will pay its share of the bailout by taxing bank deposits exceeding €100,000—a large proportion of which come from Russia. The Popular Bank of Cyprus will close, sending its…

  • Commentary posted March 27, 2013 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D. The Experts: How the U.S. Oil Boom Will Change the Markets and Geopolitics

    This would be great, as dependence on Middle Eastern and Venezuelan oil is creating geopolitical liabilities and commitments which may be more difficult to manage, particularly when Congress is unwisely cutting military budgets. The U.S. may become a net Liquid Natural Gas (LNG) exporter before it becomes a crude exporter. However, while red-white-and-blue crude exports…

  • Issue Brief posted February 20, 2013 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D. U.S. Policy on Russia for Obama’s Second Term

    Since Vladimir Putin’s third inauguration as Russian president last May, U.S.–Russian relations have deteriorated sharply. Officials on both sides have moved past the “reset” honeymoon as disagreements over geopolitics and human rights abound. Spanning two continents and with a veto on the United Nations Security Council (UNSC), Russia is uniquely positioned to play a…

  • Commentary posted February 18, 2013 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D. Mr. Erdogan Goes to Shanghai

    Prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan wants Turkey to join the European Union. But recently he announced he wants to join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO). Three things he should know about SCO: It’s not based in Shanghai (the HQ is in Beijing); it provides little real cooperation (it barely manages to soothe differences between Moscow, Beijing and other…

  • Issue Brief posted January 18, 2013 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D. Senate Confirmation Hearings for Hagel and Kerry Views on Russia

    President Barack Obama’s new foreign policy team is facing Senate approval: Senator John Kerry (D–MA) for Secretary of State, former Senator Chuck Hagel (R–NE) for Secretary of Defense, and White House chief counterterrorism advisor John Brennan for director of the CIA. All three will confront a truculent Russia. However, their past statements and support of the…

  • Commentary posted January 8, 2013 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D. Russia Responds to U.S. by Punishing Orphans

    On January 2, the U.S. Senate unanimously condemned the "Dima Yakovlev Law," a measure hastily adopted around Christmas time, that victimizes Russian orphans—and Russian democracy. This piece of legislation bars the adoption of Russian children by U.S. citizens. It is namedafter Dima Yakovlev, an adopted child from Russia, who in 2008 was abandoned by his father in a…

  • Issue Brief posted December 13, 2012 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D., Helle C. Dale How to Save Radio Liberty

    For over half a century, Radio Liberty (RL) has been a central part of the U.S. government’s efforts to support human rights and free expression in Russia and, before it, the Soviet Union. Today, tragically, Radio Liberty—or Radio Svoboda, as the Russians know it—is in turmoil, its Moscow-based staff decimated by deep cuts, and its future uncertain. And RL’s listeners are…

  • Testimony posted December 5, 2012 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D. Iran Threatens U.S. Interests in the South Caucasus

    Testimony before the Subcommittee on Europe and Eurasia, Committee on Foreign Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives December 5, 2012 Chairman Burton, Members of Congress, Ladies and Gentlemen: My name is Ariel Cohen. I am the Senior Research Fellow…

  • Commentary posted November 15, 2012 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D. Scandal Shakes the Siloviki

    If last week’s corruption scandal involving the former Russian defense minister was not embarrassing enough for Moscow, the plot now thickens. A police investigation is targeting one of the Russian high-tech modernization projects, a type of GPS called GLONASS (Global Navigation Satellite System). The threads may lead to higher-ups, and turn into another episode in…

  • Commentary posted October 22, 2012 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D. The Moscow Rules

    Vladimir Putin’s vision of Russia as an “energy superpower” just got closer to reality. State-controlled, London-floated Rosneft has clinched a deal to buy out BP’s stake in Russian oil operations. Since 2003, BP has been in a joint venture with several Russian oligarchs whose companies are known as Alfa-Access-Renova. From the beginning, there was bad blood between…

  • Commentary posted October 18, 2012 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D. Putin’s Crackdown Foretells “Fortress Russia”

    As the Russian punk-rock band members “Pussy Riot” appeal their two-year sentence for a political protest in the Russian Orthodox Cathedral, a pale of repression is settling over their country. This crackdown is wrapped in legislative garb, but the iron grip of authoritarianism is unmistakable. The United States must specifically recognize that its “reset” policy of…

  • Commentary posted October 4, 2012 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D. Georgia's Democratic Litmus Test

    Hours before Mikheil Saakashvili admitted defeat, a senior Azerbaijani official told me that the Georgian president had nothing to worry about. He wasn’t the only one miscalling the result: from Tbilisi to Washington, few expected the stunning victory by the opposition Georgian Dream movement, led by billionaire Bidzina Ivanishvili, who claimed victory in the country’s…

  • Commentary posted September 27, 2012 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D. The Endangered Mongolian Mineral Boom

    Eight hundred years after Genghis Khan, Mongolia is back in the news. Nicknamed “Mine-golia,” it is enjoying the largest energy and raw-materials boom on the planet. Today, Mongolia boasts the world’s third-largest copper mine, as well as one of the largest coal mines. In the first quarter of 2012, Mongolia’s economy grew at an average annual rate of 16.7 percent,…

  • Testimony posted September 21, 2012 by Ariel Cohen, Ph.D. The Importance of the Upcoming Georgian Elections for the United States and the West

    Testimony before The Commission for Security and Cooperation in Europe (Helsinki Commission), U.S. Congress September 20, 2012 Mr. Chairman, Congressmen, Secretary Melia, Ladies and Gentlemen: My name is Ariel Cohen. I am Senior Research Fellow, Russian and Eurasian Studies and International Energy Policy at The Heritage Foundation. The…