Heritage Expert

Paul Winfree

  • Senior Policy Analyst, Simulations

Paul Winfree is a Senior Policy Analyst in the Center for Data Analysis (CDA) at The Heritage Foundation. 

Winfree's main research concerns economic mobility and its recent trends in America. Part of this research is included in a series of papers published by Pew Charitable Trusts in conjunction with related work by scholars at other Washington-based think tanks. (See www.economicmobility.org)

Winfree also specializes in health economics and applied econometrics. One example of his work involved estimating the degree to which publicly provided insurance causes a decrease in private health insurance. These "crowding-out" estimates played a crucial role in recent debates over expansions of the State Children's Health Insurance Program, or S-CHIP.

Before joining Heritage in 2006, Winfree earned his master's degree from the London School of Economics, where he studied economics and economic history. He has a bachelor's degree from George Mason University where he graduated in 2005 with degrees in both economics and mathematics.

All Publications by Paul Winfree
  • WebMemo posted March 16, 2010 by Karen Campbell, Ph.D. Mandates and Taxes Re-Burden Health Insurance Markets

    The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (H.R. 3590), the health care reform bill that was passed by the Senate and is now being considered by the House, promises to overhaul the current health insurance system by enforcing mandates on individuals and businesses, expanding Medicaid, and introducing new … Read more

  • Center for Data Analysis Report posted January 27, 2010 by Rea Hederman, Jr. How Health Care Reform Will Affect Young Adults

    Abstract: Both of the current House and Senate health care bills disproportionately burden younger, healthier Americans with higher insurance premiums. To ensure that these young people buy health insurance anyway, Congress has decided to nudge them into purchasing insurance by enforcing a penalty… Read more

  • WebMemo posted October 15, 2009 by Robert A. Book, Ph.D. Adding Insult to Injury: The Baucus Health Plan Imposes New Taxeson the Sick

    Public support for health care reform is based on a desire to help the sick or, at the very least, to protect the non-wealthy from the financial impact of illness, chronic disease, and accidents. Unfortunately, the reform proposals under active consideration in Congress do precisely the opposite. In particular, the Baucus health reform… Read more

  • Backgrounder posted September 25, 2009 by Robert A. Book, Ph.D. The Baucus Individual Health Insurance Mandate: Taxing Low-Incomeand Moderate-Income Workers

    Abstract: The individual mandate in the Baucus health care plan would impose punitively high, regressive taxes on low-income and moderate-income working families. Its penalties and additional taxes on business would discourage companies from hiring or continuing to employ low-income and moderate-income workers. The plan would substantially raise health insurance premiums. Yet the plan… Read more

  • WebMemo posted July 1, 2009 by Greg D'Angelo How Reforms to the Tax Treatment of Health Insurance Benefit theMiddle Class

    Health economists have long considered changing the tax treatment of health insurance a key component of any serious health care reform. A relic of the World War II era, the federal tax code currently excludes, without limit, the value of employer-sponsored health insurance from an individual's taxable income for the purposes of both income… Read more

  • White Paper posted February 26, 2009 by Paul Winfree Does Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance Reduce Job Mobility?

    How the health insurance system influences the likelihood of changing jobs and becoming self-employed Abstract This paper investigates the extent to which employer-sponsored health insurance influenced job mobility between 1995 and 2007. This time period is important given the recent increase in the cost of private health insurance and the enactment of… Read more

  • WebMemo posted January 28, 2009 by Karen Campbell, Ph.D. Economic Stimulus Pushed by Flawed Jobs Analysis

    A recently released report by Christina Romer, chair of the President's Council of Economic Advisers, and Jared Bernstein, the Vice President's chief economist, is being widely cited by Administration officials (including the President) and Members of Congress as proof that the stimulus package currently being… Read more

  • WebMemo posted January 26, 2009 by Paul Winfree The New SCHIP Bill: The Senate Must Protect Private Coverage

    The United States Senate will soon consider legislation to reauthorize the State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP). Its decisions on that legislation will have a major impact on the private health insurance coverage of millions of American children. The House of Representatives… Read more

  • WebMemo posted December 8, 2008 by Karen Campbell, Ph.D. Bankruptcy of Detroit's Big Three Automobile Companies: NewEconomic Impact Estimates

    Ford, General Motors, and Chrysler rely heavily on an economic impact study by the Center for Automotive Research (CAR) in making their case for a financial bailout. This report claims that the simultaneous failure of these three companies would result in a loss of 3.3 million jobs nationally in the same year as the… Read more

  • WebMemo posted October 24, 2008 by Greg D'Angelo The McCain Health Care Plan: A Closer Look at Cost and Coverage

    Presidential candidate Senator John McCain (R-AZ) has put forth an ambitious health care plan.[1]The plan proposes: Replacing the current income tax exclusion for employer-sponsored health insurance with refundable tax credits; Enabling individuals and families to purchase health insurance across state lines; and Providing federal assistance to states to cover hard-to-insure populations… Read more